And you know how? If you can predict future like that why don't you live in an island surrounded by gold?
Fan answer: go buy and HODL.
Real answer: nobody can knows it.
Starting to mess around . Hmm it is rather intuitive to be a good trader. Sure before investing you have to know the nook and cranny about a certain project. But this is almost a year now and an alt account like yours seem to be your hiding something .
You can't predict the unpredictable and markets are unpredictable. The rest is just mind travel (and Warren Buffet well sold books for chickens).