FREE TIP FOR 5 March 2020
Austrian Cup
Salzburg - LASK, Salzburg to Qualify, Stake 5/10, odd 1.62 at Bet365 (1-0 WIN)
PREVIEW: After losing 2-3 at home against LASK last time, Salzburg is now 6 points below the Linz team the league and their chances to catch them up are slim. However in Cup is a different story, because Salzburg has to take revenge. It hasn't happen for a while for Salzburg to lose either the cup nor the championship in a season and I hardly believe this will happen this year. Especially that the final will be played against Austria Lustenau, which did the impossible and most likely will play in Europa League next season. So this game means all in for Salzburg, because if they beat LASK, the final is a simple task. That's why I think they will be very focused on winning this one. One a side note, I just don't see LASK beating Salzburg away twice in a row!
Good luck to followers!
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Topic: Sport X Tipster's Betting Predictions | +65% WR | +$300K Overall PROFIT !!! - page 2. (Read 583 times)
March 05, 2020, 04:22:43 AM
March 04, 2020, 05:16:00 AM
FREE TIP FOR 4 March 2020
Romanian Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti - Sepsi OSK, Asian Handicap +0.25 Petrolul, Stake 4/10, odd 2.0 at Pinnacle Sports (0-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: For Petrolul Ploiesti, this cup game is the most important game of the season. I already see the odds dropping and I assume that by the start of the game the odds will be even, maybe even Petrolul will have a small edge.
So far there haven’t been any games between these 2 sides, but what we know for sure is that Sepsi’s main target is avoiding relegation or the playoff relegation game. They’re currently 5 points ahead of Hermannstadt, but they’ll have a tough game at Chindia Targoviste in next week.
Coach Grozavu cannot count on Fulop, one of the top strikers and also Velev and Gal are questionable for this game. Sepsi managed to get a draw last week 1-1 at home against Poli Iasi, a team that since Rednic came, went down further, instead of going up, which is a big surprise.
Petrolul, on the other hand, started the 2nd half of the League 2 with a victory home 2-0 against Calarasi and a 0-0 draw at home against Farul Constanta. They are in the 6th position currently with 35 points, but only 3 points away from top 2 teams. In an interview, Petrolul’s coach said that he’d rather lose promotion if he could get the team to play the Cup final, so this means that they put a lot of heart into this game.
If they beat Sepsi, they could have some tough games in the semifinal and possible final, because both Dinamo, FCSB, and Craiova are still in the game. What’s important for them is to qualify further and I think they’re able to do that. No important injuries for them and I think AH +0.25 Petrolul is a very good tip, because the odds will go down, so grab them while you still can.
Good luck to followers!
FOR PRO TIPS, PLEASE VISIT https://sportxtipster.com/membership
Romanian Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti - Sepsi OSK, Asian Handicap +0.25 Petrolul, Stake 4/10, odd 2.0 at Pinnacle Sports (0-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: For Petrolul Ploiesti, this cup game is the most important game of the season. I already see the odds dropping and I assume that by the start of the game the odds will be even, maybe even Petrolul will have a small edge.
So far there haven’t been any games between these 2 sides, but what we know for sure is that Sepsi’s main target is avoiding relegation or the playoff relegation game. They’re currently 5 points ahead of Hermannstadt, but they’ll have a tough game at Chindia Targoviste in next week.
Coach Grozavu cannot count on Fulop, one of the top strikers and also Velev and Gal are questionable for this game. Sepsi managed to get a draw last week 1-1 at home against Poli Iasi, a team that since Rednic came, went down further, instead of going up, which is a big surprise.
Petrolul, on the other hand, started the 2nd half of the League 2 with a victory home 2-0 against Calarasi and a 0-0 draw at home against Farul Constanta. They are in the 6th position currently with 35 points, but only 3 points away from top 2 teams. In an interview, Petrolul’s coach said that he’d rather lose promotion if he could get the team to play the Cup final, so this means that they put a lot of heart into this game.
If they beat Sepsi, they could have some tough games in the semifinal and possible final, because both Dinamo, FCSB, and Craiova are still in the game. What’s important for them is to qualify further and I think they’re able to do that. No important injuries for them and I think AH +0.25 Petrolul is a very good tip, because the odds will go down, so grab them while you still can.
Good luck to followers!
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March 03, 2020, 08:41:01 AM
FREE TIP FOR 3rd March 2020
England Conference
AFC Fylde - Notts County, X2, Stake 5/10, odd 1.70 at Pinnacle Sports (1-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: Fylde are in the bottom four at the moment, which isn’t where anyone expected them to be at this stage of the campaign but team have problems to rise up form. The playing surface at Mill Farm has been deteriorating in recent weeks, and a brick wrapped in a towel has been discovered which had been blocking a drainage pipe. Notts play good, in play off place fight at the moment and without problems in squad. Home side forward Kosylo who played 21 games is suspended. Notts without two MF O Brien and Booty who scored two goals, MF Turner is doubt but will be ready I think. The sides met for the first time in Nottingham in September, when County were 2-0 winners. I expecte AH +0.5 Notts here.
Good luck to followers!
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England Conference
AFC Fylde - Notts County, X2, Stake 5/10, odd 1.70 at Pinnacle Sports (1-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: Fylde are in the bottom four at the moment, which isn’t where anyone expected them to be at this stage of the campaign but team have problems to rise up form. The playing surface at Mill Farm has been deteriorating in recent weeks, and a brick wrapped in a towel has been discovered which had been blocking a drainage pipe. Notts play good, in play off place fight at the moment and without problems in squad. Home side forward Kosylo who played 21 games is suspended. Notts without two MF O Brien and Booty who scored two goals, MF Turner is doubt but will be ready I think. The sides met for the first time in Nottingham in September, when County were 2-0 winners. I expecte AH +0.5 Notts here.
