As we may know, aside some few huge wallets, there is no more real activity around bitcoin (around 10 million$ / day, to be compared with total capitalization)
I've read here that some of these huge accounts that have been silent during monthes/years have
split their assets into several smaller accountsWhat lead me to conclude that Bitcoin won't recover, main reason being that I know noone still believing in it. Nobody to "invest" in apart from those almost religious about it (there is obviously a bias reading a bitcoin forum compared to real life : 10 millions$/day shifts says that too)
Imagine what will happen when of of this sells, only 1 account may represent the amount of 1 month usual activity in bitcoin market!!
My opinion : Bitcoin is just out of date, too old to compete for beeing a currency, what it was desigend for (remember, this was not meant to be a speculative asset)
But it showed the way. Blockchain has lots of good ideas
We cannot predict that there will be a dump in the future just because a large amount of btc has been transfered to some wallet.
Maybe they want to move the btc to other wallet, because security reason. You know sometimes we need to change wallet if we think our wallet is not safe anymore.
But if it was sent to exchange address, there is a high possibility that they will sell the coin