The Art Contest has effects on merit distribution. How about merit sources?

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2020w1)

ABSTRACT

Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (8 weeks ago, when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521
Total merits distributed on 2020w1 is 5798.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46), the percentage of last week merits increases 28.2%.
The 2020w1 is ranked at 20^th (2019w51) position over 102 weeks.

Raw calculations:

Code:

. di (5798-4521)/4521*100
28.245963

Rank of weeks according to total weekly merits.

Code:

+------------------------------+
| weeklyrank merit week |
|------------------------------|
1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
|------------------------------|
6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
|------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6795 2019w52 |
14. | 14 6744 2018w13 |
15. | 15 6632 2019w2 |
|------------------------------|
16. | 16 6423 2018w14 |
17. | 17 6194 2019w51 |
18. | 18 6130 2019w13 |
19. | 19 5907 2019w48 |
20. | 20 5798 2020w1 |
|------------------------------|
21. | 21 5644 2018w37 |
22. | 22 5542 2019w42 |
23. | 23 5494 2018w15 |
24. | 24 5454 2019w19 |
25. | 25 5354 2019w24 |
|------------------------------|
26. | 26 5317 2019w3 |
27. | 27 5271 2019w15 |
28. | 28 5214 2019w20 |
29. | 29 5186 2019w50 |
30. | 30 4975 2019w43 |
|------------------------------|
31. | 31 4965 2018w18 |
32. | 32 4929 2018w25 |
33. | 33 4913 2019w10 |
34. | 34 4829 2018w42 |
35. | 35 4803 2019w1 |
|------------------------------|
36. | 36 4766 2018w19 |
37. | 37 4764 2019w18 |
38. | 38 4742 2018w16 |
39. | 39 4735 2019w45 |
40. | 40 4730 2019w44 |
|------------------------------|
41. | 41 4726 2019w25 |
42. | 42 4688 2019w16 |
43. | 43 4687 2019w23 |
44. | 44 4667 2019w4 |
45. | 45 4638 2019w9 |
|------------------------------|
46. | 46 4612 2018w17 |
47. | 47 4609 2019w12 |
48. | 48 4580 2019w21 |
49. | 49 4575 2018w47 |
50. | 50 4565 2019w41 |
|------------------------------|
51. | 51 4538 2018w23 |
52. | 52 4526 2019w14 |
53. | 53 4525 2018w45 |
54. | 54 4524 2019w49 |
55. | 55 4521 2019w8 |
|------------------------------|
56. | 56 4520 2019w38 |
57. | 57 4491 2019w5 |
58. | 58 4465 2018w26 |
59. | 59 4448 2019w17 |
60. | 60 4445 2019w22 |
|------------------------------|
61. | 61 4395 2018w39 |
62. | 62 4367 2019w26 |
63. | 63 4357 2019w40 |
64. | 64 4353 2018w20 |
65. | 65 4332 2019w6 |
|------------------------------|
66. | 66 4326 2019w11 |
67. | 67 4318 2019w39 |
68. | 68 4310 2018w40 |
69. | 69 4278 2018w27 |
70. | 70 4277 2019w29 |
|------------------------------|
71. | 71 4247 2018w28 |
72. | 72 4236 2019w33 |
73. | 73 4225 2019w27 |
74. | 74 4221 2019w7 |
75. | 75 4194 2018w22 |
|------------------------------|
76. | 76 4176 2019w30 |
77. | 77 4167 2018w29 |
78. | 78 4119 2019w28 |
79. | 79 4043 2019w37 |
80. | 80 4011 2018w32 |
|------------------------------|
81. | 81 3953 2018w43 |
82. | 82 3864 2018w21 |
83. | 83 3863 2018w31 |
84. | 84 3839 2018w24 |
85. | 85 3816 2018w41 |
|------------------------------|
86. | 86 3809 2019w36 |
87. | 87 3805 2018w50 |
88. | 88 3805 2018w34 |
89. | 89 3769 2018w51 |
90. | 90 3765 2018w48 |
|------------------------------|
91. | 91 3747 2018w46 |
92. | 92 3661 2018w30 |
93. | 93 3631 2018w33 |
94. | 94 3622 2019w34 |
95. | 95 3590 2018w36 |
|------------------------------|
96. | 96 3571 2018w49 |
97. | 97 3549 2019w31 |
98. | 98 3540 2019w35 |
99. | 99 3347 2018w44 |
100. | 100 3338 2018w52 |
|------------------------------|
101. | 101 3207 2019w32 |
102. | 102 3072 2018w35 |
+------------------------------+

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

New Merit sources rock!

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w51 and 2019w52)

ABSTRACT

Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46 - 6 and 7 weeks ago), the percentage of last week merits increases 37% (2019w51) and 50.3% (2019w52).
The 2019w51 and 2019w52 are ranked at 17^th (2019w51), 13^th (2019w52) positions over 101 weeks.
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521
Total merits distributed on:
- 2019w51 is 6194.
- 2019w52 is 6795.

Raw calculations:

Code:

. di (6194-4521)/4521*100
37.005087

. di (6795-4521)/4521*100
50.298607

The increases of the past 2 weeks are impressive.

