I think 2018 was a reason for us to not have full trust in predictions who made by an expert. How many expert who says bitcoin will have a high price more than 2017? But the fact was not, the price bitcoin fall deeply and made a huge lost who felt by investor. And now, if there is someone who still believe to an expert says I don't think he will has a quietness in his life. Different with someone who made a research by his own self, I'm sure he will knows what should he do in this current situation and he will knows when he should hold or sell.
Most of these so called experts follow the improved fundamentals, link it to what happened in 2017 and based on that assume that the price should be higher, or at least just as high as the 2017 peak. Tom Lee is the perfect example of how someone who totally rekt himself by making stupid predictions and market analysis.
Following the trend is super important. I get it that people preferred to wait in 2018 before selling, just to see whether or not it bounces back up, but there were so many signals that pointed at a bear market, that you should have sold somewhere above the $10,000 level. I personally didn't take any profits between $6000-$7000 but that's because I had too much faith in the strong support around $6000, which is my fault.
People seem to dislike TA, but it has been a solid guide so far. I should have taken it more serious sooner.