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Topic: So when's the crash? - page 5. (Read 10805 times)

b!z
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1010
April 03, 2013, 10:13:49 PM
#22
The crash is from $2k to $1.95k Smiley
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
April 03, 2013, 02:16:27 AM
#21
Gox is lagging over 150 seconds...
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
April 03, 2013, 02:14:13 AM
#20
Relax, a BTC will remain a BTC, also after a hard landing. Remember, the real bubble is out there with someone buying the equivalent of almost 4 Entire BTC markets each day.
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
April 03, 2013, 12:33:37 AM
#19
We really don't know how much of the money pouring in is smart money vs dumb money (easily frightened and not-educated about bitcoin). If too much of this increase is due to dumb money, we could have a major downturn that shakes confidence.

This is my concern in a nutshell.

I trust Bitcoin. I don't trust people.

Well, point of "crash" is that bitcoins owned by dumb people (buy high, sell low) become bitcoins owned by smart people (buy low, sell high/hold)
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1004
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
April 03, 2013, 12:21:25 AM
#18


One could think that in normal situations, HOWEVER, this ain't normal son. The price and adoption is going parabolic together. Each time a real company says "we are going to adopt/use bitcoin", the price is "reset", the then current price stands as the new "ground zero" and we go up from there. You cannot price bitcoin like any other traded asset because it is being traded in its infancy, which is an utterly unique situation. Couple all of this with the possibility of a mega player like Amazon or Google endorsing bitcoin and the price goes vertical for a month.


^^ THIS!! Nothing about bitcoin is normal!!
legendary
Activity: 960
Merit: 1028
Spurn wild goose chases. Seek that which endures.
April 02, 2013, 11:15:36 PM
#17
So when's the crash?
If there was anyone who could tell you, they'd be a millionaire wizard.

All we can do is watch, and plan for both the unknown hour when it shall arrive, and the possible - though unlikely - future where this is all solid and the crash never comes.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
April 02, 2013, 11:12:26 PM
#16
This rate of price increases isn't healthy anymore.

We have quite a few people sitting on over 50K++ Bitcoins that could retire in the click of a button.

All the positivity and bullishness reminds me of the last crash at $32.


So question is, when does the massive cash out happen? I'm no bear...but I'm not delusional either.

A major correction has to happen...right?



One could think that in normal situations, HOWEVER, this ain't normal son. The price and adoption is going parabolic together. Each time a real company says "we are going to adopt/use bitcoin", the price is "reset", the then current price stands as the new "ground zero" and we go up from there. You cannot price bitcoin like any other traded asset because it is being traded in its infancy, which is an utterly unique situation. Couple all of this with the possibility of a mega player like Amazon or Google endorsing bitcoin and the price goes vertical for a month.
legendary
Activity: 3676
Merit: 1495
April 02, 2013, 11:01:19 PM
#15
All the positivity and bullishness reminds me of the last crash at $32.
All the negativity and bearishness reminds me of the last increase at $1.

Sure, it "crashed" when it hit those $30, but where did it "crash" to? $2, still an increase of 100%.

It all depends on your POV.

A major correction has to happen...right?
This might be the correction, maybe people realize that Bitcoin is undervalued.


If you bought Bitcoins at $15, which a whole bunch of new people to bitcoin did, you sure felt like it crashed. 

It's all well and good for members of the forum who bought in sub $1/btc but we need newbies to have a good experience, not have their investment sliced in half.
A couple of friends bought all the way up to $30 and I always told them to hold and stay calm. Maybe they felt like it crashed, but what do you think they feel now? I always said it'll go to $100+, that's why I haven't sold any around $30 and haven't sold any during that "crash", because I was pretty damn sure that $30 is not the end.
Those who listened thank me now, those that didn't don't deserve better.  Grin

And for the newbies to have a good experience, we're talking about money here, not My Little Pony.
Bitcoin (as an investment) is a high risk investment, don't invest more than you can afford to lose.