Code:

+------------------------------+
   | weeklyrank merit week |
   |------------------------------|
  1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
  2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
  3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
  4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
  5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
   |------------------------------|
  6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
  7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
  8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
  9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
   |------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6795 2019w52 |
14. | 14 6744 2018w13 |
15. | 15 6632 2019w2 |
   |------------------------------|
16. | 16 6423 2018w14 |
17. | 17 6194 2019w51 |
18. | 18 6130 2019w13 |
19. | 19 5907 2019w48 |
20. | 20 5644 2018w37 |
   |------------------------------|
21. | 21 5542 2019w42 |
22. | 22 5494 2018w15 |
23. | 23 5454 2019w19 |
24. | 24 5354 2019w24 |
25. | 25 5317 2019w3 |
   |------------------------------|
26. | 26 5271 2019w15 |
27. | 27 5214 2019w20 |
28. | 28 5186 2019w50 |
29. | 29 4975 2019w43 |
30. | 30 4965 2018w18 |
   |------------------------------|
31. | 31 4929 2018w25 |
32. | 32 4913 2019w10 |
33. | 33 4829 2018w42 |
34. | 34 4803 2019w1 |
35. | 35 4766 2018w19 |
   |------------------------------|
36. | 36 4764 2019w18 |
37. | 37 4742 2018w16 |
38. | 38 4735 2019w45 |
39. | 39 4730 2019w44 |
40. | 40 4726 2019w25 |
   |------------------------------|
41. | 41 4688 2019w16 |
42. | 42 4687 2019w23 |
43. | 43 4667 2019w4 |
44. | 44 4638 2019w9 |
45. | 45 4612 2018w17 |
   |------------------------------|
46. | 46 4609 2019w12 |
47. | 47 4580 2019w21 |
48. | 48 4575 2018w47 |
49. | 49 4565 2019w41 |
50. | 50 4538 2018w23 |
   |------------------------------|
51. | 51 4526 2019w14 |
52. | 52 4525 2018w45 |
53. | 53 4524 2019w49 |
54. | 54 4521 2019w8 |
55. | 55 4520 2019w38 |
   |------------------------------|
56. | 56 4491 2019w5 |
57. | 57 4465 2018w26 |
58. | 58 4448 2019w17 |
59. | 59 4445 2019w22 |
60. | 60 4395 2018w39 |
   |------------------------------|
61. | 61 4367 2019w26 |
62. | 62 4357 2019w40 |
63. | 63 4353 2018w20 |
64. | 64 4332 2019w6 |
65. | 65 4326 2019w11 |
   |------------------------------|
66. | 66 4318 2019w39 |
67. | 67 4310 2018w40 |
68. | 68 4278 2018w27 |
69. | 69 4277 2019w29 |
70. | 70 4247 2018w28 |
   |------------------------------|
71. | 71 4236 2019w33 |
72. | 72 4225 2019w27 |
73. | 73 4221 2019w7 |
74. | 74 4194 2018w22 |
75. | 75 4176 2019w30 |
   |------------------------------|
76. | 76 4167 2018w29 |
77. | 77 4119 2019w28 |
78. | 78 4043 2019w37 |
79. | 79 4011 2018w32 |
80. | 80 3953 2018w43 |
   |------------------------------|
81. | 81 3864 2018w21 |
82. | 82 3863 2018w31 |
83. | 83 3839 2018w24 |
84. | 84 3816 2018w41 |
85. | 85 3809 2019w36 |
   |------------------------------|
86. | 86 3805 2018w34 |
87. | 87 3805 2018w50 |
88. | 88 3769 2018w51 |
89. | 89 3765 2018w48 |
90. | 90 3747 2018w46 |
   |------------------------------|
91. | 91 3661 2018w30 |
92. | 92 3631 2018w33 |
93. | 93 3622 2019w34 |
94. | 94 3590 2018w36 |
95. | 95 3571 2018w49 |
   |------------------------------|
96. | 96 3549 2019w31 |
97. | 97 3540 2019w35 |
98. | 98 3347 2018w44 |
99. | 99 3338 2018w52 |
100. | 100 3207 2019w32 |
   |------------------------------|
101. | 101 3072 2018w35 |
   +------------------------------+

There are some factors that we can think of:
- New year event
- Merit sources have been refilled.
At least, we have seen actual increases of weekly merits. It's positive and I expect to see the phenomenon keep rising.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w51)

ABSTRACT

Total merits distributed on 2019w51 is 6194.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46 - 6 weeks ago), the percentage of last week merits increases 37%.
The last week ranked at 16^th position over 100 weeks.

Total distributed merits: 6194 (see)
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521

What does it means, guys?

Code:

. di (6194-4521)/4521*100
37.005087

It means that on the last week - 2019w51 - the forum community sent 1673 more merits than they usually did in previous weeks (at 4521, the weekly median). In percentage, there is about 37 % increase compares to median of weekly merits, took at 2019w46 (6 weeks ago).

In terms of rank for intra-week merits, the last week ranked at 16^th position, that is not impressive.

