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Topic: Stamp BID wall piles up WTF!? (Read 4081 times)

legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1012
January 27, 2014, 11:01:56 AM
#36
The majority of examples from financial history would suggest a break to the downside after this.

Because Bitcoin is controlled by a relative few cocksucking whale-rats, Bitcoin may be different. We will see. I will however be shorting Bitcoin again just as soon as it falls short of recent 836 high and starts to trend down again.

Well... I'm no whale-rat, but if I was, I would paint the charts to look like the exchange rate is about to do what a majority of examples from financial history would suggest, and then do the opposite.

Then again, maybe people would expect me to do that... in which case I would... stick with history!

Fuck day trading.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 27, 2014, 07:42:11 AM
#35
What happens next?





Good try but no cigar.

That move played out over just a few days, and because it occurred on a strong up move, could be considered a bullish wedge.

Bitcoin has been in this desceding triangle for the past 3 weeks, after a slow recovery from a brutal correction.

The majority of examples from financial history would suggest a break to the downside after this.

Because Bitcoin is controlled by a relative few cocksucking whale-rats, Bitcoin may be different. We will see. I will however be shorting Bitcoin again just as soon as it falls short of recent 836 high and starts to trend down again.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 27, 2014, 01:17:03 AM
#34
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.

Maybe, but if people were just cutting their losses so they could sell on another exchange, the price would have gone DOWN on those exchanges and it didn't.
Wrong. People can panic buy out of Gox without selling on other exchanges right away. They just hold the btc. They would rather not realize a loss, and instead wait for the next price rally or until mtgox fixes its problems.

Also, since this morning, the gap between mtgox and other exchanges has increased from $160 to $200!

ok, so if they are hodling then they believe the price will go up eventually. If enough people believe this, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. The point is a bullish spin could be put on this story just as easily as your bearish spin.
So true! it's all perspective.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
January 27, 2014, 01:15:24 AM
#33
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.

Maybe, but if people were just cutting their losses so they could sell on another exchange, the price would have gone DOWN on those exchanges and it didn't.
Wrong. People can panic buy out of Gox without selling on other exchanges right away. They just hold the btc. They would rather not realize a loss, and instead wait for the next price rally or until mtgox fixes its problems.

Also, since this morning, the gap between mtgox and other exchanges has increased from $160 to $200!

ok, so if they are hodling then they believe the price will go up eventually. If enough people believe this, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. The point is a bullish spin could be put on this story just as easily as your bearish spin.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
January 27, 2014, 12:44:25 AM
#32
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.

Maybe, but if people were just cutting their losses so they could sell on another exchange, the price would have gone DOWN on those exchanges and it didn't.
Wrong. People can panic buy out of Gox without selling on other exchanges right away. They just hold the btc. They would rather not realize a loss, and instead wait for the next price rally or until mtgox fixes its problems.

Also, since this morning, the gap between mtgox and other exchanges has increased from $160 to $200!
full member
Activity: 216
Merit: 100
RicePicker
January 27, 2014, 12:43:53 AM
#31
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.

Maybe, but if people were just cutting their losses so they could sell on another exchange, the price would have gone DOWN on those exchanges and it didn't.

I am pretty sure most people are not just going to cut their loses by buying at over 1k and immediately sell on other exchanges. They can HOLD an wait for the price to go up.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
January 27, 2014, 12:38:15 AM
#30
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.

Maybe, but if people were just cutting their losses so they could sell on another exchange, the price would have gone DOWN on those exchanges and it didn't.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
January 27, 2014, 12:36:09 AM
#29
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
But it originated at mtgox. Without gox it wouldn't have happened.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
January 27, 2014, 12:31:33 AM
#28
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.

"All"?? horse shit. a big chunk was short-sellers hitting their stop-loss points.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
January 26, 2014, 11:53:46 PM
#27
All of the buying this morning was following mtgox.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
January 26, 2014, 11:38:32 PM
#26
Something may be up with Bitstamp.