For the user experience the price doesn't really matter, when you need to send $100 worth of bitcoins to someone, you just send $100 worth of bitcoins, makes no difference if that's 100BTC, or 0.000001BTC
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
April 02, 2013, 10:49:58 PM
#14
$200 by Saturday.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
DigiByte Founder
April 02, 2013, 10:48:23 PM
#13
I'm betting there will be at least some type of correction, maybe like last week where it swung down 20 percent in a few minutes.

Those repeat performances were not corrections.
We can't predict the next month. Gox verification line is at 10,000. We are just now beginning to see the fall out from the Cyprus events and recent BTC attention.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
April 02, 2013, 10:45:51 PM
#12
I'm betting there will be at least some type of correction, maybe like last week where it swung down 20 percent in a few minutes.
sr. member
Activity: 363
Merit: 250
April 02, 2013, 10:44:54 PM
#11
I'm bullish. I'm just confused on how the price can skyrocket this fast and people think it's going to go keep going forever and ever.

I think a lot of you may be very disappointed down the road. Then again, maybe I'm wrong and I'll hate myself for not going ALL IN at at all time high.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 254
Editor-in-Chief of Let's Talk Bitcoin!
April 02, 2013, 10:43:47 PM
#10
All the positivity and bullishness reminds me of the last crash at $32.
All the negativity and bearishness reminds me of the last increase at $1.

Sure, it "crashed" when it hit those $30, but where did it "crash" to? $2, still an increase of 100%.

It all depends on your POV.

A major correction has to happen...right?
This might be the correction, maybe people realize that Bitcoin is undervalued.


If you bought Bitcoins at $15, which a whole bunch of new people to bitcoin did, you sure felt like it crashed. 

It's all well and good for members of the forum who bought in sub $1/btc but we need newbies to have a good experience, not have their investment sliced in half.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
April 02, 2013, 10:42:13 PM
#9
Yawn.

Heard this shit before.
Sell off + lag = 2 hour bounce.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 254
Editor-in-Chief of Let's Talk Bitcoin!
April 02, 2013, 10:41:41 PM
#8
This rate of price increases isn't healthy anymore.

We have quite a few people sitting on over 50K++ Bitcoins that could retire in the click of a button.

All the positivity and bullishness reminds me of the last crash at $32.


So question is, when does the massive cash out happen? I'm no bear...but I'm not delusional either.

A major correction has to happen...right?



Yeah I just don't know.  I'm crazy skeptical and have been selling a little since we hit 100 but the way Bitcoin is built, EVENTUALLY it will have a major upward revaluation that will take it to 4 digits per coin or more.... And with how crazy things are in "normal" currencies a whole lot of people are waking up to Bitcoin, which is going to make the gains even more nuts.

So I don't know.  Every instinct in my body tells me that markets don't go up and to the left indefinitely without major periodic corrections as people who bought in at higher numbers get scared and take profits, but if the momentum is nothing but up that instinct is going to be overridden.    I hope we have a correction, not a crash - Spending some time between 80-100 before starting going up again would be much healthier than this nothing-but-all-time-gains nonsense.  Makes me nervous.

legendary
Activity: 3676
Merit: 1495
April 02, 2013, 10:41:02 PM
#7
All the positivity and bullishness reminds me of the last crash at $32.
All the negativity and bearishness reminds me of the last increase at $1.

Sure, it "crashed" when it hit those $30, but where did it "crash" to? $2, still an increase of 100%.

It all depends on your POV.

A major correction has to happen...right?
This might be the correction, maybe people realize that Bitcoin is undervalued.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
April 02, 2013, 10:39:59 PM
#6
Yawn.

Heard this shit before.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
April 02, 2013, 10:39:46 PM
#5
We have quite a few people sitting on over $50M++  that could retire in the click of a button.

But honestly, I am kind of nervous as well.
sr. member
Activity: 363
Merit: 250
April 02, 2013, 10:39:16 PM
#4
Now.

127 to 122 in minutes. Imagine what will happen in a few hours.

Nah. You'll know it when it happens.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
April 02, 2013, 10:38:22 PM
#3
Now.

127 to 122 in minutes. Imagine what will happen in a few hours.

Of course, this "flash crash" is nothing unusual when compared to other "flash crashes" of late. The price will most likely recover again.
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