Code:

+------------------------------+
   | weeklyrank merit week |
   |------------------------------|
  1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
  2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
  3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
  4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
  5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
   |------------------------------|
  6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
  7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
  8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
  9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
   |------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6744 2018w13 |
14. | 14 6632 2019w2 |
15. | 15 6423 2018w14 |
   |------------------------------|
16. | 16 6194 2019w51 |
17. | 17 6130 2019w13 |
18. | 18 5907 2019w48 |
19. | 19 5644 2018w37 |
20. | 20 5542 2019w42 |
   |------------------------------|
21. | 21 5494 2018w15 |
22. | 22 5454 2019w19 |
23. | 23 5354 2019w24 |
24. | 24 5317 2019w3 |
25. | 25 5271 2019w15 |
   |------------------------------|
26. | 26 5214 2019w20 |
27. | 27 5186 2019w50 |
28. | 28 4975 2019w43 |
29. | 29 4965 2018w18 |
30. | 30 4929 2018w25 |
   |------------------------------|
31. | 31 4913 2019w10 |
32. | 32 4829 2018w42 |
33. | 33 4803 2019w1 |
34. | 34 4766 2018w19 |
35. | 35 4764 2019w18 |
   |------------------------------|
36. | 36 4742 2018w16 |
37. | 37 4735 2019w45 |
38. | 38 4730 2019w44 |
39. | 39 4726 2019w25 |
40. | 40 4688 2019w16 |
   |------------------------------|
41. | 41 4687 2019w23 |
42. | 42 4667 2019w4 |
43. | 43 4638 2019w9 |
44. | 44 4612 2018w17 |
45. | 45 4609 2019w12 |
   |------------------------------|
46. | 46 4580 2019w21 |
47. | 47 4575 2018w47 |
48. | 48 4565 2019w41 |
49. | 49 4538 2018w23 |
50. | 50 4526 2019w14 |
   |------------------------------|
51. | 51 4525 2018w45 |
52. | 52 4524 2019w49 |
53. | 53 4521 2019w8 |
54. | 54 4520 2019w38 |
55. | 55 4491 2019w5 |
   |------------------------------|
56. | 56 4465 2018w26 |
57. | 57 4448 2019w17 |
58. | 58 4445 2019w22 |
59. | 59 4395 2018w39 |
60. | 60 4367 2019w26 |
   |------------------------------|
61. | 61 4357 2019w40 |
62. | 62 4353 2018w20 |
63. | 63 4332 2019w6 |
64. | 64 4326 2019w11 |
65. | 65 4318 2019w39 |
   |------------------------------|
66. | 66 4310 2018w40 |
67. | 67 4278 2018w27 |
68. | 68 4277 2019w29 |
69. | 69 4247 2018w28 |
70. | 70 4236 2019w33 |
   |------------------------------|
71. | 71 4225 2019w27 |
72. | 72 4221 2019w7 |
73. | 73 4194 2018w22 |
74. | 74 4176 2019w30 |
75. | 75 4167 2018w29 |
   |------------------------------|
76. | 76 4119 2019w28 |
77. | 77 4043 2019w37 |
78. | 78 4011 2018w32 |
79. | 79 3953 2018w43 |
80. | 80 3864 2018w21 |
   |------------------------------|
81. | 81 3863 2018w31 |
82. | 82 3839 2018w24 |
83. | 83 3816 2018w41 |
84. | 84 3809 2019w36 |
85. | 85 3805 2018w34 |
   |------------------------------|
86. | 86 3805 2018w50 |
87. | 87 3769 2018w51 |
88. | 88 3765 2018w48 |
89. | 89 3747 2018w46 |
90. | 90 3661 2018w30 |
   |------------------------------|
91. | 91 3631 2018w33 |
92. | 92 3622 2019w34 |
93. | 93 3590 2018w36 |
94. | 94 3571 2018w49 |
95. | 95 3549 2019w31 |
   |------------------------------|
96. | 96 3540 2019w35 |
97. | 97 3347 2018w44 |
98. | 98 3338 2018w52 |
99. | 99 3207 2019w32 |
100. | 100 3072 2018w35 |
   +------------------------------+

As predicted, people, including merit sources, gave away more sMerits again when their sMerits refilled after 30 days but the 37% increase is quite impressive, in my opinion, compared to the median of weekly merits 6 weeks ago, and compared to the percentage of increases in monthly sMerits for each merit sources.

However, the 37% increases include all users in the forum, not only restricted to merit sources; and the increases likely come from at least two sides:

Merit sources' activities
Normal users who have more actively used their sMerits with the Christmas and New year event.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w50)

ABSTRACT

Total merits distributed on 2019w50 is 5186.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46 - 5 weeks ago), the percentage of last week merits increases 14.7%.
The last week ranked at 26^th position over 99 weeks.

Total distributed merits: 5186 (see)
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521

What does it means, guys?

Code:

. di (5186-4521)/4521*100
14.709135

It means that on the last week - 2019w50 - the forum community sent 665 more merits than they usually did in previous weeks (at 4521, the weekly median). In percentage, there is about 14.7 % increase compares to median of weekly merits, took at 2019w46 (5 weeks ago).

In terms of rank for intra-week merits, the last week ranked at 26^th position, that is not impressive.

