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Topic: Should gambling platforms avoid political events? (Read 650 times)

hero member
Activity: 798
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Goodnight, ohh Leo!!! 🦅
Polymaket felt that this raid was a retaliation by the Joe Biden administration for the betting platform's accurate predictions of the outcome of the elections.
guess they're all upset for the fact that their citizens were able to make some few bucks off the elections? So they had to tackle the problem from the root.
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But the Department of Justice claimed that Polymarket is under investigation for allegedly allowing US-based users to bet on the site. Polymarket doesn't have permission to operate bets and predictions in the US but users usually invade the prohibition using VPNs.
Good that this is just an allegation. What else was he supposed to do? They created a stratagem -- one of which was by masking their IPs with a strong VPN ... In proper terms, aren't they supposed to be sued for breaking the site's policies?
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Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.
That's cap!! Again, this is either an attempt of revolting against the person in power, or milking polymarket of their share.
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Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?
No. I don't support this shit regardless
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

I don't think this event is supposed to deter gambling bookies and casinos from providing markets for people to bet on political events, to be honest. In the end, if people really want to bet on these things, they will always find a way to do so.
It is reasonable to think they actually violated the law of the United States, by willingly allowing people from the country to bet on those markets and not having an enforcement mechanism to avoid those using VPN to place their wager.

Though, the fact the webpage accurately predicted the winner and the political implications of the change of government in the USA are big enough to assume there is a little bit of a vendetta in this search warrant on Poly market. The political left is still hurt and feel greatly humiliated by Trump's victory, there is no doubt about it, I think.
hero member
Activity: 2968
Merit: 687
Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

I do not think that the FBI did anything wrong by raiding the house of the CEO because he might have done some illegal things with his betting platform. After the investigation and he is found to be innocent, he will be left alone. The FBI are just doing their job because of information that they received. We are in a time that influence is a big market and the influence of the site could have made others to change their mind and vote for trump because people do not like to be on the losing end of anything but just because of this incident, I do not think is worth asking gambling platform to avoid involving in election bets. The sites are their for people to vote and try to make money with their choices. Gambling sites are welcome but they should not be cheaters.
If we do speak about overall transparency then this is something that will really be that totally wont be known on which there might be some activities on which we might not be able to know to public and this is why there might be some accusations that might lead directly into those kind of actions but turned out to be that clear or those accusations were indeed not true. Speaking about these gambling or betting platform then
it is really just that indeed normal that it should really be that legalized on such aspect but having that kind of limitation in speaking about political events then this is something that will really be needing up some
government decisions whether it would be allowed or not. If they have been that allowing it then basically means that there's no such rule or laws or simply being legal in the first place.

One of the major weapons of political leaders is the use of institutions to fight their perceived political opponents; as far as I know, this platform has been in operation for quite some time now and without any issues with either regulators or FYB because at that time their political activities where unknown.

But if the raid has to come the moment the platform becomes so vocal and involved in political events and to the point of predicting their results and winning candidates, this accurate outcome will indeed spark a reaction from the government, which may choose to use the institution of the state to enforce some laws.
Not that new anymore on which you will really be able to suddenly see up some new issues that been thrown out or any possible things that they could be able to accuse just to make the other party
would really be looking bad. We do know that everything would come into process on which it will really be something that needed up for it to be proven out.
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 703
I believe betting on political events is risky for platforms as it can draw government scrutiny and public controversy. For Polymarket diving into political predictions, especially on sensitive elections seems to have backfired, as we have discussed this topic before, so possibly the leading reason to the recent FBI raid, and by predicting outcomes accurately, they may have ruffled feathers with some speculating that the raid is political retaliation.

Most of the time platforms can earn transparency by showing public sentiment through political bets, but they also risk being viewed as influencing politics which regulators might see as a threat. Staying neutral or avoiding political bets entirely could help platforms escape from potential legal and reputational risks keeping them out of heated political battles.

One question, I saw that Polymarket has many alternatives lately, like some mini apps on Telegram, anyone else noticed that?
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 2353
At least it's a big publicity boost for Polymarket
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 227
Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

I do not think that the FBI did anything wrong by raiding the house of the CEO because he might have done some illegal things with his betting platform. After the investigation and he is found to be innocent, he will be left alone. The FBI are just doing their job because of information that they received. We are in a time that influence is a big market and the influence of the site could have made others to change their mind and vote for trump because people do not like to be on the losing end of anything but just because of this incident, I do not think is worth asking gambling platform to avoid involving in election bets. The sites are their for people to vote and try to make money with their choices. Gambling sites are welcome but they should not be cheaters.
legendary
Activity: 1778
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Degen in the Space
FBI raided the home of Shayne Coplan the chief executive of the predictive betting site Polymarket. He was instructed to give the agents his phone and other electronic gadgets. Polymaket felt that this raid was a retaliation by the Joe Biden administration for the betting platform's accurate predictions of the outcome of the elections.

But the Department of Justice claimed that Polymarket is under investigation for allegedly allowing US-based users to bet on the site. Polymarket doesn't have permission to operate bets and predictions in the US but users usually invade the prohibition using VPNs.

Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/technology/2024/nov/13/fbi-raid-polymarket-founder-trump-election
Hmm 70-30, I think gambling platforms should avoid political events. It’s just too messy and too much drama in social media. Politics can be super divisive, and betting on it might make things worse. Plus, there’s always the risk of manipulation or controversy. Better to stick with sports, games, and other stuff people can enjoy without stirring up drama/politics discussion.

On the other hand, there’s not much benefit for us, except maybe becoming more engaged in politics and learning more about them, including who might win in terms of social media influence. The real winners are the casinos, as they’ll profit from more bets and players.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 667
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One of the major weapons of political leaders is the use of institutions to fight their perceived political opponents; as far as I know, this platform has been in operation for quite some time now and without any issues with either regulators or FYB because at that time their political activities where unknown.

But if the raid has to come the moment the platform becomes so vocal and involved in political events and to the point of predicting their results and winning candidates, this accurate outcome will indeed spark a reaction from the government, which may choose to use the institution of the state to enforce some laws.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 256
I will say yes, gambling platforms should avoid political events because it is so wired and awkward since there are lots of manipulations that do occur in politics, that's is to say the outcomes are mostly determined by humans, but in regards to face to face betting about political events I believe that has been in a existence for long time now, but including it in to a gambling platforms is what i completely not have support to because politics is not meant to be belittle to game, since the citizens depends on it for good and reputable governance.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 1465
FBI raided the home of Shayne Coplan the chief executive of the predictive betting site Polymarket. He was instructed to give the agents his phone and other electronic gadgets. Polymaket felt that this raid was a retaliation by the Joe Biden administration for the betting platform's accurate predictions of the outcome of the elections.

But the Department of Justice claimed that Polymarket is under investigation for allegedly allowing US-based users to bet on the site. Polymarket doesn't have permission to operate bets and predictions in the US but users usually invade the prohibition using VPNs.

Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/technology/2024/nov/13/fbi-raid-polymarket-founder-trump-election

Not at all because you see how accurate their chart was to the actual? If anything it should be taken at face value here and tested in more elections to see if this wasn't just a fluke or something. I've always been fond of the phrase put your money where your mouth is, and this way you can see where the general population lays when it comes to certain candidates. People who are confident in a certain political figure will come in masses and it rings  true with the results of this election. Its ridiculous what the FBI did no doubt it was retaliation from the B Admin.
And all this also shows how biased many sociological services are, conducting all sorts of surveys of the population before elections or, for example, on some important issue for the public. It is obvious that all such sociological services, by the way, and the media, perform functions to process the mass consciousness in the direction ordered by rich customers who need to carry out the decisions they need at any cost when the issue is decided by a general vote.
hero member
Activity: 1344
Merit: 583
FBI raided the home of Shayne Coplan the chief executive of the predictive betting site Polymarket. He was instructed to give the agents his phone and other electronic gadgets. Polymaket felt that this raid was a retaliation by the Joe Biden administration for the betting platform's accurate predictions of the outcome of the elections.

But the Department of Justice claimed that Polymarket is under investigation for allegedly allowing US-based users to bet on the site. Polymarket doesn't have permission to operate bets and predictions in the US but users usually invade the prohibition using VPNs.

Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/technology/2024/nov/13/fbi-raid-polymarket-founder-trump-election

Not at all because you see how accurate their chart was to the actual? If anything it should be taken at face value here and tested in more elections to see if this wasn't just a fluke or something. I've always been fond of the phrase put your money where your mouth is, and this way you can see where the general population lays when it comes to certain candidates. People who are confident in a certain political figure will come in masses and it rings  true with the results of this election. Its ridiculous what the FBI did no doubt it was retaliation from the B Admin.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 509
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
For some countries and regions where it's a very crucial and sensitive issue in that particular country or region, for me I think it shouldn't be one that the Gamblers should even take for granted or the casino so they don't get affected as a result, or add to the societal menace because it may in a way influence the results and have some psychological impacts as some persons will be compelled going by their gambling pick which they will likely not no the exact outcome and in a bid to win the bet, they would want to affect and influence others I to accepting and buying into their ideology which has influenced their bets they are hoping to win.
hero member
Activity: 1680
Merit: 845
I do not think that a gambling platform should avoid political events if it is legal in a country.  It is one of the options of earning of the platform so it would be a waste if they will  miss it.  Instead, the gambling platform should acquire the needed documents and licenses for operation so that they won't be breaking the law of a country.

The story is not about the platform allowing political bets but rather the platform violating a country's law by allowing US citizen to bet on their platform without the proper licenses that allows them at accept bettors from the US.
I'm getting mixed signals from this. On the one hand, I don't see why gambling platforms shouldn't include political events. Polymarket offers a wide selection of bets, some of which are even disturbing. I'm not sure how valid my opinion is, but from how I see things, some people of influence, such as the French politician in the U.S. elections, definitely have more accurate information than we do. We have to rely on social media and our own personal research for this purpose, while it'll be easier for someone inside politics to acquire insider information.
full member
Activity: 266
Merit: 120
Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

When we look at how many people bet on this US election, we can conclude how popular it is to bet on political events, especially when it comes to big countries. When interest is high, there must be a market for it.

