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Topic: Tennis tips *ATP ONLY* - page 5. (Read 1804 times)

sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 03, 2017, 07:57:09 AM
#54
another interesting pair is Rafael Nadal against Filip Krajinovic TIP: AH 1 (G) -5,5

not much to say about Rafa, accomplished year for him, reached the first position, can get shaky on serve at times but it probably won't be the case in this one. watertight with other shots, fh trademark, bh rock solid this season (hitting deep and with purpose). playing the same tempo and intensity from the word go to the finish. Krajinovic nominated for the comeback player of the year (did great on challenger level), made his biggest push in Paris but will face now experience and craft. He is probably satisfied with accomplishments so far.

I played the same tip actually. The 3 tips I mentioned above were not enough for me. I am only a little afraid because Rafa took medical timeout for problems with his knee and ended with the bandage on it. Afterwards he moved ok, and said on press conference that everything is fine, but nevertheless we have to take the medical timeout in consideration. I am hoping he will forfeit if he ends having problems and nullify the bet. His opponent has already played 5 matches in the tournament so he could be a little tired. Especially since he is not used to progressing to later stages of the tournaments.

bad news hit us:Nadal has withdrawn from Paris. He had a medical timeout last match to have his right knee strapped up, and withdrew from Basel the week before. Krajinovic gets a walkover into the semi-final, and the hefty points boost that comes with it (he will move to at least #43 in the rankings).
legendary
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November 03, 2017, 07:22:21 AM
#53
another interesting pair is Rafael Nadal against Filip Krajinovic TIP: AH 1 (G) -5,5

not much to say about Rafa, accomplished year for him, reached the first position, can get shaky on serve at times but it probably won't be the case in this one. watertight with other shots, fh trademark, bh rock solid this season (hitting deep and with purpose). playing the same tempo and intensity from the word go to the finish. Krajinovic nominated for the comeback player of the year (did great on challenger level), made his biggest push in Paris but will face now experience and craft. He is probably satisfied with accomplishments so far.

I played the same tip actually. The 3 tips I mentioned above were not enough for me. I am only a little afraid because Rafa took medical timeout for problems with his knee and ended with the bandage on it. Afterwards he moved ok, and said on press conference that everything is fine, but nevertheless we have to take the medical timeout in consideration. I am hoping he will forfeit if he ends having problems and nullify the bet. His opponent has already played 5 matches in the tournament so he could be a little tired. Especially since he is not used to progressing to later stages of the tournaments.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 03, 2017, 07:11:30 AM
#52
another interesting pair is Rafael Nadal against Filip Krajinovic TIP: AH 1 (G) -5,5

not much to say about Rafa, accomplished year for him, reached the first position, can get shaky on serve at times but it probably won't be the case in this one. watertight with other shots, fh trademark, bh rock solid this season (hitting deep and with purpose). playing the same tempo and intensity from the word go to the finish. Krajinovic nominated for the comeback player of the year (did great on challenger level), made his biggest push in Paris but will face now experience and craft. He is probably satisfied with accomplishments so far.
legendary
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November 03, 2017, 05:23:48 AM
#51
I will probably skip playing for serius money today. I'll just put few bucks to make it interesting to watch. I think Delpo wins today but first set will be tough so I'll take Isner +1.5handi 1.set @1.70. And first 2 matches from Eckental over 9.5 gems first set, both @1,6.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 03, 2017, 03:48:07 AM
#50
I have seen his match against Thiem (30.8.2017), he plays very aggressive (uses his shots to move closer to the net). backhand double hander is his favorite shot but can spray lot errors (bit hot and cold)......he is very fast around the court. Main problem in that match vs Thiem was his slight built (my conclusion was that he needs more muscles), was simply overpowered by Thiem. Don't know much about surface in Eckental, but must be super fast (guys who are participating are big servers). I chose those with higher odds but won't invest too much, suggest same thing for others.
legendary
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November 03, 2017, 03:36:08 AM
#49
would like to try with one "crazy" but still makeable bet today. It is challenger level, Eckental, Germany.

Alex De Minaur vs Matthias Bachinger   TIP: 1  (average odd 2.54)

I guess that youngster from Australia can win this match versus experienced Bachinger simply because he already defeated two players ranked higher than Bachinger. Aussie took two straight sets wins in r1 and r2 (Hanfmann ranked 114 and Robredo ranked 151), now he will face Bachinger who is 194. Aussie is still young but huge talent, Australians expect him to win GS in the future. Bachinger is veteran of the game who played  some of the best matches on this surface but he will have to dig deep to win this one.