Good luck to followers!
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March 02, 2020, 09:07:32 AM
FREE TIP FOR 1st March 2020
Spain Primera Division
Sevilla - Osasuna, Over 2.5 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.90 at Pinnacle Sports (3-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: After barely qualifying in Europa League against CFR Cluj, Sevilla has taken a stone off their heart and now can focus on LaLiga. They’re currently on 5th position and they are fighting for 3rd position to qualify to Champions League next season. Competition is tough however and if they lose, they could end on 7th place outside Europa League, so it’s an important game for them. Having scored only 16 goals at home so far, I think this game will be a game that will be very opened. Osasuna has a chance to score too, because they’re playing very good away. If they manage to score 1st, there will definitely be over 2.5 goals, even over 3.5.
Good luck to followers!
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FREE TIP FOR 2nd March 2020
Denmark Superliga
Midtjylland - Sonderjyske, Over 2.5 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.63 at Pinnacle Sports (3-0 WIN)
PREVIEW: Midtjylland huge favourite here. With a victory here thy can distance themselves 9 points from FC Copenhagen. Sonderjyske has 25 points, 9 less than the 1st relegating team and they're sure to play in the Relegation Group. Anderson, Olsen and Riis are questionable for the hosts, while visitors can't count on Pedersen, Hansen, Albaek and Gartenmann. Predicting a very open game with a lot of scoring chances for both teams. You can get odd 1.67 at Dafabet.
Good luck to followers!
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Spain Primera Division
Sevilla - Osasuna, Over 2.5 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.90 at Pinnacle Sports (3-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: After barely qualifying in Europa League against CFR Cluj, Sevilla has taken a stone off their heart and now can focus on LaLiga. They’re currently on 5th position and they are fighting for 3rd position to qualify to Champions League next season. Competition is tough however and if they lose, they could end on 7th place outside Europa League, so it’s an important game for them. Having scored only 16 goals at home so far, I think this game will be a game that will be very opened. Osasuna has a chance to score too, because they’re playing very good away. If they manage to score 1st, there will definitely be over 2.5 goals, even over 3.5.
Good luck to followers!
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FREE TIP FOR 2nd March 2020
Denmark Superliga
Midtjylland - Sonderjyske, Over 2.5 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.63 at Pinnacle Sports (3-0 WIN)
PREVIEW: Midtjylland huge favourite here. With a victory here thy can distance themselves 9 points from FC Copenhagen. Sonderjyske has 25 points, 9 less than the 1st relegating team and they're sure to play in the Relegation Group. Anderson, Olsen and Riis are questionable for the hosts, while visitors can't count on Pedersen, Hansen, Albaek and Gartenmann. Predicting a very open game with a lot of scoring chances for both teams. You can get odd 1.67 at Dafabet.
Good luck to followers!
FOR PRO TIPS, PLEASE VISIT https://sportxtipster.com/membership
February 29, 2020, 02:22:27 PM
Dear Friends,
As we stated in our initial post, we will be offering our PRO tips for a while (about 2 weeks and until 1st of March) for FREE for all of you to have an idea of what bets we're normally looking for, how our staking system works and how we write the previews for each game.
So far we have 6 WINS - 2 DRAWS - 4 LOST. It may not mean a lot, because the period was very short, but as you can see both in https://sportxtipster.blogabet.com/ and https://tipstertube.com/profile/sportxtipster (the verifying 3rd parties) the month was a very positive one with 40 units of profit.
Stats have been reset on Blogabet, because we recently got promoted to PAID status, but you can still click on Blog Menu -> Picks Archive and you will see all the tips (about 200) we had in the past couple of months. There's nothing to hide!
We also started working with Bettin.gs and now you can find us there too at https://bettin.gs/Sport-X-Tipster, in case there's more people that belive bettin.gs are more transparent. Whatever you guys like, we accept, because we want to show our full transparency and fairness of tips.
We've never had and we won't ever have anything to hide!
If any of you wants to continue following our PRO Tips, you can buy them from either our website, by selecting a membership at https://sportxtipster.com/membership or at Blogabet (if you have an account with them). We only accept BTC and Alts on our website, but for now we also accept fiat (hopefully not for too long)
We will also continue to update you here with what's going on with our PRO Tips and we will also post every few times a week a couple of FREE Tips, that we consider them profitable and that we may also post them on Bet-IBC.
It's been a pleasure to become part of this big family and I'm sure we all share the same hope and feeling regarding cryptocurrencies. We'll keep in touch! Thank you for all your support and kind words! It means the world for us!
We love you!
SPORT X TIPSTER
As we stated in our initial post, we will be offering our PRO tips for a while (about 2 weeks and until 1st of March) for FREE for all of you to have an idea of what bets we're normally looking for, how our staking system works and how we write the previews for each game.
So far we have 6 WINS - 2 DRAWS - 4 LOST. It may not mean a lot, because the period was very short, but as you can see both in https://sportxtipster.blogabet.com/ and https://tipstertube.com/profile/sportxtipster (the verifying 3rd parties) the month was a very positive one with 40 units of profit.
Stats have been reset on Blogabet, because we recently got promoted to PAID status, but you can still click on Blog Menu -> Picks Archive and you will see all the tips (about 200) we had in the past couple of months. There's nothing to hide!
We also started working with Bettin.gs and now you can find us there too at https://bettin.gs/Sport-X-Tipster, in case there's more people that belive bettin.gs are more transparent. Whatever you guys like, we accept, because we want to show our full transparency and fairness of tips.
We've never had and we won't ever have anything to hide!
If any of you wants to continue following our PRO Tips, you can buy them from either our website, by selecting a membership at https://sportxtipster.com/membership or at Blogabet (if you have an account with them). We only accept BTC and Alts on our website, but for now we also accept fiat (hopefully not for too long)
We will also continue to update you here with what's going on with our PRO Tips and we will also post every few times a week a couple of FREE Tips, that we consider them profitable and that we may also post them on Bet-IBC.