Code:

+------------------------------+
   | weeklyrank merit week |
   |------------------------------|
  1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
  2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
  3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
  4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
  5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
   |------------------------------|
  6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
  7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
  8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
  9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
   |------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6744 2018w13 |
14. | 14 6632 2019w2 |
15. | 15 6423 2018w14 |
   |------------------------------|
16. | 16 6130 2019w13 |
17. | 17 5907 2019w48 |
18. | 18 5644 2018w37 |
19. | 19 5542 2019w42 |
20. | 20 5494 2018w15 |
   |------------------------------|
21. | 21 5454 2019w19 |
22. | 22 5354 2019w24 |
23. | 23 5317 2019w3 |
24. | 24 5271 2019w15 |
25. | 25 5214 2019w20 |
   |------------------------------|
26. | 26 5186 2019w50 |
27. | 27 4975 2019w43 |
28. | 28 4965 2018w18 |
29. | 29 4929 2018w25 |
30. | 30 4913 2019w10 |
   |------------------------------|
31. | 31 4829 2018w42 |
32. | 32 4803 2019w1 |
33. | 33 4766 2018w19 |
34. | 34 4764 2019w18 |
35. | 35 4742 2018w16 |
   |------------------------------|
36. | 36 4735 2019w45 |
37. | 37 4730 2019w44 |
38. | 38 4726 2019w25 |
39. | 39 4688 2019w16 |
40. | 40 4687 2019w23 |
   |------------------------------|
41. | 41 4667 2019w4 |
42. | 42 4638 2019w9 |
43. | 43 4612 2018w17 |
44. | 44 4609 2019w12 |
45. | 45 4580 2019w21 |
   |------------------------------|
46. | 46 4575 2018w47 |
47. | 47 4565 2019w41 |
48. | 48 4538 2018w23 |
49. | 49 4526 2019w14 |
50. | 50 4525 2018w45 |
   |------------------------------|
51. | 51 4524 2019w49 |
52. | 52 4521 2019w8 |
53. | 53 4520 2019w38 |
54. | 54 4491 2019w5 |
55. | 55 4465 2018w26 |
   |------------------------------|
56. | 56 4448 2019w17 |
57. | 57 4445 2019w22 |
58. | 58 4395 2018w39 |
59. | 59 4367 2019w26 |
60. | 60 4357 2019w40 |
   |------------------------------|
61. | 61 4353 2018w20 |
62. | 62 4332 2019w6 |
63. | 63 4326 2019w11 |
64. | 64 4318 2019w39 |
65. | 65 4310 2018w40 |
   |------------------------------|
66. | 66 4278 2018w27 |
67. | 67 4277 2019w29 |
68. | 68 4247 2018w28 |
69. | 69 4236 2019w33 |
70. | 70 4225 2019w27 |
   |------------------------------|
71. | 71 4221 2019w7 |
72. | 72 4194 2018w22 |
73. | 73 4176 2019w30 |
74. | 74 4167 2018w29 |
75. | 75 4119 2019w28 |
   |------------------------------|
76. | 76 4043 2019w37 |
77. | 77 4011 2018w32 |
78. | 78 3953 2018w43 |
79. | 79 3864 2018w21 |
80. | 80 3863 2018w31 |
   |------------------------------|
81. | 81 3839 2018w24 |
82. | 82 3816 2018w41 |
83. | 83 3809 2019w36 |
84. | 84 3805 2018w34 |
85. | 85 3805 2018w50 |
   |------------------------------|
86. | 86 3769 2018w51 |
87. | 87 3765 2018w48 |
88. | 88 3747 2018w46 |
89. | 89 3661 2018w30 |
90. | 90 3631 2018w33 |
   |------------------------------|
91. | 91 3622 2019w34 |
92. | 92 3590 2018w36 |
93. | 93 3571 2018w49 |
94. | 94 3549 2019w31 |
95. | 95 3540 2019w35 |
   |------------------------------|
96. | 96 3347 2018w44 |
97. | 97 3338 2018w52 |
98. | 98 3207 2019w32 |
99. | 99 3072 2018w35 |
   +------------------------------+

It seems that we saw the effects from merit sources again when their sMerits refilled after 30 days but the 14.7% increase is not impressive, in my opinion, compared to the median of weekly merits 5 weeks ago, and compared to the percentage of increases in monthly sMerits for each merit sources.

I predict that there will be more increases for 2019w51 (with the coming Friday-data dump), when more sMerits refilled and effects from the Christmas and New year!

DdmrDdmr

legendary

Activity: 2338

Merit: 10802

There are lies, damned lies and statistics. MTwain

Quote from: fillippone on December 16, 2019, 02:28:18 AM

<…>

I think we need to wait at least until next Friday to get a proper reading of this. Merit Source redistribution and reassignment took place on the 14/11/2019 (perhaps a day before, but I captured my screen shot on the referenced date). 30 days later is when the Merit allowances get replenished (same rate as date-30 days sMerit expenditure), so that process is taking place now, and last week’s reading (as of Friday 13/12/2019) caught the allowances at the end of their cycle, without the replenishing effect taking place yet.

Additionally, the coming xMas period may have some effect either way in the coming weeks (more time available or less time depending on how each one deals with out of routine time).

dzungmobile

sr. member

Activity: 854

Merit: 424

I stand with Ukraine!

Merit sources probably overused their smerits within the art contest so they have to wait for their next sMerit allocations. 30 days to refresh for amount of sMerits they sent. I expect they will become reactively give sMerits away next one or two weeks.

Normal users probably have faced nearly same problems, and they have to earn new merits to have newly free sMerits.

Next one month, we might have a better overview on growths of those 28 users (who earned hundreds of merits within the Art contest and jumped to the top recently merited users)
Percentages of recent earned per total merits of artists in top-50-merited users
I am going to give you the update next three weeks.

