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Topic: SVB Analysis Shows More Than 186 US Banks Might Still Collapse - page 2. (Read 267 times)

legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1789
Those big banks would surely be saved by the governments. We've seen that before and we'll see that again. As for the smaller ones, well good luck to them and their depositors, I guess? They are the ones who need to succumb to give way to those larger and 'more capable' banks that the governments will always save.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and th Federal Reserve will have to go the extra mile because Americans will not be allowed to suffer the loss caused by poor supervision and control of banks.
I just saw a clip where Janet Yelen responds to the question of how they would ensure that smaller banks won't lose customers since most would withdraw their money and move to big banks that are deemed "too big to fail", and her answer is confusing at best. I do think what you guys said is true, in the sense that they won't give any guarantee to community/small banks which is not surprising. That being said, IIRC, only deposit with amounts larger than $250k will be insured, which basically means the one who got screwed is likely retail customers. Kinda sad, considering SVB CEO's and others sold so may shares and earn more than $10 million in profits before the collapse.

It just amazes me how they'd do everything possible to save this dying banks when they know it'd still die.
Maybe because the system relies on them. I mean, as long as they can print money anytime, there is no real risk for the big players since they can just inflate their wealth, while the poor will get rekt as usual.

From my point of view, the recession and the banking crisis have been artificially created for the purpose of reducing the number of banks globally. There are too many banks now. And another purpose of this crisis is to accelerate the transition to digital public cryptocurrencies, which will allow excellent control of the population.
Not sure about artificially created, but at the very least this shows that there is no real punishment for the big players who do dumb mistakes if your name is too big to fail, the government will likely save you. I also don't know how this help CDBC in general, I think they will use it sooner or later regardless if there is any other bailout or not. Isn't CDBC basically a printable fiat just in digital form?
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1161
From my point of view, the recession and the banking crisis have been artificially created for the purpose of reducing the number of banks globally. There are too many banks now. And another purpose of this crisis is to accelerate the transition to digital public cryptocurrencies, which will allow excellent control of the population.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 629
Well it doesn't really come as a surprise to me that the government is pitching in to save these banks but the question is for how long? As it is, 186 banks are already in line for a possible crash so what gives?
 It just amazes me how they'd do everything possible to save this dying banks when they know it'd still die. Well, I'm not surprised though that JP Morgan is amongst the list of companies coming to the rescue of these banks since he has been highly vocal of his strong dislike for Bitcoin, I guess the banks are not really to be trusted after all.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 987
Give all before death
Those big banks would surely be saved by the governments. We've seen that before and we'll see that again. As for the smaller ones, well good luck to them and their depositors, I guess? They are the ones who need to succumb to give way to those larger and 'more capable' banks that the governments will always save. I've always wondered how some banks made money during the pandemic given that most of what they usually invest in are also down. People didn't do much depositing too. But it seems that they (banks) never did well anyway, and took the hit without telling anyone, which is problematic because in the event of a surge in withdrawals, they can't give out anything, can they?

The financial standings or positions of most of these banks are shredded in secrecy. Every year they publish their balance sheet which always shows that the bank is doing well. It's now clear that these financial statements are not true and fair representations of these banks. Most of these banks are dying slowly because of bad uncollateralized debts and bad management. They present these fake financial results because they don't want their customers to withdraw their deposits.

As you rightly said, the government will bail out the regional and other big banks. The smaller banks will have to merge with other banks or sell off their business. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and th Federal Reserve will have to go the extra mile because Americans will not be allowed to suffer the loss caused by poor supervision and control of banks.
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
Those big banks would surely be saved by the governments. We've seen that before and we'll see that again. As for the smaller ones, well good luck to them and their depositors, I guess? They are the ones who need to succumb to give way to those larger and 'more capable' banks that the governments will always save. I've always wondered how some banks made money during the pandemic given that most of what they usually invest in are also down. People didn't do much depositing too. But it seems that they (banks) never did well anyway, and took the hit without telling anyone, which is probematic because in the event of a surge in withdrawals, they can't really give out anything, can they?
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1441
Quote
The banks that collapsed recently faced diverse challenges that affected their operations. For instance, Silvergate faced multiple regulatory actions due to its dealings with the bankrupt FTX exchange, its founder Sam Bankman-Fried and its sister company Alameda Research. It also cited the 2022 bearish market as part of the challenges that made it insolvent.

On the other hand, Silicon Valley Bank failed due to many losses in its operations and other factors. Signature Bank also faced challenges it couldn’t handle, leading to state intervention.

Apart from these three banks, economists have discovered more than 186 banks in the United States are already positioned to crash.

Economists Discover More Banks Set To Collapse

A recent report revealed that up to 190 banks in the US are already on the brink of a crash. Analyzing the failed Silicon Valley Bank, the analysts discovered that 10% of US banks currently have more unrecognized losses than the SVB. They also discovered that SVB capitalization is higher than 10% of existing banks.

However, SVB kept more share of uninsured funding since only 1% of banks had more uninsured leverage. So, the losses and uninsured leverage were enough to cause the uninsured depositors run that pulled SVB down.

The analysts pointed out that if others face a similar situation where half of their uninsured depositors move to withdraw, almost $300 billion of insured deposits will be at risk. Also, if the uninsured depositors’ withdrawals cause small fire sales, many US banks will be at risk.

What Happened To The US Banking Sector?

The economists disclosed that they analyzed the asset exposure of the banks in the US following the interest rates hike. They aimed to gauge how the US Federal Reserve’s moves affect the sector’s financial stability.

Unfortunately, the analysis revealed that the sector’s market value shows a shortage of $2 trillion on the book value of assets making up for loan portfolios held to maturity. It also showed that all the US banks recorded a 10% decline in their marked-to-market assets.

In conclusion, the economists stated that the declines in the values of bank assets had exposed them to the risk of insolvency if uninsured depositors decided to withdraw at once. Notably, depositors without insurance cover usually lose more when banks fail than their counterparts. As such, any hint of a bank crisis pushes them into a frenzy to avoid losses.

However, even though the situation seems dire for the US banking sector, the central bank intervention and US President Joe Biden’s assurance show the government’s readiness to support the sector. Also, a recent report disclosed that top firms in the US finance sector raised $30 billion to aid a failing US bank.

https://bitcoinist.com/svb-analysis-shows-more-than-186-us-banks-might-still-collapse/


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"186 US banks may still collapse in the near future."   Shocked

In 2019, I made a thread on this forum entitled: Report: More Than 50% of the Worlds Banks May Be Too Weak To Survive A Recession: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/report-more-than-50-of-the-worlds-banks-may-be-too-weak-to-survive-a-recession-5195846.

The topic of whether banks could survive economic downturn propelled by COVID-19 has been on my mind for the last 4 years. Perhaps now we are seeing some of the unfortunate fallout.

The narrative of failing banks dates back to the economic crisis of 2008. And even further back to the banking industry becoming increasingly deregulated.
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