Topic: Sudden fall in bitcoin price after successful halving, Post-halving prediction. - page 2. (Read 571 times)

As per my previous experience, whenever the majority of the people think, the opposite of that happens. Everyone is thinking that bitcoin price will dump after halving but we never know how whales going to play out this time around. They can push the price to 12000$ making a fomo or a bull trap for us.

My thoughts too and the current resistance at $10,000 makes me still stand on my earlier prediction on the post-halving price. One certain thing is the price is definitely going to fall, judging from the reaction of the market so far but how far will the market fall (price range) that's where I'm still not certain as I won't want to buy into the market when I would had gotten a better deal if I had just waited a little longer.

Also if the resistance level at $10k can't be broken before halving d-day in just 2days time that's to say if the price can't get cross $10,000 then we should just brace ourselves for a massive correction then.

There is a small downward trend on the prices, still I don't want to change my decision towards the halving event.I feel there will be a bump on the prices soon after the halving but post analysis are not in the favour of bullish run.

We still have around 2 days left. A lot of things could possibly happen within those hours. Huge reversals could take place in just a matter of an hour or two.

Whichever way, though, there is a risk. If you hodl and the price will rise, that's good for you, but if it goes down, you lost the opportunity to buy at a cheaper price.

Let's all enjoy the crazy and suspense-filled ride.

I expected the price correction before the halving itself but the things are happening the opposite for now. Possibly there will be a correction in the market but I am not yet decided to bet on it, probably I will keep on holding since I don't want to take risk on my profits.

its really possible after all the investors who bought last week are already profiting, once they see the price dropping, they would all be dumping as well until it stable down. we'd be rushing to profit as well, the one thing that is also going to hold me back is that the supply will be lesser and i don't think it will not rise up quickly after the fall. the covid seem to have less effect this time, some cities started opening already.  8k i believe would be the best position.

Yes. It is called a bear trap. Last time it happened a bit before halving. This time because of covid-19 lockout price drop it will for sure happen after halving. Question is when it will happen. Probably is easier to speculate for price then for date. I would say at around $13000. Maybe a bit more.

Yeah,this is the perfect situation for a price bubble.Many newbies will jump of the buyers wagon because of FOMO and after a month or two,the statistics about the massive Q2 global GDP decrease will become publicly available,probably leading financial markets worldwide(stocks,fiat currencies and crypto) into a bearish mode.
I don't believe that the cryptocurrency markets can stay in a long term bullish trend,while there's a global recession/depression.This just doesn't make sense.The investors are looking for a salvation,which will cause a short term price bubble,followed by a price crash.

Yes, I always think about if bitcoin price will have a corrections price after the halving finish. We need to prepare for that time because no one knows when that will happens. There will be many new investors that will come to the bitcoin world and invest their money because they read on many news that bitcoin will be so high at a price. But I hope that the new investor will learn from the past, and they don't have to panic if they see the correction price comes to the market.

I predict that after bitcoin reach some high price like today, the price will have a correction, but I don't know how much bitcoin price will get down. That will be our best time to buy bitcoin at a low price so prepare your money to buy bitcoin.

This is true. I guess the expectation that we're all thinking about the price fall before the halving was already what we have seen on March. Remember the $4,900 scene that we're all disappointed? that could be the bottom and the pattern that we've seen with the past halving.

I'm optimistic with the price during the post-halving but not to the point that it will just continuously go up. There will be a correction after correction and that's basically the usual pattern that the history showed us.

I'm thinking it's pretty much in the bag.

Which means that's less likely?

There's a lot of strangeness going on in the world, Bitcoin has been bouncing along at dull price levels with the occasional moment of terror for what feels like forever. Maybe it'll remind us why we're here with some action no one is expecting.

There will be another massive pullback that will happen for sure after the halving, even though that the price is looking bullish; we are still not seeing a major pullback and it is sign of bearishness. We should remember that the price moves like waves, we should not expect that the bitcoin will have strong capitulation after the halving because pullback is necessary. The hype can make us experience loss so we should take seriously especially doing analysis in order for us to understand the price action of the bitcoin.