It's been a pleasure to become part of this big family and I'm sure we all share the same hope and feeling regarding cryptocurrencies. We'll keep in touch! Thank you for all your support and kind words! It means the world for us!
We love you!
SPORT X TIPSTER
February 29, 2020, 04:14:32 AM
PRO TIP FOR 29 February 2020
Netherlands Eredivisie
Den Haag - Heracles, Asian Handicap +0.25 Den Haag, Stake 5/10, odd 1.94 at SBOBET (0-0 HALF WIN)
PREVIEW: Winless in the last 5 games, Alan Pardew’s team has a tough task against Heracles, a middle table team, who shockingly won 1-0 against Ajax last week. Some may say it’s a new beginning for Heracles, I’m pretty sure it was a fluke that won’t happen again in the next years. Thus, the Den Haag – Heracles match will surely be a great encounter.
Den Haag at home only has 11 points from 12 games, which is not great at all (2 victories, 5 draws and 5 defeats), but the defeats come from top 10 teams. Last defeat was 3-0 against PSV. They scored 11 goals at home and received 17, which is not a lot, but it means they’re not the worst defense either.
Additionally, Den Haag are amongst the worst-disciplined sides in the Eredivisie, and only two teams have so far picked up more than their 45 yellow cards this term (1.88 per-match). Four red cards have been shown across Den Haag’s last four home games, three of which went to their opposition on the day.
Heracles away is not a top team either, having lost the last 3 away games with 1-0. They only scored 9 goals away and received 17, which makes them a team that doesn’t score a lot of goals away, but neither receives.
For this game, Den Haag won’t count on Malone, who’s currently injured, but they hope to recover them by the start of the game. Heracles has Bakboord and Drost injured while Konings is questionable.
I call this a game with not a lot of goals, but I see a lot more value on Den Haag not to lose this one since they’ve got a hunger for victories and need for points. If they lose this game too, they’ll most likely lose the grip against Zwolle, the team that’s on the play-off position currently.
Good luck to followers!
Netherlands Eredivisie
Den Haag - Heracles, Asian Handicap +0.25 Den Haag, Stake 5/10, odd 1.94 at SBOBET (0-0 HALF WIN)
PREVIEW: Winless in the last 5 games, Alan Pardew’s team has a tough task against Heracles, a middle table team, who shockingly won 1-0 against Ajax last week. Some may say it’s a new beginning for Heracles, I’m pretty sure it was a fluke that won’t happen again in the next years. Thus, the Den Haag – Heracles match will surely be a great encounter.
Den Haag at home only has 11 points from 12 games, which is not great at all (2 victories, 5 draws and 5 defeats), but the defeats come from top 10 teams. Last defeat was 3-0 against PSV. They scored 11 goals at home and received 17, which is not a lot, but it means they’re not the worst defense either.
Additionally, Den Haag are amongst the worst-disciplined sides in the Eredivisie, and only two teams have so far picked up more than their 45 yellow cards this term (1.88 per-match). Four red cards have been shown across Den Haag’s last four home games, three of which went to their opposition on the day.
Heracles away is not a top team either, having lost the last 3 away games with 1-0. They only scored 9 goals away and received 17, which makes them a team that doesn’t score a lot of goals away, but neither receives.
For this game, Den Haag won’t count on Malone, who’s currently injured, but they hope to recover them by the start of the game. Heracles has Bakboord and Drost injured while Konings is questionable.
I call this a game with not a lot of goals, but I see a lot more value on Den Haag not to lose this one since they’ve got a hunger for victories and need for points. If they lose this game too, they’ll most likely lose the grip against Zwolle, the team that’s on the play-off position currently.
Good luck to followers!
February 28, 2020, 06:36:37 AM
I will add the odds for those games too.
Thanks. This is how it looks like for now:
Kilmarnock - Hibernian l +0.25 Hibernian l 6/10 WON +5.16
Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu l +0.25 Astra Giurgiu l 6/10 HALF WON +2.58
Atletico Madrid - Liverpool l +0.5 Atletico Madrid l 4/10 WON +2.88
Tottenham - RB Leipzig l AH 0 Tottenham l 10/10 LOST -10
Cosenza - Frosinone l AH 0 Frosinone l 7/10 WON +5,74
Voluntari - Hermannstadt l Over 2 l 5/10 PUSH +/-0
Ferreira - Famalicao l AH 0 Famalicao l 5/10 LOST -5
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman l AH 0 Al Faisaly Amman l 5/10 LOST -5
Real Madrid - Manchester City l +0.25 Real Madrid l 10/10 LOST -10
Staked: 58.00
Returned: 44.36
P/L: -13.64
W/L/P: 4-4-1
Yield: -23.52%
Very small sample size, so no reason to worry.
Thank you for your advice! We higly appreciate ideas, suggestions and advices from anyone! Those 10/10 stake games, were carefully considered by all our tipsters and we got together on the same page. It seems like we have underestiated RB Leipzig and Manchester City too, but I personally still consider it was a good bet, because both teams are not that strong and even if they may qualify, they won't get too far.
I too think, that both bets were good/ok, I am just talking about the stakes, which I found too high. The higher the value, the more you should stake and I just doubt that there is 10/10-value to be found in CL. Maybe in early odds, but not on matchday.
February 28, 2020, 04:54:08 AM
I put your tips a bit more clear (for interested people), if you don't mind. Maybe you could have some kind of log in your first post and edit/update regularly. Could you maybe give me the odds you played for your won bets (Hibernian, Astra Giurgiu, Atletico, Frosinone) ?
