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Topic: [Super-Raffle] 8x Kialara Labyrinth w/ Silver Balls! 50/50 to win - #457649! (Read 2852 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1010
my personal congratulation to the winner Wink
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
Thankyou Hhampuz for super-raffle.

nathansenn, Congrats dude. Let me know if you want my address :p *jk
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
its not all 8 lol but its still pretty sick to get 3 with one ticket congrats

 I took 4 can't believe it!

Sorry nathansenn for the initial off topic - but please remove the Ascendancy sig from your signature space. This is a well known scam now and promoting it isn't cool. (I'll send you a PM as well to this effect, in case you miss this).

Fair market price for a Lab is around $140 - so around 0.125 BTC is a "fair market price". Now they are sold out, make that ~0.15 BTC each.

Apologies for the derail, and well done on the epic win.

Smiley

Ok cool not really very interested in selling them just thought i might get my investment back
copper member
Activity: 686
Merit: 603
Electricity is really just organized lightning
its not all 8 lol but its still pretty sick to get 3 with one ticket congrats

 I took 4 can't believe it!

Sorry nathansenn for the initial off topic - but please remove the Ascendancy sig from your signature space. This is a well known scam now and promoting it isn't cool. (I'll send you a PM as well to this effect, in case you miss this).

Fair market price for a Lab is around $140 - so around 0.125 BTC is a "fair market price". Now they are sold out, make that ~0.15 BTC each.

Apologies for the derail, and well done on the epic win.

Smiley
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
its not all 8 lol but its still pretty sick to get 3 with one ticket congrats

 I took 4 can't believe it!
legendary
Activity: 2240
Merit: 1001
its not all 8 lol but its still pretty sick to get 3 with one ticket congrats
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1222
Just looking for peace
allright nathan, what do you want for one???  Grin

.18 BTC


Fair price as per market Smiley



bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Yeah, thanks for pointing that out, buddy.


Congratulations to all the winners! Grin

Regards,
Chris

sorry chris, it was a good try but it turned out to be a massacre Cheesy





I won 4  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin Grin

Are you a relative of TMAN perhaps?
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 501
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 501
allright nathan, what do you want for one???  Grin
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%




This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.

Ok sounds right. Just my lucky day!
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
Chance at 7:
0.00000037252902984619140625%

Chance at 6:
0.0000059604644775390625%

Chance at 5:
0.000095367431640625%

Chance at 4:
0.00152587890625%

Chance at 3:
0.0244140625%

Chance at 2:
0.390625%


So yeah, there's a chance.

Also posting my TxID for this raffle:
81cd7e7490df582c7a576a9003266abec26eec6f17999aa0dbba2b3f8e182b8f


Hey, how did you do your calculations? You simply multiplied by 16 starting from 8, right? It doesn't necessarily work like that - seen when you apply the same to the 0.390625% chance, where you have a 6.25% of landing a prize [overall]. Obviously, it's a 1/16 for winning a prize per round. I would think that two, for example, would not be a 0.39% chance, but rather a 1/16 * 7/16 chance - which has a likelihood of 2.734375% - about every 1 in 37.

And for reaching n prizes, it would simply be 1/16^(n-1) * (9-n)/16, no?

Odds of winning 4 = Chance at 4: 0.00152587890625% ?  Shocked  Grin Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 501
I honestly thought penny would get most of them...congrats man.

Beginners luck?  Grin Grin
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
legendary
Activity: 2676
Merit: 2203
BitcoinPenny.com
bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Yeah, thanks for pointing that out, buddy.


Congratulations to all the winners! Grin

Regards,
Chris
copper member
Activity: 2562
Merit: 2510
Spear the bees
WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%




This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1808
Exchange Bitcoin quickly-https://blockchain.com.do
well done all winners...

sorry for the losers. that was a fun raffle.
hero member
Activity: 2254
Merit: 960
100% Deposit Match UP TO €5000!
bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Amazing outcome of this to say the least
legendary
Activity: 2954
Merit: 6086
Meh.
All winners are drawn!

A big congratz to nathansenn who got Three (3)!!! labs from one ticket - "2". (4 labs in total with his other ticket getting drawn too)

Will contact all winners during the day, thanks for participating!
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 117
ezeminer ended up with 2 now
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