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Topic: Sports bets : how I used to bet a long time ago lol - page 2. (Read 338 times)

full member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 166
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you were using martingale in sportsbetting which is really wrong in sportsbetting , I made a topic few months ago about how bad martingale is using real stats from a professional gambler who is actually good in betting . Feel free to check it : https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.46061753

the only way to make money in sportsbetting is value betting , meaning you need to keep searching in bookies for odds that you think is way too good for the possibility of it winning
if you are really good in analyzing and calling good prices then you will have success in the long run


 yes you are right we need to alert in all time forgetting the better result in our investment so sports betting definitely need the intelligence that you have in airport that you are being invested otherwise definitely you cannot make money.
legendary
Activity: 2436
Merit: 1804
guess who's back
you were using martingale in sportsbetting which is really wrong in sportsbetting , I made a topic few months ago about how bad martingale is using real stats from a professional gambler who is actually good in betting . Feel free to check it : https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.46061753

the only way to make money in sportsbetting is value betting , meaning you need to keep searching in bookies for odds that you think is way too good for the possibility of it winning
if you are really good in analyzing and calling good prices then you will have success in the long run
member
Activity: 1120
Merit: 30
Bisq Market Day - March 20th 2023
As a gambler i use to place more of my betting on sports (soccer) were i handling lose to the game. I used to bet for a longtime that is, place my game over 1-3 months just to ensure that i made good profits out.

How does this happen: I make sure i select the best game in the season even if the games are weeks distance from each others. This has drastically help me to reduce my lost over time on sport betting. 
copper member
Activity: 168
Merit: 42
nothing is impossible
The only times I bet such big amounts on 1 game is when I find an arbitrage opportunity where I am '100%' sure I will have the bet correct. Cause even when the odds are very low. I also had a tennis game yesterday but it turned out in my favour. At the beginning of the game player a 5.2 and player b 1.21. Player A came up 2 nil in sets and and odds turned around Player B got a 6.45 for still winning the game. I decided to take a shot with 10mBTC and that guy ended up winning the game.
But before the match started I already made a bet of 30mBTC on player B at his 1.21 odd prematch. If I would have been unlucky I would have lost that 30mBTC.

Yesterday I was betting live on several tennis games, which player wins game X. I was on a winning streak and had about 50mBTC profits. The I came in a game with a guy that didn't had a single break against and he could win the game by holding his service game. So decided to put the 50mBTC on that player to win the game. Out of the blue he lost his service game with a love game and my 50mBTC profits vanished.

So there never is a certainty in gambling. That why I switched to arbitrage and value betting. Both betting strategies give some steady profits in the long run. Except the value betting strategy can have some swings but overall I manage to make about 20-25% profits monthly by using the valuebeutting strategy.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 851
So I don't bet on sports anymore.
I used to, 15 years ago or something. At the time, the betting sites were PaddyPower, Gamebookers, Betoto, Interwetten and I was registered on all of them or almost. Why ? To get the better odds and to have more opportunities of sure bets.
I would bet on every thing and I mean everything. There were sports I knew a lot about (basketball, soccer...) and others I knew zero about (cricket, bowls, darts...) .
My strategy wasn't based on logics but for the most part on stats and probabilities.
Exemple ? Betting on the number of goals in the Dutch soccer championships. It was a very offensive championship with lots of goals scored and dominant teams (az alkmaar, ajax, feyenoord, psv...). Anyway, what I did was pick a high scoring team and wait for it to have a few consecutive games with a total of goals scored under3. And then I'd bet on 3 over. I made a lot of money like this. Probabilities : same things with odd or even results... like at the roulette table.
Of course, I would lose at times but if I did, I would make the exact same bet the next time and make sure to get at least my money back.
Ex: I'd bet 2 on an over 3 and lose... next week I'd bet 3... and if I lost again I'd bet 6 the next time etc, etc...
Everything was recorded on my own sportsbook so I wouldn't lose track.

I would spend my entire day betting, following games and betting on them live. Live betting is the easiest and most secure way to make surebets. I'd pick games with the most chances to have odds reversed (volleyball is great for that... sets are always tight).

I also would bet on baseball, waiting for a strike or a hit, on darts (odd or even number)... stats and probabilities again.

And I was good at it, I would have lots of positive days...
But I was also very bad at it at the same time. Why ? Because I would bet way too much and even though I would win 90% of the time, the 10% of losses were done with a much higher amount. I was the kind of guy who would bet 1000 euros on a 1.01 and lose my bet on a live game (ever seen Federer up two sets to nil , 5-3 in the third set and end up losing ? Well I have and it hurt!).

I don't know how you guys bet today as I completely lost touch with all of this.
But if I may give some advice, whatever your strategy is, don't bet too much (I mean, just place a few easy bets here and there, don't bet 100 times a day), don't be too greedy and be patient. Fix yourself a limit for each bet (losing 1000 euros in one bet is not easy to fix... you'll have to take more risks to get them back and will probably lose even more).

Just thought I'd share. I recently found out about this part of the forum because of the signature campaigns I'm doing and it reminded me of that time.
I don't know if you guys will read this and care or not.
But I'm curious to read about how you guys bet today, what your strategies are and all...

Good luck to all of you !
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