My guess is that there will be a significant dumping at the $10,000. BTC has already hit $10,000 at Binance but it did not last long. It was very quickly pushed downward. The demand for Bitcoin at $10,000 must be looking insignificant as compared to the desire to sell. I will have to create a sell order at $10,000 myself, at least a portion. Because we are almost certain that $10,000 will cause a good bounce downward. 

The magnitude of any upcoming correction depends on how high the market goes first. If bears hold firm below $10,500 then the mid-$6,000s aren't off the table yet.

Based on historical monthly corrections, I wouldn't expect to crash much harder than 40% (if that) or hold below the 0.618 retracement level. From $12K, that puts the limit in the low $7,000s. That's the lowest I would expect; it could end up shallower.

One thing I know is this: right now it looks like BTC can't possibly go down, but things can change very quickly when a 40% correction comes, like the summers of 2016 and 2017. Bull market corrections can be very brutal in BTC.


When 20% moves start feeling like a given, beware. That's how it feels near the top.

the price will definitely drop, we have seen this kind of thing happen recently (if I'm not mistaken it was a few months ago) there was halving at LTC where the price started to increase a lot and after halving the price started to fall a lot. In the case of bitcoin it is easier to see that it will fall, why do I say that? when the price of bitcoin starts to rise a lot and the price of altcoins in relation to bitcoin starts to fall a lot it means that people are selling their altcoins to buy bitcoin, it is not bringing in fresh money to make the bitcoin price rise a lot and when the people who sold their altcoins realize that fresh money isn’t coming in to make the bitcoin price go up so much they’re going to sell their bitcoin and they’re going to buy altcoins again and the bitcoin price goes down again


pump and dump is a big cancer for the cryptocurrency market


I think that such inexperienced investors have not invested a lot of money, people who invest a lot of money (whales) already bought when the price was low and will evict when they think the price is high and as a result the price of bitcoin will fall a lot . In the past I did not believe in the existence of whales and that disgusting scheme that they do, but in the past few months I’m starting to believe in the existence of whales and that scheme that they do


we won't see ATH anytime soon


$13000 is the maximum that in my opinion can achieve this year

I can only be 100% sure that price will NOT be exactly the same every 24 hours, at least not on every exchange, which is what I used to tell people who would coax me to go into forex trading about 15 years ago!

The problem isn't recognising the facts, I guess, we all do. The problem is accepting that we are just as prone as others, if not probably even more so to not having the discipline to stay on the right side of logic when trading. I think the other problem is, being experienced in TA and trading tends to give you confidence in what you're doing.

But on point again, 12k right after halving seems a given at the rate we've been going now. 50% pullback also seems about right.

No issue that's why it's called speculation, none of us are always 100% sure. The greedy investors side in me don't what to see this happen as I'll always want to keep making profit but that can't just be the case. There's no denying that the halving FOMO brought in many new Investors that their emotions haven't been tested yet which is likely going to happen soon and without any doubt they'll fall victim to FUD.

I'm still optimistic about the pre-halving price of bitcoin irrespective of the supposed slow moving I think it peak within the price range of $11k - $12k and the post-halving price will take it down within $6k - $7k.

I've read at least two news analysis of the opinions of popular influencers (goddamn me for using that term), who already have said this for a while. Can't remember the other guy but the first (Vays) actually called the top at 9k and said he sold to buy the dip at was it at least 7.5k?

He's already wrong though, judging from two consecutive days now of higher highs but I don't think he's wrong that there's going to be a dip.

The regular economy has yet to reveal the true extent of this depression. When it does, Bitcoin's not going to be immune.

People are trying to make predictions according to past experiences. This is natural, however I'm not sure if this can help. It's very hard to tell how Bitcoin price will look like after halving and if behaviour will be the same as last time
Also, I think that Bitcoin will hard break 10000$ resistance, no matter the current price rise which doesn't actually need to long lasting. Personaly, I will wait for halving without too big expectations.

I'm sure you're not the only one, something like that happened during the last halving, so it's natural that some people will expect the same to happen now. Plus Bitcoin was having a lot of ups and downs lately, so it's quite likely that there will be another big drop after a big rise. But I'm not 100% sure about that, if Bitcoin will manage to break the $10-11,000 resistance it can reach higher prices, so the eventual correction will bring us to something that we have right now or even higher.