Kilmarnock - Hibernian l +0.25 Hibernian l 6/10 WON
Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu l +0.25 Astra Giurgiu l 6/10 HALF WON
Atletico Madrid - Liverpool l +0.5 Atletico Madrid l 4/10 WON
Tottenham - RB Leipzig l AH 0 Tottenham l 10/10 LOST -10
Cosenza - Frosinone l AH 0 Frosinone l 7/10 WON
Voluntari - Hermannstadt l Over 2 l 5/10 PUSH +/-0
Ferreira - Famalicao l AH 0 Famalicao l 5/10 LOST -5
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman l AH 0 Al Faisaly Amman l 5/10 LOST -5
Real Madrid - Manchester City l +0.25 Real Madrid l 10/10 LOST -10
Staked: 58
P/L:
W/L/P: 4-4-1
Yield:
Kilmarnock - Hibernian l +0.25 Hibernian l 6/10 WON
Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu l +0.25 Astra Giurgiu l 6/10 HALF WON
Atletico Madrid - Liverpool l +0.5 Atletico Madrid l 4/10 WON
Tottenham - RB Leipzig l AH 0 Tottenham l 10/10 LOST -10
Cosenza - Frosinone l AH 0 Frosinone l 7/10 WON
Voluntari - Hermannstadt l Over 2 l 5/10 PUSH +/-0
Ferreira - Famalicao l AH 0 Famalicao l 5/10 LOST -5
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman l AH 0 Al Faisaly Amman l 5/10 LOST -5
Real Madrid - Manchester City l +0.25 Real Madrid l 10/10 LOST -10
Staked: 58
P/L:
W/L/P: 4-4-1
Yield:
I will add the odds for those games too.
Quote
What happened to your blogabet ? https://sportxtipstr.blogabet.com/
I just realized there was a typing mistake there. Blog name is https://sportxtipster.blogabet.com/
Quote
I checked your profile at Bet-IBC and I think your staking is way too risky:
1 – Prediction that’s more of a gamble (1% of bankroll)
5 – Medium Stake on this tip. I trust it! (5% of bankroll)
10 – Highest stake possible on this tip! (10% of bankroll)
https://bet-ibc.com/tipsters/sport-x-tipster/
Not counting the postponed bet, you have staked 6.4 units on average, which would be 6.4% of your bankroll per bet and this is just too high, especially in football when you don't bet 3rd division in some smaller country. 10/10 is 10% of your bankroll, this is pretty much. You can stake like that of course, but then a 10/10 bet should be a very rare occasion. With 9 bets, you already had two 10/10 bets (and both in CL, where there can't be any 10/10 imo - markets are too perfect in CL).
Don't take this as some offense to your service, it's just what I observed after monitoring things a bit. I think you will be doing fine (and better with your next bets), but there is always room for improvement as you know
1 – Prediction that’s more of a gamble (1% of bankroll)
5 – Medium Stake on this tip. I trust it! (5% of bankroll)
10 – Highest stake possible on this tip! (10% of bankroll)
https://bet-ibc.com/tipsters/sport-x-tipster/
Not counting the postponed bet, you have staked 6.4 units on average, which would be 6.4% of your bankroll per bet and this is just too high, especially in football when you don't bet 3rd division in some smaller country. 10/10 is 10% of your bankroll, this is pretty much. You can stake like that of course, but then a 10/10 bet should be a very rare occasion. With 9 bets, you already had two 10/10 bets (and both in CL, where there can't be any 10/10 imo - markets are too perfect in CL).
Don't take this as some offense to your service, it's just what I observed after monitoring things a bit. I think you will be doing fine (and better with your next bets), but there is always room for improvement as you know
Thank you for your advice! We higly appreciate ideas, suggestions and advices from anyone! Those 10/10 stake games, were carefully considered by all our tipsters and we got together on the same page. It seems like we have underestiated RB Leipzig and Manchester City too, but I personally still consider it was a good bet, because both teams are not that strong and even if they may qualify, they won't get too far.
February 28, 2020, 04:47:03 AM
PRO TIP FOR 28 February 2020
France Ligue 2
Orleans - Troyes, Asian Handicap 0 Troyes, Stake 8/10, odd 1.70 at Betfair (0-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: Odds are dropping really fast on Troyes and there's a real reason behind this. Orleans will play without 3 important players due to the fact they no longer want to play for the bottom team.
Orleans had an aweful season so far and from my point of view they will relegate for sure. They're only 6 points from Niort, the team that could play the play-out game against 3rd placed team from National, but I really doubt they can get there.
Is not their poor quality of players that makes be think this way, but their lack of football. Anyone who watch them play recently can rely they're not playing anything and it's a miracle they even have 19 points so far. Last week they won 2-1 at Le Have, which was a shocking result and some think that's the turning point, but I'm sure it was just a fluke and we'll see this against Troyes. I'm still bumped that Troyes has odd of 1.7 as AH 0, because I was thinking Troyes deserves 1.9 as victory odd and I'll gladly take this odd.
Troyes a main favourite for direct promotion, won the last 3 consecutive games, after losing 3 consecutive games. We may think that they're having an alternative form, which at some point is correct and that's why they missed promotion so many times. Anyway, I see them fighing for second place, because they're football is above second league and they're proving it. In away games they got 23 points from 13 games, scored only 12 games, which is not amazing, but only received 8 goals, which makes them the best away defense.
In 4 games at Orleans so far, there has been 2 draws and 2 low margin victories for Troyes (with 1-0) and I expect the same thing to happen in this game. Catch this odd while you still can, cause it will go down!
Good luck to followers!
France Ligue 2
Orleans - Troyes, Asian Handicap 0 Troyes, Stake 8/10, odd 1.70 at Betfair (0-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: Odds are dropping really fast on Troyes and there's a real reason behind this. Orleans will play without 3 important players due to the fact they no longer want to play for the bottom team.