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

I am really surprised about this pull to the long term average.
I thought one of the most relevant effect of the new sources were the reallocation from inactive to active merit sources.

I timely depleted my allowance, maybe others with bigger ones actually struggled a little bit. I don’t know.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w49)

ABSTRACT

The effects from the Art contest have disappeared.
Total merits distributed on 2019w49 is 4524.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46 - 4 weeks ago), the percentage of last week merits increases only 0.7%.
The last week ranked at 50^th position over 98 weeks.

Total distributed merits: 4524 (see)
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521

What does it means, guys?

Code:

. di (4524-4521)/4521*100
.066357

It means that on the last week - 2019w49 - the forum community sent 3 more merits than they usually did in previous weeks (at 4521, the weekly median). In percentage, there is about 0.7 % increase compares to median of weekly merits, took at 2019w46 (4 weeks ago).

In terms of rank for intra-week merits, the last week ranked at 50^th position, that is not impressive.

Code:

. list weeklyrank merit week, abb(30)

   +------------------------------+
   | weeklyrank merit week |
   |------------------------------|
  1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
  2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
  3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
  4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
  5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
   |------------------------------|
  6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
  7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
  8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
  9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
   |------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6744 2018w13 |
14. | 14 6632 2019w2 |
15. | 15 6423 2018w14 |
   |------------------------------|
16. | 16 6130 2019w13 |
17. | 17 5907 2019w48 |
18. | 18 5644 2018w37 |
19. | 19 5542 2019w42 |
20. | 20 5494 2018w15 |
   |------------------------------|
21. | 21 5454 2019w19 |
22. | 22 5354 2019w24 |
23. | 23 5317 2019w3 |
24. | 24 5271 2019w15 |
25. | 25 5214 2019w20 |
   |------------------------------|
26. | 26 4975 2019w43 |
27. | 27 4965 2018w18 |
28. | 28 4929 2018w25 |
29. | 29 4913 2019w10 |
30. | 30 4829 2018w42 |
   |------------------------------|
31. | 31 4803 2019w1 |
32. | 32 4766 2018w19 |
33. | 33 4764 2019w18 |
34. | 34 4742 2018w16 |
35. | 35 4735 2019w45 |
   |------------------------------|
36. | 36 4730 2019w44 |
37. | 37 4726 2019w25 |
38. | 38 4688 2019w16 |
39. | 39 4687 2019w23 |
40. | 40 4667 2019w4 |
   |------------------------------|
41. | 41 4638 2019w9 |
42. | 42 4612 2018w17 |
43. | 43 4609 2019w12 |
44. | 44 4580 2019w21 |
45. | 45 4575 2018w47 |
   |------------------------------|
46. | 46 4565 2019w41 |
47. | 47 4538 2018w23 |
48. | 48 4526 2019w14 |
49. | 49 4525 2018w45 |
50. | 50 4524 2019w49 |
   |------------------------------|
51. | 51 4521 2019w8 |
52. | 52 4520 2019w38 |
53. | 53 4491 2019w5 |
54. | 54 4465 2018w26 |
55. | 55 4448 2019w17 |
   |------------------------------|
56. | 56 4445 2019w22 |
57. | 57 4395 2018w39 |
58. | 58 4367 2019w26 |
59. | 59 4357 2019w40 |
60. | 60 4353 2018w20 |
   |------------------------------|
61. | 61 4332 2019w6 |
62. | 62 4326 2019w11 |
63. | 63 4318 2019w39 |
64. | 64 4310 2018w40 |
65. | 65 4278 2018w27 |
   |------------------------------|
66. | 66 4277 2019w29 |
67. | 67 4247 2018w28 |
68. | 68 4236 2019w33 |
69. | 69 4225 2019w27 |
70. | 70 4221 2019w7 |
   |------------------------------|
71. | 71 4194 2018w22 |
72. | 72 4176 2019w30 |
73. | 73 4167 2018w29 |
74. | 74 4119 2019w28 |
75. | 75 4043 2019w37 |
   |------------------------------|
76. | 76 4011 2018w32 |
77. | 77 3953 2018w43 |
78. | 78 3864 2018w21 |
79. | 79 3863 2018w31 |
80. | 80 3839 2018w24 |
   |------------------------------|
81. | 81 3816 2018w41 |
82. | 82 3809 2019w36 |
83. | 83 3805 2018w34 |
84. | 84 3805 2018w50 |
85. | 85 3769 2018w51 |
   |------------------------------|
86. | 86 3765 2018w48 |
87. | 87 3747 2018w46 |
88. | 88 3661 2018w30 |
89. | 89 3631 2018w33 |
90. | 90 3622 2019w34 |
   |------------------------------|
91. | 91 3590 2018w36 |
92. | 92 3571 2018w49 |
93. | 93 3549 2019w31 |
94. | 94 3540 2019w35 |
95. | 95 3347 2018w44 |
   |------------------------------|
96. | 96 3338 2018w52 |
97. | 97 3207 2019w32 |
98. | 98 3072 2018w35 |
   +------------------------------+

I believe that that is a solid proof of the disappearance of Art contest's effects (after 4 weeks). One of two purposes for the thread has been demonstrated.

