Looks like Ireland are out at this point. They played well despite losing so many early wickets primarily thanks to Tucker who was their lone warrior.
If someone else properly supported him in the middle, the situation would have gotten a bit more complicated for Australia. It looks like New Zealand, South Africa, India and England or Australia will qualify for the semis.
England have a 1 tough match against Kiwis. 1 against SL and they won't be a pushover either. They have to win both matches.
Australians are up against Afghanistan, Afghans are good but Australia would look for complete domination as they want to improve their run rate.
India should qualify on paper but who knows if some upsets are around the corner?
NZ and SA seem safe with a healthy run rate and 2 matches left.
Eng and Aus qualification would depend on run rate if they manage to win their respective match.
Haunebu, There is no doubt that it seems quite predictable at the moment. There have already been some very strange things happening at this world cup that many of us haven't seen before.
So, I am not going to be amazed if there are some more surprises that will remain until the end of the event. I wonder what would happen if a few more matches get washed out because of rain and/or because of the DLS method. This would result in teams winning that shouldn't have won? But otherwise, I think everything is quite easy to predict. In addition, Ireland is definitely out of the race. Although, they have played well but that is not going to cut it at the world cup.