Really? It's been plastered all over the news, Sovereign debt, poor economic data, and the absolute fact that even countries with low sovereign debt are too invested in the dollar such that should the worst be achieved things would really go to shit, and fast! Add to that the proximity to the 2008 financial crisis, the wipeout of gains since, and house of cards that debt has put us on, and the potential energy of a future decline is frightening.
Even if we do achieve some form of recovery out of this corner, debt has been so over extended since the 80's that it would easily take 10 - 20 years just to get us on a steady footing again.
And I'm not even an Austrian gold bug!
There is also the likely scenario that we add some more duct tape and limp on for another few years on the back of tech advancements and emerging markets....who knows what would come of this outcome.
Yes, that is the broad picutre. What you expose has been there for months and things were more or less stable. Im just saying that there is something in particular going on right now that is driving everybody nuts and in panic but I dont know what it is.
Also, the debt is a big problem but its not only the debt. The distortion of the capital structure is stopping the recovery as well. The most dramatic part is probably the people. You have a lot of people that specialized in the construction sector, in my country people stopped studying because they were getting payed a lot in the construction sector. What are these people going to do now that all that demand for construction labour is never going to come back (at least in some decades)? Are they going to go back to study again that they are over 30 and with family and obligations? Are they condemned to low-level paying jobs? Are there so many low-level paying jobs? The situation is dire.
And the sad thing is that there is no magic solutions and the objectives of the solutions being applied are to mantain the status quo at any price, no matter the consquences for the people.
I think currently, the nation, is coming to the conclusion that, well, It's time to bit the bullet, and face the cold hard truth --- As a nation, we're overspent, GROSSLY, and holy cow, we can't sweep this under the rug any longer, because, the World has pulled the rug out from under us.
If history is any reference, when the system is so gone, governments and society in general never take the difficult (but correct) decissions and just keep going until everything collapses.