The last purpose is observe the effects from reallocation of 30-days sMerits to merit sources. I am going to keep observing it next one month.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w48)

ABSTRACT

It seems the effects from the Art contest has dramatically cooled down.
Total merits distributed on 2019w48 is 5907.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46 - 3 weeks ago), the percentage of last week merits increases only 30.7%.
Good news is it seems the re-allocation of sMerits for merit sources still shown good effects.

Total distributed merits: 5907 (see)
theymos' effects: only 12 merits sent by him last week, none of them relates to the Art Contest, Art badge vote.
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521

A raw caculation from merits (with all possible effects from Art contest - new merit sources, newly increased sMerits allocation, and the others), but this week, I don't exclude theymos' sent-merits, then we have:

Code:

. di 5907-4521
1386

. di (5907-4521)/4521*100
30.656934

What does it means, guys?

It means that on the last week - 2019w48 - the forum community sent 1386 more merits than they usually did in previous weeks (at 4521, the weekly median). In percentage, there is about 30.7% increase compares to median of weekly merits, took at 2019w46 (3 weeks ago).

The figure of 5907 does not satisfy my definition of outliers. It's very normal, in my opinion.

Quote from: tranthidung on December 08, 2019, 10:44:07 PM

It means that potential outliers are weeks that have intra-week merits beyond 2477 or 6857.

In terms of rank for intra-week merits, the last week ranked at 17^th position, that is not impressive.

Code:

. list weeklyrank merit week, abb(30)

+------------------------------+
| weeklyrank merit week |
|------------------------------|
1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
3. | 3 17685 2019w47 |
4. | 4 14251 2019w46 |
5. | 5 13313 2018w6 |
|------------------------------|
6. | 6 11745 2018w7 |
7. | 7 8833 2018w9 |
8. | 8 8767 2018w8 |
9. | 9 7837 2018w38 |
10. | 10 7317 2018w11 |
|------------------------------|
11. | 11 7261 2018w10 |
12. | 12 6952 2018w12 |
13. | 13 6744 2018w13 |
14. | 14 6632 2019w2 |
15. | 15 6423 2018w14 |
|------------------------------|
16. | 16 6130 2019w13 |
17. | 17 5907 2019w48 |
18. | 18 5644 2018w37 |
19. | 19 5542 2019w42 |
20. | 20 5494 2018w15 |
|------------------------------|
21. | 21 5454 2019w19 |
22. | 22 5354 2019w24 |
23. | 23 5317 2019w3 |
24. | 24 5271 2019w15 |
25. | 25 5214 2019w20 |
|------------------------------|
26. | 26 4975 2019w43 |
27. | 27 4965 2018w18 |
28. | 28 4929 2018w25 |
29. | 29 4913 2019w10 |
30. | 30 4829 2018w42 |
|------------------------------|
31. | 31 4803 2019w1 |
32. | 32 4766 2018w19 |
33. | 33 4764 2019w18 |
34. | 34 4742 2018w16 |
35. | 35 4735 2019w45 |
|------------------------------|
36. | 36 4730 2019w44 |
37. | 37 4726 2019w25 |
38. | 38 4688 2019w16 |
39. | 39 4687 2019w23 |
40. | 40 4667 2019w4 |
|------------------------------|
41. | 41 4638 2019w9 |
42. | 42 4612 2018w17 |
43. | 43 4609 2019w12 |
44. | 44 4580 2019w21 |
45. | 45 4575 2018w47 |
|------------------------------|
46. | 46 4565 2019w41 |
47. | 47 4538 2018w23 |
48. | 48 4526 2019w14 |
49. | 49 4525 2018w45 |
50. | 50 4521 2019w8 |
|------------------------------|
51. | 51 4520 2019w38 |
52. | 52 4491 2019w5 |
53. | 53 4465 2018w26 |
54. | 54 4448 2019w17 |
55. | 55 4445 2019w22 |
|------------------------------|
56. | 56 4395 2018w39 |
57. | 57 4367 2019w26 |
58. | 58 4357 2019w40 |
59. | 59 4353 2018w20 |
60. | 60 4332 2019w6 |
|------------------------------|
61. | 61 4326 2019w11 |
62. | 62 4318 2019w39 |
63. | 63 4310 2018w40 |
64. | 64 4278 2018w27 |
65. | 65 4277 2019w29 |
|------------------------------|
66. | 66 4247 2018w28 |
67. | 67 4236 2019w33 |
68. | 68 4225 2019w27 |
69. | 69 4221 2019w7 |
70. | 70 4194 2018w22 |
|------------------------------|
71. | 71 4176 2019w30 |
72. | 72 4167 2018w29 |
73. | 73 4119 2019w28 |
74. | 74 4043 2019w37 |
75. | 75 4011 2018w32 |
|------------------------------|
76. | 76 3953 2018w43 |
77. | 77 3864 2018w21 |
78. | 78 3863 2018w31 |
79. | 79 3839 2018w24 |
80. | 80 3816 2018w41 |
|------------------------------|
81. | 81 3809 2019w36 |
82. | 82 3805 2018w34 |
83. | 83 3805 2018w50 |
84. | 84 3769 2018w51 |
85. | 85 3765 2018w48 |
|------------------------------|
86. | 86 3747 2018w46 |
87. | 87 3661 2018w30 |
88. | 88 3631 2018w33 |
89. | 89 3622 2019w34 |
90. | 90 3590 2018w36 |
|------------------------------|
91. | 91 3571 2018w49 |
92. | 92 3549 2019w31 |
93. | 93 3540 2019w35 |
94. | 94 3347 2018w44 |
95. | 95 3338 2018w52 |
|------------------------------|
96. | 96 3207 2019w32 |
97. | 97 3072 2018w35 |
+------------------------------+

I believe that there is a real cool down but there are some other reasons: such as merit sources overused their sMerits in the Art-related threads and now have still waited their sMerits to be filled again, whilst normal users have to earn new merits themselves in order to have more sMerits to give away.