Via reddit....ATM halts buy option because of bitstamp problems.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1w83db/weve_shut_down_the_buy_option_at_the_bitcoin_atm/

so more buyers than sellers at the ATM. obviously bullish.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
January 26, 2014, 11:36:19 PM
#25
Something may be up with Bitstamp.

Via reddit....ATM halts buy option because of bitstamp problems.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1w83db/weve_shut_down_the_buy_option_at_the_bitcoin_atm/
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 26, 2014, 10:13:53 PM
#23

The fact of the matter is that support was and is not broken.
I have read a lot of technical analysis books (in vein) and none of them draw firm conclusions at any time, thats very bad practise. The situation is ambiguous at best. we are only looking for an edge. the market does what it wants when it wants. fact. It will eat a 1500BTC wall when it wants, because thats just how a zero sum game works.
you must have heard the saying, the trend is your friend. for all my experience it's the only thing Ive come to believe about trading.
my name is chessut because I am a very good chess player. I know a good technical analysis is worthless without strategy and foresight. a bearish analysis of this chart has no value to a trader.

Then I am sure you are familiar with the two versions of right angled triangle and what happens to the price in the majority of cases when the break out occurs.

Although no 'firm' conclusions can be drawn, history teaches us that the strongest probability is that Bitcoin has formed a descending right angled triangle (bearish).

I might have bought that, but the triangle has falsely broken up, falsely broken down, and now its heading up. I dont understand what it is doing so I will wait for a real opportunity. you dont have to trade any old setup.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1012
January 26, 2014, 10:11:26 PM
#22
What happens next?



legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
January 26, 2014, 10:10:04 PM
#21
I would challenge the view of a 'clear' bear chart. The last bear run died at critical support on all exchanges. I think the best a bear could say is that it's very flat.
besides, any kind of technical analysis will be intercepted soon by brewing fundamentals. It is 50/50.
up, thats my 2 cents.

I am sorry, but every standard investment text book in the world would have the right angle formation that has formed on the Bitcoin chart since 6th Jan, as a bearish indicator.

Look it up

google it.

See for yourself from countless historical examples of right angle triangle formations that when the 'horizontal' line is formed as a price support line, a break down in price is to be expected, especially so when the right angled formation is formed from a rally from previous greater highs.

Now, I have already learned a lesson about applying text book trading rules to a market that is largely cornered by a relative few...but that is on the short term scale. On the large term scale, is Bitcoin really going to be one of those examples that breaks the classic mould of textbook examples?

Edit: Here are a couple of examples (no they are not cherry picked, but representative of the norm)





Maybe the textbooks are wrong. Maybe you are interpreting them wrong. Maybe Bitcoin is the exception that proves the rule. Maybe you are right. The price is stabilizing and not you interpret that as a bad sign while earlier you saw instability as a bad sign. Maybe you are looking too hard for bad signs because you missed the boat. I just don't think your observations/analysis carries much weight. Who the fuck are you that we should be listening to you? I heard stuff just like this when a bitcoin cost $10.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 26, 2014, 10:09:09 PM
#20

The fact of the matter is that support was and is not broken.
I have read a lot of technical analysis books (in vein) and none of them draw firm conclusions at any time, thats very bad practise. The situation is ambiguous at best. we are only looking for an edge. the market does what it wants when it wants. fact. It will eat a 1500BTC wall when it wants, because thats just how a zero sum game works.
you must have heard the saying, the trend is your friend. for all my experience it's the only thing Ive come to believe about trading.
my name is chessut because I am a very good chess player. I know a good technical analysis is worthless without strategy and foresight. a bearish analysis of this chart has no value to a trader.

Then I am sure you are familiar with the two versions of right angled triangle and what happens to the price in the majority of cases when the break out occurs.

Although no 'firm' conclusions can be drawn, history teaches us that the strongest probability is that Bitcoin has formed a descending right angled triangle (bearish).
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 26, 2014, 10:03:10 PM
#19
I would challenge the view of a 'clear' bear chart. The last bear run died at critical support on all exchanges. I think the best a bear could say is that it's very flat.
besides, any kind of technical analysis will be intercepted soon by brewing fundamentals. It is 50/50.
up, thats my 2 cents.