Orleans had an aweful season so far and from my point of view they will relegate for sure. They're only 6 points from Niort, the team that could play the play-out game against 3rd placed team from National, but I really doubt they can get there.
Is not their poor quality of players that makes be think this way, but their lack of football. Anyone who watch them play recently can rely they're not playing anything and it's a miracle they even have 19 points so far. Last week they won 2-1 at Le Have, which was a shocking result and some think that's the turning point, but I'm sure it was just a fluke and we'll see this against Troyes. I'm still bumped that Troyes has odd of 1.7 as AH 0, because I was thinking Troyes deserves 1.9 as victory odd and I'll gladly take this odd.
Troyes a main favourite for direct promotion, won the last 3 consecutive games, after losing 3 consecutive games. We may think that they're having an alternative form, which at some point is correct and that's why they missed promotion so many times. Anyway, I see them fighing for second place, because they're football is above second league and they're proving it. In away games they got 23 points from 13 games, scored only 12 games, which is not amazing, but only received 8 goals, which makes them the best away defense.
In 4 games at Orleans so far, there has been 2 draws and 2 low margin victories for Troyes (with 1-0) and I expect the same thing to happen in this game. Catch this odd while you still can, cause it will go down!
Good luck to followers!
February 26, 2020, 06:23:31 PM
I put your tips a bit more clear (for interested people), if you don't mind. Maybe you could have some kind of log in your first post and edit/update regularly. Could you maybe give me the odds you played for your won bets (Hibernian, Astra Giurgiu, Atletico, Frosinone) ?
Kilmarnock - Hibernian l +0.25 Hibernian l 6/10 WON
Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu l +0.25 Astra Giurgiu l 6/10 HALF WON
Atletico Madrid - Liverpool l +0.5 Atletico Madrid l 4/10 WON
Tottenham - RB Leipzig l AH 0 Tottenham l 10/10 LOST -10
Cosenza - Frosinone l AH 0 Frosinone l 7/10 WON
Voluntari - Hermannstadt l Over 2 l 5/10 PUSH +/-0
Ferreira - Famalicao l AH 0 Famalicao l 5/10 LOST -5
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman l AH 0 Al Faisaly Amman l 5/10 LOST -5
Real Madrid - Manchester City l +0.25 Real Madrid l 10/10 LOST -10
Staked: 58
P/L:
W/L/P: 4-4-1
Yield:
What happened to your blogabet ? https://sportxtipstr.blogabet.com/
I checked your profile at Bet-IBC and I think your staking is way too risky:
Not counting the postponed bet, you have staked 6.4 units on average, which would be 6.4% of your bankroll per bet and this is just too high, especially in football when you don't bet 3rd division in some smaller country. 10/10 is 10% of your bankroll, this is pretty much. You can stake like that of course, but then a 10/10 bet should be a very rare occasion. With 9 bets, you already had two 10/10 bets (and both in CL, where there can't be any 10/10 imo - markets are too perfect in CL).
Don't take this as some offense to your service, it's just what I observed after monitoring things a bit. I think you will be doing fine (and better with your next bets), but there is always room for improvement as you know
Kilmarnock - Hibernian l +0.25 Hibernian l 6/10 WON
Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu l +0.25 Astra Giurgiu l 6/10 HALF WON
Atletico Madrid - Liverpool l +0.5 Atletico Madrid l 4/10 WON
Tottenham - RB Leipzig l AH 0 Tottenham l 10/10 LOST -10
Cosenza - Frosinone l AH 0 Frosinone l 7/10 WON
Voluntari - Hermannstadt l Over 2 l 5/10 PUSH +/-0
Ferreira - Famalicao l AH 0 Famalicao l 5/10 LOST -5
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman l AH 0 Al Faisaly Amman l 5/10 LOST -5
Real Madrid - Manchester City l +0.25 Real Madrid l 10/10 LOST -10
Staked: 58
P/L:
W/L/P: 4-4-1
Yield:
What happened to your blogabet ? https://sportxtipstr.blogabet.com/
I checked your profile at Bet-IBC and I think your staking is way too risky:
Quote
1 – Prediction that’s more of a gamble (1% of bankroll)
5 – Medium Stake on this tip. I trust it! (5% of bankroll)
10 – Highest stake possible on this tip! (10% of bankroll)
https://bet-ibc.com/tipsters/sport-x-tipster/5 – Medium Stake on this tip. I trust it! (5% of bankroll)
10 – Highest stake possible on this tip! (10% of bankroll)
Not counting the postponed bet, you have staked 6.4 units on average, which would be 6.4% of your bankroll per bet and this is just too high, especially in football when you don't bet 3rd division in some smaller country. 10/10 is 10% of your bankroll, this is pretty much. You can stake like that of course, but then a 10/10 bet should be a very rare occasion. With 9 bets, you already had two 10/10 bets (and both in CL, where there can't be any 10/10 imo - markets are too perfect in CL).
Don't take this as some offense to your service, it's just what I observed after monitoring things a bit. I think you will be doing fine (and better with your next bets), but there is always room for improvement as you know
February 26, 2020, 08:16:50 AM
PRO TIP FOR 26 February 2020
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City, Asian Handicap +0.25 Real Madrid, odd 1.85 at Pinnacle Sports (1-2 LOST)
PREVIEW: After a schocking verdict from UEFA, Manchester City will try their best to reach the final of UCL, a target they've been missing for seven years in a row. Real Madrid is unbeaten against Man City in the last 4 head 2 heads (2 W, 2 D) and have targeted the Champions League final again.
Even if Man City has won 8 of the last 10 games, in knockout stage matches in Spain, they are yet to win (1 draw, 4 losses). Recent shape of Real Madrid is a bit worrying (especially after shocking 1-0 loss at Levante) and that's why bookmakers consider City as favourite, but given the way Real plays in Champions League in comparision to LaLiga, there's a clear difference. Same goes for Barcelona when playing in Europe.