Let's wait for next one or two weeks to see how the increasing effects maintain (about 30% higher than 4521) or tail off.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Update: (on 2019w47)
* I made incorrect stats earlier today but fixed.

ABSTRACT

It seems the effects from the Art contest has gradually cooled down.
Compare to 4521 (the median of weekly merits on 2019w46), the percentages of last week merits (after excluding merits distributed by theymos) is 106.7%, while the figure two weeks ago is 291.5%.
Good news is it seems the re-allocation of sMerits for merit sources still shown good effects.

Total distributed merits: 17685 (see)
Total merits sent by theymos: 8341 (= 9413-1072, see)
Median of weekly merits before the 2019w46 (when theymos began to dump massive merits): 4521

A raw caculation from merits (with all possible effects from Art contest - excludes theymos' sent-merits, new merit sources, newly increased sMerits allocation, and the others), we have:

Code:

. di 17685-8341
9344

What does it means, guys?

It means that the forum community were extremely active last week in the way they use their merits. They sent 9344 merits more than they usually did in previous weeks (at 4521, the weekly median).

I believe that the effects from the Art Contest cooled down within the last week (2019w47), even total's theymos dumped merits concentrated in the last week (8341/9413 ~ 88.6% - only in the 10th Art contest thread).

After excluding theymos' effects, the total merits in the last week from community is 106.7% higher than previous median of weekly merits at 4521 (on the 2019w45, see).

Code:

. di (9344-4521)/4521*100
106.67994

The figure is nearly half of the last week's figure at 291.5%.

Quote from: tranthidung on November 25, 2019, 08:27:17 PM

After excluding theymos' effects, we have 291% increase compares to the median of weekly merits (before 2019w46) at 4521.

Code:

. di (14251-1071)/4521*100
291.52842

Let's wait for next one or two weeks to see how the increasing effects maintain or tail off.

LTU_btc

legendary

Activity: 3220

Merit: 1374

Slava Ukraini!

Thank you @fillippone for the link and @tranthidung for stats. Damn, I knew that merit distribution on initial week in 2018 was huge, but I didn't expected such crazy numbers. Previous week is so far away from it, but 14251 is still amazing numbers.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Thanks @fillippone for the link to the answer but I want to add more details.

The last week is ranked at the third position in descending orders of top weeks in total weekly merits.

Quote from: tranthidung on November 25, 2019, 03:21:24 AM

Code:

. list weeklyrank merit week, abb(30)

   +------------------------------+
   | weeklyrank merit week |
   |------------------------------|
  1. | 1 30960 2018w4 |
  2. | 2 19979 2018w5 |
  3. | 3 14251 2019w46 |

The figure of the last week is more impressive if you know that the figure of 2018w4 is not for a fully complete week. It is for only five days of 2018w4. See below.

And if we subtract the merits distributed on 24jan2018 (13018), the first day, we will do see the 2019w46 (last week) nearly hits the second position.

Quote from: tranthidung on August 03, 2019, 05:08:44 AM

Code:

. list id merit date day month2 year week month dofw if year == 2018

   +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
   | id merit date day month2 year week month dofw |
   |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. | 1 13018 24jan2018 24 1 2018 2018w4 2018m1 Wednesday |
  2. | 2 6762 25jan2018 25 1 2018 2018w4 2018m1 Thursday |
  3. | 3 4500 26jan2018 26 1 2018 2018w4 2018m1 Friday |
  4. | 4 3490 27jan2018 27 1 2018 2018w4 2018m1 Saturday |
  5. | 5 3190 28jan2018 28 1 2018 2018w4 2018m1 Sunday |
   |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. | 6 3800 29jan2018 29 1 2018 2018w5 2018m1 Monday |

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Quote from: LTU_btc on November 26, 2019, 06:49:34 PM

I'm not very good at stats analysis, so I would like to ask - how Merit distribution last week looks compared with first weeks after realease of Merit system (January 2018)? Because I can't remember when I saw such big number of merits distributed just in one week and I suppose these numbers are close (or even bigger) to most active weeks when merit system just been released.

I think I this thread, and this post in particular, should answer all your doubt:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.53173437

LTU_btc

legendary

Activity: 3220

Merit: 1374

Slava Ukraini!

I'm not very good at stats analysis, so I would like to ask - how Merit distribution last week looks compared with first weeks after realease of Merit system (January 2018)? Because I can't remember when I saw such big number of merits distributed just in one week and I suppose these numbers are close (or even bigger) to most active weeks when merit system just been released.

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Quote from: tranthidung on November 25, 2019, 08:27:17 PM

I also hope that all merit sources will maintain their strict rules when giving merits away. The forum does not need a new-era shitposters who will destroy what merit system and our community built up well so far.

I think this is the challenge for the new MS (myself included).

