The price doesn't halve, it's the block reward that gets halved every 210,000 blocks. You're right that the price increases a period of time after the halving but there's no expectation on how long the bull run will last. No one will have been able to predict that we have an ATH before the halving.
This Bitcoin halving is different - institutional investors, and others. Therefore the belief of price increase after the halving is merely speculation. Bitcoin Runes which is being launched on the Block 840,000, following the Bitcoin halving is one of the causes for this increase in transaction fee. This is rationale is what I read from this article on coingecko. This is my first experience of the halving since the runes are responsible for this and it bothers me that in the next halving there are going to be others similar to runes that cause high transaction fees because of whatever they'll be minting. 
Topic: Share your previous experience that you got after bitcoin halving. - page 2. (Read 238 times)
April 20, 2024, 01:20:25 PM
April 20, 2024, 12:16:30 PM
Mh experience with the halving is that there's a whole bunch of marketing around it while in reality the impact on real life transactions with Bitcoin isn't that large. At least for a while we're going to realize that any potential positive impact might've been priced in.
And then maybe after a few months only then large buyers might feel the impact on OTC markets. This halving comes at a time.whetr mining has been happening at an industrial scale. So these mibers have probably found ways to offload their BTC long before the halving and have taken into account it's impact on their profitability. The increase in price that happened prior to the halving probably allows them to continue mining for longer in profit but who knows for how long.
More centralization in mining could eventually lead to a bigger drive to offload BTC faster too. Which might mean that probably might even go down after the halving.
And then maybe after a few months only then large buyers might feel the impact on OTC markets. This halving comes at a time.whetr mining has been happening at an industrial scale. So these mibers have probably found ways to offload their BTC long before the halving and have taken into account it's impact on their profitability. The increase in price that happened prior to the halving probably allows them to continue mining for longer in profit but who knows for how long.
More centralization in mining could eventually lead to a bigger drive to offload BTC faster too. Which might mean that probably might even go down after the halving.
April 20, 2024, 12:12:47 PM
The price doesn't halve, it's the block reward that gets halved every 210,000 blocks. You're right that the price increases a period of time after the halving but there's no expectation on how long the bull run will last. No one will have been able to predict that we have an ATH before the halving.
April 20, 2024, 12:00:51 PM
In my experience after the price halves to scare investors (will be a bear trap) then after 2/3 months the market starts going up (halving bull run), which lasts 9 months or 10 months.
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