Definitely Real will not play this game and I want to play extra safe this game, but I go full stake, because I just don't see Real losing this one.
Good luck to followers!
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City, Asian Handicap +0.25 Real Madrid, odd 1.85 at Pinnacle Sports (1-2 LOST)
PREVIEW: After a schocking verdict from UEFA, Manchester City will try their best to reach the final of UCL, a target they've been missing for seven years in a row. Real Madrid is unbeaten against Man City in the last 4 head 2 heads (2 W, 2 D) and have targeted the Champions League final again.
Even if Man City has won 8 of the last 10 games, in knockout stage matches in Spain, they are yet to win (1 draw, 4 losses). Recent shape of Real Madrid is a bit worrying (especially after shocking 1-0 loss at Levante) and that's why bookmakers consider City as favourite, but given the way Real plays in Champions League in comparision to LaLiga, there's a clear difference. Same goes for Barcelona when playing in Europe.
Definitely Real will not play this game and I want to play extra safe this game, but I go full stake, because I just don't see Real losing this one.
Good luck to followers!
February 25, 2020, 04:26:24 AM
PRO TIP FOR 25 February 2020
England National League
AFC Fylde - Notts County, Asian Handicap +0.25 Notts County, Stake 6/10, odd 1.73 at Betfair (Postp.)
PREVIEW: Fylde are in the bottom four at the moment, which isn’t where anyone expected them to be at this stage of the campaign but team have problems to rise up form. The playing surface at Mill Farm has been deteriorating in recent weeks, and a brick wrapped in a towel has been discovered which had been blocking a drainage pipe. Notts play good, in play off place fight at the moment and without problems in squad. Home side forward Kosylo who played 21 games is suspended. Notts without two MF O Brien and Booty who scored two goals, MF Turner is doubt but will be ready I think. The sides met for the first time in Nottingham in September, when County were 2-0 winners. I expecte AH +0.25 Notts here.
Good luck to followers!
England National League
AFC Fylde - Notts County, Asian Handicap +0.25 Notts County, Stake 6/10, odd 1.73 at Betfair (Postp.)
PREVIEW: Fylde are in the bottom four at the moment, which isn’t where anyone expected them to be at this stage of the campaign but team have problems to rise up form. The playing surface at Mill Farm has been deteriorating in recent weeks, and a brick wrapped in a towel has been discovered which had been blocking a drainage pipe. Notts play good, in play off place fight at the moment and without problems in squad. Home side forward Kosylo who played 21 games is suspended. Notts without two MF O Brien and Booty who scored two goals, MF Turner is doubt but will be ready I think. The sides met for the first time in Nottingham in September, when County were 2-0 winners. I expecte AH +0.25 Notts here.
Good luck to followers!
February 24, 2020, 04:10:07 AM
PRO TIP FOR 24 February 2020
AFC Cup
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman, Asian Handicap 0 Al Faisaly Amman, Stake 5/10, odd 2.03 at Pinnacle Sports (4-3 LOST)
PREVIEW: So far 6 games have been played by these 2 sides and Faisaly won 4 times, 1 draw and Al Ansar only won once in 2002. The Jordanian champion is forced to win this game if they want to proceed further after a disappointing 0-0 draw at home against poor Wathbah. Al Ansar also lost first round at Al Kuwait, who seems the favourite to win this group. For Al Faisaly, only Saeed Al Murjan is injured while the lebanese champion has Hasan B, Maatouk and Chaito questionable. For me it's a great odd and a very good opportunity.
Good luck to followers!
AFC Cup
Al Ansar Beirut - Al Faisaly Amman, Asian Handicap 0 Al Faisaly Amman, Stake 5/10, odd 2.03 at Pinnacle Sports (4-3 LOST)
PREVIEW: So far 6 games have been played by these 2 sides and Faisaly won 4 times, 1 draw and Al Ansar only won once in 2002. The Jordanian champion is forced to win this game if they want to proceed further after a disappointing 0-0 draw at home against poor Wathbah. Al Ansar also lost first round at Al Kuwait, who seems the favourite to win this group. For Al Faisaly, only Saeed Al Murjan is injured while the lebanese champion has Hasan B, Maatouk and Chaito questionable. For me it's a great odd and a very good opportunity.
Good luck to followers!
February 23, 2020, 03:46:36 AM
PRO TIP FOR 23 February 2020
Portugal Primeira Liga
Ferreira - Famalicao, Asian Handicap 0 Famalicao, Stake 5/10, odd 1.90 at SBOBET (2-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: Famalicao is one of the surprises this year in Primeira Liga. Many experts suggested they will fight to avoid relegation, but they're currently fighting to play in Europa League, which would be an amazing achievement. They are currently on 5th position with 33 points, like Rio Ave and only 3 points less than Sporting who's on the 4th position. Away they're doing pretty good, gathering 15 points from 10 games and losing only to Benfica, Porto and Portimonense. They scored 14 goals and received 17 goals in 10 games, with an average of 3.1 goals per away game, second only to Aves.
Ferreira on the other hand is a disappointment this season and it's only a shadow of the team that 10 years ago, was fighting top 4 spots and was playing in Europa League. They're currently on 16th position, only 1 point more than Portimonense the first relegating team. They lost the last 4 games in a row. They scored only 12 goals so far and received 30, having the worst attack in the league and 3rd worst defense. At home, they only managed to earn 11 points from 11 games. They scored 7 goals and received 11, having an average of 1.6 goals at home second bottom after Setubal.
For this game Perez is unavailable for Famalicao, due to his national selection, while Konate is questionable, having a slight injury. Ferreira doesn't have any important injuries, but the situation at the team is very tense with a lot of conflicts between the players and the coach, while fans are threating the players if they relegate.