What we saw in this round is a massive reallocation from "inactive MS" to new "active" MS.
Even if MS number was reduced and also global sMerit allowance was marginally inflated, overall, I do expect merits circulation will increase a lot.
theymos made now clear that wants all the merit allowance to be depleted, and I think the future "rebalance" of sMerits allowance will consider the amount of sMerits spent.

This pose a challenge for merit source, deplete their sMerit source monthly allowance (that should be the easy part) without promoting shitposting, or below par contributions (this is going to be the hard part).
Attaining this double objective will allow each individual MS to increase her sMerit allowance in a future revision by theymos (who made clear that some sort of adjustment will be done in the future considering the sMerits sent in the recent months), and at the same time do what a good MS should do: trying to promote good posting on the forum.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Quote from: cabalism13 on November 26, 2019, 06:13:06 AM

It's an event, so what do we expect? And yeah right, some of those entries doesn't really deserve Merits if you ask me but still let's just consider this as part of the event, besides its only a matter of time when this issues might stop. Maybe tomorrow or the next day, the distribution of Merits will become normal again.

No, you misunderstood my opinion. What I mentioned is I hope merit sources will maintain their strict rules as same as before their reallocation of monthly merits.

For the Art contest, yes, it is for fun, and I am fine with it. There is nothing wrong when you send 20 or 50 merits to the arts you like (even if you do it today). I knew there are some shady behavious and ones took advantage of the contest to do what they waited for around two years since merit sytem began. As I said, I am fine with it and just let it be what it be. Then, when the Art contest effects cool down, they will be stucked again (if they have not yet promoted to Legendaries).

Quote from: TMAN on November 26, 2019, 06:24:09 AM

how long till the investigators are in tying up farms/rings of accounts..

As TMAN wrote, they will do stupid things again. Like what we saw when the enhanced merit system activated in September of 2018.
They nearly got mad in the first week since the changes came.
See details here (and you can see spikes in the time-series plot).
One year anniversary of enhanced merit system

Quote from: tranthidung on September 22, 2019, 07:23:58 AM

Code:

. list id emerit date day month2 year week month

   +--------------------------------------------------------------------+
   | id emerit date day month2 year week month |
   |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. | 237 1863 17sep2018 17 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  2. | 238 1295 18sep2018 18 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  3. | 239 1271 19sep2018 19 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  4. | 240 847 20sep2018 20 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  5. | 241 808 21sep2018 21 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
   |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. | 242 948 22sep2018 22 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  7. | 243 805 23sep2018 23 9 2018 2018w38 2018m9 |
  8. | 244 750 24sep2018 24 9 2018 2018w39 2018m9 |
  9. | 245 597 25sep2018 25 9 2018 2018w39 2018m9 |
10. | 246 563 26sep2018 26 9 2018 2018w39 2018m9 |
   |--------------------------------------------------------------------|

TMAN

legendary

Activity: 1414

Merit: 1808

Exchange Bitcoin quickly-https://blockchain.com.do

I got a little trigger happy with my source merits since we got a full top up, assuming i wasn't the only person due to the art thread. With Theymos handing out a fuck ton of merits how long till the investigators are in tying up farms/rings of accounts..

cabalism13

legendary

Activity: 1428

Merit: 1166

🤩Finally Married🤩

Quote from: tranthidung on November 25, 2019, 08:27:17 PM

I also hope that all merit sources will maintain their strict rules when giving merits away. The forum does not need a new-era shitposters who will destroy what merit system and our community built up well so far.

It's an event, so what do we expect? And yeah right, some of those entries doesn't really deserve Merits if you ask me but still let's just consider this as part of the event, besides its only a matter of time when this issues might stop. Maybe tomorrow or the next day, the distribution of Merits will become normal again.

As for myself, there are some entries that I have missed, but I'm well focused on giving out Merits only to my fellow countrymen unless there are really quite good enough just like the works of ADAMA and dannybrown. Truly Fanstastic.

Let's just wait until the end of this week, then the next will be on Christmas, expect that to happen. So many bastards will get to it.

tranthidung

legendary

Activity: 2310

Merit: 4085

Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Quote from: LoyceMobile on November 25, 2019, 04:00:47 PM

All sources had their source Merit adjusted and thus reset to the full amount. I'm aiming to empty mine in 30 days, so long term I expect my monthly distribution to increase by about 400 now.

It makes sense, with each 175% increase of each source's merit allocation, in the long run, merit distribution weekly will do increase as well.

Let's look at the past week, what happened?

After excluding theymos' effects, we have 291% increase compares to the median of weekly merits (before 2019w46) at 4521.

Code:

. di (14251-1071)/4521*100
291.52842

As being said, after the bias-effects from theymos and the Art contest cool down, I expect the figure will be somewhere closely to the increases of merit allocation for each source (compares to 4521).

Nevertheless, I have a big curious question for myself:
Will luckily ranked-up users with generous supports from the Art contest perform well in coming months?
From my observations, most of them stucked for months (with very very little earned merits - that somehow represents their post quality and contributions) and I believe their post quality will probably not change too much in coming months.

I also hope that all merit sources will maintain their strict rules when giving merits away. The forum does not need a new-era shitposters who will destroy what merit system and our community built up well so far.

I asked for help from you and @DdmrDdmr here. If you are interested in this one, please give us stats. Cheesy

Topic: The Art Contest has effects on merit distribution. How about merit sources? (Read 757 times)