Currently BTC-e is leading the exchanges if we dont consider the china ones. Usually finex and stamp are $10-$15 ahead of BTC-e i think its a good sign we'll be at $425- $430 in 24 hours again.
Normally, what people mean by the 'leading' exchange, is the exchange that 'leads' the price action. If the 'leading' exchange was where Bitcoin was traded at the highest price, then LocalBitcoins would be our market 'leader'
so far the big accounts that I watch (all accounts over 1000 BTC) are increasing their holdings very slightly during this dump, vs dumping themselves.
so, in summary, its the little guys panicking.
That is interesting. Where do you 'watch' these whale accounts?
Bitfinex got down and popped right through what I might have considered a good blind buy in spot, finally putting in some nice potential momentum divergence, that would be typical of a
'bottom'. However, spot has really failed to rebound much from this area, which in light of the shitstorm of negative news...isn't good. Bitstamp has also put in some horrendous market structure, with a great big huge confirmed bear M, ranging from the $470 top, right to where we are right now. Bitfinex is a ball hair away from doing the same....
However, as we all know, China controls Bitcoin, and the CNY markets are some way off from putting in the same über bearish structure as the USD exchanges....