I think Medvedev won't be too tired, though, or not as tired as I expected. I thought the match with Tsitsipas would be quite tight, and for most of the match it was... but I also thought it might be quite draining, long games, possibly a 5-setter. As it turned out though, although it was tight, much of the match seemed to be the players holding serve to love... so not as tiring as might have been expected.
I was going to have Nadal as favourite for the final, but now I'm not so sure. Maybe he might still edge it, even though Medvedev didn't have an exhausting semi-final.
For me, Nadal is a big surprise of this tournament.
Of course, we all know how good and quality a tennis player he is, but he was injured for a long time and had a long break when he couldn't play in tournaments.
Personally, I thought he is not completely ready and healthy before the start of this tournament, but Nadal really delighted me with his games until the finals.
The experience is definitely on his side and I am sure he will cope easier with the pressure of playing the GS final than Medvedev.
It will probably be a very uncertain match but I give a little advantage to Nadal.
Yeah, when we thought that he is done because of the numerous injuries he had and even his rankings has drop this year. And then at the start of the year entering the first slam and then going directly into the finals? that's already a big accomplishment and a good boost for him. But then again, he will be facing Medvedev who is now the second seed and seems to be on his prime, really hard to see what will be the outcome of this match. But experience wise, obviously, Nadal has the edge here.
It seems to me that exactly what I predicted in my earlier post is happening.
Medvedev started the match well and won the first 2 sets, but now Nadal is on the way to completely turn the match in his favor.
Nadal has already played a lot of such important matches, has a lot more experience than Medvedev and copes better with the great pressure of this final.
If the match goes to the fifth set then Nadal is the favorite in my opinion.