In the only 5 games ever played between these teams, Famalicao won 4 times (including 3 victories away at Ferreira), while Ferreria only won once away, last year.
Due to these circumstances, I expect a very balanced game and most likely a narrow win from Famalicao. There's a visible difference between these teams and not only as standings, but also game quality and players. AH 0 Famalicao, seems the logical bet for me and the odds are very good for them.
Good luck to followers!
Portugal Primeira Liga
Ferreira - Famalicao, Asian Handicap 0 Famalicao, Stake 5/10, odd 1.90 at SBOBET (2-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: Famalicao is one of the surprises this year in Primeira Liga. Many experts suggested they will fight to avoid relegation, but they're currently fighting to play in Europa League, which would be an amazing achievement. They are currently on 5th position with 33 points, like Rio Ave and only 3 points less than Sporting who's on the 4th position. Away they're doing pretty good, gathering 15 points from 10 games and losing only to Benfica, Porto and Portimonense. They scored 14 goals and received 17 goals in 10 games, with an average of 3.1 goals per away game, second only to Aves.
Ferreira on the other hand is a disappointment this season and it's only a shadow of the team that 10 years ago, was fighting top 4 spots and was playing in Europa League. They're currently on 16th position, only 1 point more than Portimonense the first relegating team. They lost the last 4 games in a row. They scored only 12 goals so far and received 30, having the worst attack in the league and 3rd worst defense. At home, they only managed to earn 11 points from 11 games. They scored 7 goals and received 11, having an average of 1.6 goals at home second bottom after Setubal.
For this game Perez is unavailable for Famalicao, due to his national selection, while Konate is questionable, having a slight injury. Ferreira doesn't have any important injuries, but the situation at the team is very tense with a lot of conflicts between the players and the coach, while fans are threating the players if they relegate.
In the only 5 games ever played between these teams, Famalicao won 4 times (including 3 victories away at Ferreira), while Ferreria only won once away, last year.
Due to these circumstances, I expect a very balanced game and most likely a narrow win from Famalicao. There's a visible difference between these teams and not only as standings, but also game quality and players. AH 0 Famalicao, seems the logical bet for me and the odds are very good for them.
Good luck to followers!
February 22, 2020, 04:32:09 AM
Quote
Not a good advice or modus operandi. If you play 1.90 on average and your customers (are only able to) play 1.80 on average, they might sit at a loss, while you are still playing profitable. The odds, and always getting the best ones, are crucial longterm - makes a huge difference. So when you recommend a 1.90, something like 1.87 should be the minimum to follow the bet. But the ultimate goal should be to get the exact same odds.
You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5%
You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5%
Yes, I totally understand your point of view and you're right. That's why we always place our tips, based on the odds of the best bookmakers on the market and with highest liquidity. We could have picked smaller bookmakers or illiquid ones, but we understand that:
1. Punters cannot play high stakes, because they will get limited fast and even blocked
2. Bookmakers may block the game before other players can bet on it
3. Bookmakers can decrease the odds and the maximum stake allowed.
If you look at the stats from Blogabet/Tipster Tube, we will only place our tips at high stake bookmakers not because they have the biggest odds, but because they won't drop the odds that fast in case large bets are placed on events. You will never see a tip from us at for example: 1xbet, bet365 or other low limit bookmaker, because we know is not profitable either for us nor our clients.
You pointed out very well regarding the odds decrease, totally agree! The only problem arises for punters that cannot place our tips at high stake bookmakers, because if it's impossible for punters to access them from their country, it's impossible for us to guarantee them the same ROI at a lower odd.
For example we have this problem with a few clients from China. Since in China is forbidden to bet online with the exception of state owned shops, although they're following our tips closely, sometimes they can't catch the same bets or odds as we and they understand it. They're having a lower profit, but as long as it's a profit they are happy with it. Other clients would not understand that and unfortunately for them, we don't have any answers yet and I'm sure that no tipster (except for maybe local ones) has any.
Thanks for bringing up this discussion! It's always great to share experiences and thoughts!
February 22, 2020, 04:17:04 AM
You seem to base the decisions you make on table standings. I have no problem with that as long as your predictions win.
What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
Hello and thank you from your message.
I understand your point of view and you're correct. We'll start from now on to add odds from the bookkmakers we pick to bet the tip on.
Thank you for your nice words and hopefully you will enjoy our tips
Have a great day!
February 22, 2020, 04:15:45 AM
Thank you for that detailed answer
It's not necessary to be perfect in every area or have it all figured out to be successful. And being comfortable with what you do and how you do it, is maybe more important than seeking perfection with something you are not comfortable with.
Not a good advice or modus operandi. If you play 1.90 on average and your customers (are only able to) play 1.80 on average, they might sit at a loss, while you are still playing profitable. The odds, and always getting the best ones, are crucial longterm - makes a huge difference. So when you recommend a 1.90, something like 1.87 should be the minimum to follow the bet. But the ultimate goal should be to get the exact same odds.
You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5%
Maybe it's not the best approach in the world, (...)
It's not necessary to be perfect in every area or have it all figured out to be successful. And being comfortable with what you do and how you do it, is maybe more important than seeking perfection with something you are not comfortable with.
Regarding your tip, indeed, I was thinking to post odds in decimal format too, but the reason why I'm not doing it is that odds can differ from bookmaker to bookmaker and while we can pick odd of let's say 1.90 at SBOBET or Pinnacle Sports, a punter who wants to follow our tips, but is from US or another country that cannot access our bookmaker, will get a lower odd of, let's say 1.8 at 5 Dimes and he will be furious. We can lose a lot of potential members this way. I think it will be best for people that follow our tips to check if they can play our tips at their local bookmakers and what odds they can get them at.