Gambling platforms will not avoid political events when people are interested in betting on them. Is this right or wrong? I think it's OK to bet on politics, it's a competition and it's fine if some people want to bet on their favorites. We can say that it has gone to the next level when we look at the markets on Polymarket.

Gambling on political events is not problematic if the system is not manipulated. The US elections is one of the freest and fairest elections held in the globe so if gamblers wish to gamble on them, it's fine. It's just a bet on who will be the winner of the election, so it is basically a bet of luck since no one knows who will win. Just like gambling on sporting events, political events ought not to be ignored as part of gambling since it involves two candidates who wants to be elected to a public office and the voting results are determined by the voters who are eligible to vote for a candidate of their choice. Involving political events in the Poly market is not a bad idea, it is a contest between two people so it is expected that people can make predictions on them.
full member
Activity: 672
Merit: 204
Some countries have criteria before you can be able to operate in your site so if you don't abide on the rules and the regulation of that country and you start operating illegally to your website I think whatever thing then charge you I think that you face it and also defend yourself because in my own country you don't need any permission to operate to our website except that government figure out that what you are doing is not eligible or is not good for the citizen it is when they were apprehend you so I believe which country has its own rules and regulation for them to get him arrested or putting under questioning I believe that the site  go contrarily against the law of the country
hero member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 674
~snip~

It's a very controversial issue. On the one hand, those in power will always protect their interests and sometimes not quite honestly, but on the other hand, such platforms can be used for the same purpose. Therefore, I would refrain from making any statements until everything is clearer. Now there may be a lot of unverified information that you should not trust. I think that more details about this case will appear soon.

There is still a lot of information that needs to be verified you are right about that my friend, there is still a lot of confusing information that is not clear, whether it has to do with politics or not, or is it carrying out duties according to the law that was violated by Polymarket.

We need to look back at the development of this case to deepen it so that everything looks clearer, but I doubt we will find the answer to this there is an element of entanglement with politics related to Kamala's defeat and Trump's victory.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 1280
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Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

I do not think that a gambling platform should avoid political events if it is legal in a country.  It is one of the options of earning of the platform so it would be a waste if they will  miss it.  Instead, the gambling platform should acquire the needed documents and licenses for operation so that they won't be breaking the law of a country.

The story is not about the platform allowing political bets but rather the platform violating a country's law by allowing US citizen to bet on their platform without the proper licenses that allows them at accept bettors from the US.
sr. member
Activity: 658
Merit: 283
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FBI raided the home of Shayne Coplan the chief executive of the predictive betting site Polymarket. He was instructed to give the agents his phone and other electronic gadgets. Polymaket felt that this raid was a retaliation by the Joe Biden administration for the betting platform's accurate predictions of the outcome of the elections.

But the Department of Justice claimed that Polymarket is under investigation for allegedly allowing US-based users to bet on the site. Polymarket doesn't have permission to operate bets and predictions in the US but users usually invade the prohibition using VPNs.

Elon Musk and Brian Armstrong have both criticised this raid calling it an attack on political opponents of the present administration. Most people think that this attack was because the government thinks that Polymaket's polls that showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump contributed to his victory.

Do you think gambling platforms should avoid political events?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/technology/2024/nov/13/fbi-raid-polymarket-founder-trump-election
First, let's talk about the Shayne Coplan house raid by the FBI. The raid is justifiable because the U.S. state already clarified that betting on political events is not allowed, and the users avoided it, which is why the government raided his house. Now, coming to the question of whether gambling platforms should avoid political events or not, politics and gambling are two different sides. Political events, like elections, are a sensitive matter, and betting on them and making predictions before the election results will lead to misunderstandings and affect the dignity of the electoral process. On the other hand, gambling on political events could provide insight to the people, helping them understand things more easily. So, it contains both risks and benefits, but I think the platforms should avoid it and respect the electoral process and not the things more harder like the shayne coplan allegation on joe biden about his house raid.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 2073
~snip~

It's a very controversial issue. On the one hand, those in power will always protect their interests and sometimes not quite honestly, but on the other hand, such platforms can be used for the same purpose. Therefore, I would refrain from making any statements until everything is clearer. Now there may be a lot of unverified information that you should not trust. I think that more details about this case will appear soon.
sr. member
Activity: 938
Merit: 292
I think there are arguments on that issue. What I emphasize positively is that a gambler is completely free to bet as he wishes. But if we look at it from another angle, this bet has a negative effect as well. When the people of a country place bets on the outcome of an election in their country, those gamblers never look at the chosen party and use their vote to win the bet. One party may have more support but he will also try to change his support for the opposition party to win his bets. This can completely change the political terrain. Which can bring big changes in politics. That is why it is better not to manage the bets around the election.
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