I am somewhat lazy this morning so not too inclined to go googling. Have you watched Alex play before. Is he a typical Australian new age player. Meaning strong serve & forehand and probably little crazy in the head? What is the surface in Eckental this year. If memory serves me right it is some kind of very fast carpet?
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 03, 2017, 03:32:39 AM
#48
found another one of similar type:    Roelofse Ruan vs Mmoh Michael   TIP 1 (odd 4.5 or you can bet on Ruan to win a set)

Roelofse is on five match winning streak including a huge upset against Norrie (ranked 113), born 1989 we can say he is not young player and probably has enough experience. Mmoh is more established player but played lot matches recently (could be feeling it), also had some weaker opponent in r1 and r2. opponent had more indoor matches this year (9-3win-loss, while Mmoh is 5-1). good luck
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 03, 2017, 03:19:43 AM
#47
would like to try with one "crazy" but still makeable bet today. It is challenger level, Eckental, Germany.

Alex De Minaur vs Matthias Bachinger   TIP: 1  (average odd 2.54)

I guess that youngster from Australia can win this match versus experienced Bachinger simply because he already defeated two players ranked higher than Bachinger. Aussie took two straight sets wins in r1 and r2 (Hanfmann ranked 114 and Robredo ranked 151), now he will face Bachinger who is 194. Aussie is still young but huge talent, Australians expect him to win GS in the future. Bachinger is veteran of the game who played  some of the best matches on this surface but he will have to dig deep to win this one.
legendary
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November 02, 2017, 08:00:30 AM
#46
what a match delpo vs haase, hour and a half of fine quality stuff. Haase did great especially in the opening set, was bit unlucky in the business end. hit more forehand winners than del potro, but backhand was loose (went up the line and missed lot). Del Potro was cool as cucumber when it mattered, head of champ to deliver his best (string two-three spectacular shots to turn the tidy in his favor). We have seen more topspin backhands from Delpo today, wasn't the case throughout the year. only 33% were bh slices. His physical state is questionable (lot matches last two weeks: title in Stockholm, Basel finals), his back stiffed (was seen stretching them but no official MTO).

I believe Delpo will play a lot of good tennis till the end of year. He had so many injuries in his career and now when he is fit he will play trough fatigue. It is all in the head and Delpo has one of the best on the tour. In my mind he is favorite to win Paris title and then do some serious damage at best 8 tournament.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 02, 2017, 07:13:36 AM
#45
what a match delpo vs haase, hour and a half of fine quality stuff. Haase did great especially in the opening set, was bit unlucky in the business end. hit more forehand winners than del potro, but backhand was loose (went up the line and missed lot). Del Potro was cool as cucumber when it mattered, head of champ to deliver his best (string two-three spectacular shots to turn the tidy in his favor). We have seen more topspin backhands from Delpo today, wasn't the case throughout the year. only 33% were bh slices. His physical state is questionable (lot matches last two weeks: title in Stockholm, Basel finals), his back stiffed (was seen stretching them but no official MTO).
legendary
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November 02, 2017, 04:03:08 AM
#44
I picked following for the day.
1. Poulie to win over Sock @1.4 on serious ticket and win in straight sets @2.1 on the low money ticket
2. Del Potro to Win with 3.5 handicap @1.75 on both tickets
3. Verdasco to not lose with more then 2 games (handicap 2.5) @1.75 on serious one and Verdasco to win in straight sets on the low money ticket at @3.5
4. Isner to not lose first set with more then 1 game difference (1.set handicep 1.5) @1.70 on low money ticket

Sorry have to work so no time for detailed explanations but it should be self explanatory to tennis lovers

sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 02, 2017, 03:43:55 AM
#43
yes Sock was poor in match vs Kyle Edmund. Trailed 1-5 down in the final set (also had two physio visits for a back complaint)but managed to hang in there and was rather gifted the match in the end. Pouille did well recently (title in Vienna), but energy levels may be the only concern with him.
legendary
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November 02, 2017, 02:45:58 AM
#42
Dominic Thiem vs Fernando Verdasco TIP: Verdasco to win set

Simply I don't know why Verdasco is set as underdog in this match. Ok both  men are suited to clay which is base of their game. But Spaniard claimed some strong wins against guys with big 1st serve and mighty fh. He is rich in experience, can be lethal for anyone when his game is on. Thiem didn't impress his last round and generally struggles in indoor conditions. Was pathetic to drop that 2nd set vs Gojowczjk. For me this is 50-50 affair and good possibility for Verdasco to win a set.

good luck for those who follow.

Yesterday was another good day for me 3/4 on tennis and 6/6 on Champions League(Tuesday & Wednesday ticket).

Today I like your tip and will play something similar for sure. My favorite tip on first looking is probably Pouille to win against Sock. Maybe even with handi or in straight sets. I will write exact tips I intend to play, later after playing them.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 02, 2017, 02:08:43 AM
#41
Dominic Thiem vs Fernando Verdasco TIP: Verdasco to win set

Simply I don't know why Verdasco is set as underdog in this match. Ok both  men are suited to clay which is base of their game. But Spaniard claimed some strong wins against guys with big 1st serve and mighty fh. He is rich in experience, can be lethal for anyone when his game is on. Thiem didn't impress his last round and generally struggles in indoor conditions. Was pathetic to drop that 2nd set vs Gojowczjk. For me this is 50-50 affair and good possibility for Verdasco to win a set.

good luck for those who follow.
full member
Activity: 1372
Merit: 133
November 01, 2017, 01:29:38 PM
#40
few observations from match A. Zverev vs R. Haase, it was ugly from Zverev (won 1st set then switched off), upped unforced error count as match progressed (37 unforced in total, 24 errors on forehand side). with his height (198cm) was slow mover, Haase called him up with drop shots and then punished him with next strike (pass winner or lob). German lost lot point at the net (11/23).