I am sorry, but every standard investment text book in the world would have the right angle formation that has formed on the Bitcoin chart since 6th Jan, as a bearish indicator.

Look it up

google it.

See for yourself from countless historical examples of right angle triangle formations that when the 'horizontal' line is formed as a price support line, a break down in price is to be expected, especially so when the right angled formation is formed from a rally from previous greater highs.

Now, I have already learned a lesson about applying text book trading rules to a market that is largely cornered by a relative few...but that is on the short term scale. On the large term scale, is Bitcoin really going to be one of those examples that breaks the classic mould of textbook examples?

The fact of the matter is that support was and is not broken.
I have read a lot of technical analysis books (in vein) and none of them draw firm conclusions at any time, thats very bad practise. The situation is ambiguous at best. we are only looking for an edge. the market does what it wants when it wants. fact. It will eat a 1500BTC wall when it wants, because thats just how a zero sum game works.
you must have heard the saying, the trend is your friend. for all my experience it's the only thing Ive come to believe about trading.
my name is chessut because I am a very good chess player. I know a good technical analysis is worthless without strategy and foresight. a bearish analysis of this chart has no value to a trader.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 26, 2014, 09:38:03 PM
#18
I would challenge the view of a 'clear' bear chart. The last bear run died at critical support on all exchanges. I think the best a bear could say is that it's very flat.
besides, any kind of technical analysis will be intercepted soon by brewing fundamentals. It is 50/50.
up, thats my 2 cents.

I am sorry, but every standard investment text book in the world would have the right angle formation that has formed on the Bitcoin chart since 6th Jan, as a bearish indicator.

Look it up

google it.

See for yourself from countless historical examples of right angle triangle formations that when the 'horizontal' line is formed as a price support line, a break down in price is to be expected, especially so when the right angled formation is formed from a rally from previous greater highs.

Now, I have already learned a lesson about applying text book trading rules to a market that is largely cornered by a relative few...but that is on the short term scale. On the large term scale, is Bitcoin really going to be one of those examples that breaks the classic mould of textbook examples?

Edit: Here are a couple of examples (no they are not cherry picked, but representative of the norm)



legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 26, 2014, 08:35:04 PM
#17
why do you feel a person can have huge ammounts of fiat ready on all exchanges to take advantage of the best price on any of them at any given time?  is it not possible someone wired to money to whatever exchange and simply bought the total when the price was at what they felt was reasonable given there expectations?

I can have small amounts of Bitcoins and USD on all the exchanges I care to operate on.

If I was heavily loaded with BTC and USD, I could have humongous amounts of both on all the exchanges I care to operate on.

Whilst most on here don't see it this way. To an impartial observer, the Bitcoin chart looks a horrible bet right now. It is a clear bear chart. If the present trend is anything to go by, we will not see $850 Bitcoin again for some time. Saving for someone having insider knowledge that the rest of us are not privvy to, right now is a terrible time to be making multi-million dollar investments. It was either the work of a rich idiot or idiot(s), or the work of some whale(s) already up to their eyeballs in Bitcoin who are stage managing the market for some purpose.

All signs point to a slide back beneath the $800 dollar mark only for a record breaking trade on the 5 minute candle to swoop in and totally rearrange the environment.

I have seen myself tip the barrel in times of very low volume with my own trades, never more than 30 BTC these days. I have also observed how other exchanges respond to the shift in price I cause on Bitstamp. It is fun to do and in low volume conditions, even I can shift momentum in my favour for albeit, a short period of time. Now someone with massive reserves of BTC and USD, has the power to bitch slap this market any which he pleases. Perhaps the wealth he needs to appropriate to achieve this even inconsequential to him?

 

I would challenge the view of a 'clear' bear chart. The last bear run died at critical support on all exchanges. I think the best a bear could say is that it's very flat.
besides, any kind of technical analysis will be intercepted soon by brewing fundamentals. It is 50/50.
up, thats my 2 cents.
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