Not a good advice or modus operandi. If you play 1.90 on average and your customers (are only able to) play 1.80 on average, they might sit at a loss, while you are still playing profitable. The odds, and always getting the best ones, are crucial longterm - makes a huge difference. So when you recommend a 1.90, something like 1.87 should be the minimum to follow the bet. But the ultimate goal should be to get the exact same odds.
You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5%
February 22, 2020, 04:10:40 AM
PRO TIP FOR 22 February 2020
Romania Liga 1:
Voluntari - Hermannstadt, Over 2 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.75 at Pinnacle Sports (2-0 DRAW)
PREVIEW: Since Teja has become the new coach of Voluntari, the team started to play more offensive and got 3 victories in the last 5 games. In fact they were only defeated by CFR Cluj and FCSB, top teams. It's good to note that Voluntari has most over 2.5 goals in Liga 1 (with 18 out of 25 games) and Hermannstadt is on 6th place (with 14 out of 25 games). Both teams will meet again in play out a couple of weeks from today and today's game is not very important, because in play out, teams will start with half their number of points. So far there has been 7 games between these 2 teams and everytime the host didn't lose. 5 out of the 7 games had at least 2 goals in it, which makes me believe the current form of both teams is a trigger for a feast of goals today. I pick the safe side with Over 2 goals and I suggest you to do the same.
Good luck to followers!
Romania Liga 1:
Voluntari - Hermannstadt, Over 2 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.75 at Pinnacle Sports (2-0 DRAW)
PREVIEW: Since Teja has become the new coach of Voluntari, the team started to play more offensive and got 3 victories in the last 5 games. In fact they were only defeated by CFR Cluj and FCSB, top teams. It's good to note that Voluntari has most over 2.5 goals in Liga 1 (with 18 out of 25 games) and Hermannstadt is on 6th place (with 14 out of 25 games). Both teams will meet again in play out a couple of weeks from today and today's game is not very important, because in play out, teams will start with half their number of points. So far there has been 7 games between these 2 teams and everytime the host didn't lose. 5 out of the 7 games had at least 2 goals in it, which makes me believe the current form of both teams is a trigger for a feast of goals today. I pick the safe side with Over 2 goals and I suggest you to do the same.
Good luck to followers!
February 22, 2020, 04:06:19 AM
You seem to base the decisions you make on table standings. I have no problem with that as long as your predictions win.
What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
February 22, 2020, 04:04:25 AM
I too think, that you are doing a pretty good job. I went through your stats from previous years and it's looking rock solid, congratulations. Tbh your way of betting reminds me very much of a paid service that I was subscribed to some 12 years ago, but I don't think you are the same guys
That Tottenham bet, though lost, was a good one I think and had some value. Maybe not 10/10 value, this is CL after all, but you can't win em all.
You are betting on a lot of different leagues, which is something I don't like that much, but as long as you make your profits with it, all good. Your reasonings for your bets are a bit so and so, most of that information I can gather with a quick look at the table or recent matches. But I know, that it's hard to always give super sophisticated reasoning, especially when you bet a lot with gut feeling, which I suppose you do and most ambitious betting people do to a certain extent.
You said you have 4 experts. Does each of them cover some leagues or do you all cover all leagues ? Do you discuss the picks to be published or can each of you publish his picks independently (if each of you is specialized in some leagues) ?
That Tottenham bet, though lost, was a good one I think and had some value. Maybe not 10/10 value, this is CL after all, but you can't win em all.
You are betting on a lot of different leagues, which is something I don't like that much, but as long as you make your profits with it, all good. Your reasonings for your bets are a bit so and so, most of that information I can gather with a quick look at the table or recent matches. But I know, that it's hard to always give super sophisticated reasoning, especially when you bet a lot with gut feeling, which I suppose you do and most ambitious betting people do to a certain extent.
You said you have 4 experts. Does each of them cover some leagues or do you all cover all leagues ? Do you discuss the picks to be published or can each of you publish his picks independently (if each of you is specialized in some leagues) ?
Hello and thank you for your nice words
I'm affraid we're not the same guys, because we were formed in 2012 and even if we were betting since longer time, we got our group together only later.
Let me answer your questions one by one:
1. Yes, we cover plenty of leagues, because we're not only focusing on one league, we're focusing on value tips and potential bookie mistakes. We're daily searching for best possible odds and no matter we find a game in Champions League or Iceland 3rd division, as long as it has value and it's playable at important bookmakers, we're going for it.
2. Maybe our analysis isn't that sophisticated at some point and I totally agree with it. We're focusing more on the tip and less on the explanaition, because we consider that if a tip is good enough and if that people have enough trust in you, they will play your tip, even if the analysis isn't the best. Also, for some leagues it's pretty difficult to find some news that could explain why you chose to pick that game.
3. Yes, we have a team of 4 experts from various countries, actually 5 now, because we just hired another tipster recently
4. Each expert has a couple of leagues that closely follows, followed by another group of leagues of interest and some the 3rd group of alternatives leagues, in case first 2 group of leagues are not available in that day.
5. We discuss daily via Skype/ Facebook/ What's App. We have our own group and discuss daily the best possible picks, what everybody wants to bet on and stuff like that. It's not always easy to find the best tip, when 4, sorry 5 tipsters talk about the best outcome, but we try to convince each other that our tip is the best and if we have enough arguments, we'll go for it. When we find more than 1 great tip that we consider worth publishing it, we add that tip too. As a rule, we don't add more than 3 tips per day!
That's just how we work! Maybe it's not the best approach in the world, but working as a team definitely helps us brainstorming more and removes the "gut" or "feeling" factor that most tipsters have, when they want to bet on something emotionally.
Should you have any other questions for us, I'm here, don't hesitate to ask me!
Have a great day!
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