One tip I learned from another betting forum and my own experience: never bet for or against Robin Haase lol. Sometimes he can play brilliantly and than the match after he can't do anything right and loose with 6-0 6-0.



He is going to face winner or clash *sousa vs del potro*, if del Potro comes through that match chances for Haase will go down in R3. Actually he will be underdog vs giant from Tandill.
And how many times have such forecasts been justified? I think that every player in one way or another brings their results, which can be won. it's certainly for a beginner is very difficult to decide on whom to put in tennis, especially if this sport is unfamiliar.
full member
Activity: 434
Merit: 103
November 01, 2017, 01:13:20 PM
#39
Dominic Thiem vs Peter Gojowczyk   TIP: 1 (probably in straight sets) you can try -1,5 as well

Thiem is average in indoor conditions (simply because of his nature of play - stands 2 meters behind baseline), again he is more crafty than Gojowczjk, has greater firepower and bigger wins in his career. Gojowczyk won his R1 match yesterday but was lucky winner in the opening set (gave him momentum later), as I stated earlier above Peter is so dependent on his 1st serve (panicked with 2nd deal - lot double faults), also poor percentages behind his 2nd serve. One of the reasons of his yesterday's win was nervy American who lost his bearings after nasty outcome of the 1st set.

Not in straight sets. I have learned over the period of 2 years that do not bet -1.5 or on straight sets. There are many higher powers become active during any particular game and they can tie a set. You know what i meant to be higher powers if your are in this market for sometime.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 01, 2017, 11:05:08 AM
#38
few observations from match A. Zverev vs R. Haase, it was ugly from Zverev (won 1st set then switched off), upped unforced error count as match progressed (37 unforced in total, 24 errors on forehand side). with his height (198cm) was slow mover, Haase called him up with drop shots and then punished him with next strike (pass winner or lob). German lost lot point at the net (11/23).

One tip I learned from another betting forum and my own experience: never bet for or against Robin Haase lol. Sometimes he can play brilliantly and than the match after he can't do anything right and loose with 6-0 6-0.



He is going to face winner or clash *sousa vs del potro*, if del Potro comes through that match chances for Haase will go down in R3. Actually he will be underdog vs giant from Tandill.
sr. member
Activity: 2170
Merit: 254
November 01, 2017, 09:52:40 AM
#37
few observations from match A. Zverev vs R. Haase, it was ugly from Zverev (won 1st set then switched off), upped unforced error count as match progressed (37 unforced in total, 24 errors on forehand side). with his height (198cm) was slow mover, Haase called him up with drop shots and then punished him with next strike (pass winner or lob). German lost lot point at the net (11/23).

One tip I learned from another betting forum and my own experience: never bet for or against Robin Haase lol. Sometimes he can play brilliantly and than the match after he can't do anything right and loose with 6-0 6-0.

sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 01, 2017, 07:18:07 AM
#36
few observations from match A. Zverev vs R. Haase, it was ugly from Zverev (won 1st set then switched off), upped unforced error count as match progressed (37 unforced in total, 24 errors on forehand side). with his height (198cm) was slow mover, Haase called him up with drop shots and then punished him with next strike (pass winner or lob). German lost lot point at the net (11/23).
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 252
November 01, 2017, 06:54:55 AM
#35
I am seeing that match a little differently. Tsonga was awful in the final last week and I simply refuse to put money on him. He is already tired and he has davis cup finals soon. I would not be surprised if he losses this one. Therefore I will play contra handicep 4.5 on Benetau. Meaning Benetau will not lose with more than 4 games difference at 1.6. Other good tips for me are that Benetau takes at least 1. set at 1.9 at my local bookie. I am seeing this as tough fight in first set and if Benetau wins it maybe even forfeit from Tsonga.

Other good tips for me are that Coric is taking a set against cilic at 1.9. And that Poulie will win against Lopez at 1.5. And my favorite today Dodig/Granollers to win their doubles match in straight sets at 2.1.

Interested to hear comments.

oh sorry for slowish replay, I spent some time watching A. Zverev vs R. Haase match. I wouldn't say that Tsonga was awful in Vienna finals, rather he was tanking there, handicap 4.5 on Benneteau is somehow risky for me (was never fan of contra handicaps), I still recon that Benneteau can chop set at max but not to win it. Coric has poor record vs Cilic but last two indoor meeting he stole a set from favorite. Again it's tough to predict because surface in Paris is very quick and it will suit even more Cilic game. Not a fan of doubles so i don't follow them.
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