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Topic: The Bubble Popped (Read 7799 times)

legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
January 07, 2014, 09:30:51 PM
#75
Looking back I feel that defining a bubble should be measured in weeks not months  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
January 07, 2014, 08:49:01 PM
#74
Reviving this thread because it suits well today.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
October 30, 2013, 09:34:12 PM
#73
OK, it's official, the "bubble" is DEFINITELY "popping" ... ... it's just doing it really, really, really, slowly.  Cool

Nice call, OP  Cheesy

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
October 29, 2013, 11:58:14 AM
#72
Let me guess... this is just a "dead cat bounce," right, OP?  Wink
legendary
Activity: 4032
Merit: 4562
You're never too old to think young.
October 28, 2013, 02:03:39 PM
#71
Still waiting for the "bubble" to pop, Op  Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
October 28, 2013, 10:26:30 AM
#70
Still waiting for the "bubble" to pop, Op  Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
October 28, 2013, 05:40:28 AM
#69
The only thing that really happened was that some folks who think bitcoin is just another market that you use Wall Street strategies for got their clocks cleaned.

The only people selling at $160 and $155 were wonks and day-traders that had stuck in stop-loss orders. Now when they wake up in the morning, they can look at their balances, and then climb back into bed and cry into their pillows because they got their pockets picked.

Bitcoin trading is not Wall Street, and if you try that crap eventually you will get eaten.

It's no different than trading anything else - there is no formula, and most traders, including professionals, end up failing to beat the market.


Actually they do differ.

Bitcoin is much more volatile and have much wider swings up and down, so while the principles might be the same or at least similar, the actual values are quite different. This means that if you take some constants from your wall street trading, and you "just use them" in Bitcoin, they will perform quite poorly. That's why he wrote that example about stop-loss orders: in wall street market, likely such an order would have made sense. Here it was just a normal swing.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
October 25, 2013, 07:35:55 PM
#68
Sheesh, with all the people openly having a target of $1000 it's going to take years to get there and crash magnificently the moment it does.

It depends. If Bitcoin hits $1000 for the same reasons it hit $266 in April - pure speculation - then, yes, it will crash dramatically. In fact, it will most likely crash before it gets to $1000, if its based mostly on speculation.

However, if the underlining fundamental values of BTC increase such as:

A. Legitimacy as a true store of wealth - (ETF funds, financial markets treating it as if it is a viable option)
B. Increased adoption and implementation in developing or struggling countries (i.e. relationship with M-pesa/Cyprus)
C. Legitimacy as a currency grows - adoption by large internet companies/off-line retailer brands, etc.

then $1000 could come and go without much ado at all.

It really just depends on how Bitcoin evolves over then next 24 months.
sr. member
Activity: 274
Merit: 250
October 25, 2013, 04:29:44 PM
#67
Sheesh, with all the people openly having a target of $1000 it's going to take years to get there and crash magnificently the moment it does.

so you think it wiil take years for this

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.3055867

to take place ? and then it would crash ? that would make it a strange party...   Cheesy

Well, I'd expect a large correction somewhere around that level at any rate.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
October 25, 2013, 03:58:09 PM
#66
Sheesh, with all the people openly having a target of $1000 it's going to take years to get there and crash magnificently the moment it does.

so you think it wiil take years for this

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.3055867

to take place ? and then it would crash ? that would make it a strange party...   Cheesy
full member
Activity: 133
Merit: 100
October 25, 2013, 03:15:55 PM
#65
Well it was quite a drop, and I wasn't happy to see it.  But it's fairly typical for Bitcoin lately.

Oh I was happy indeed, I had dollars ready for days, just waiting for this correction Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 274
Merit: 250
October 25, 2013, 02:57:45 PM
#64
Sheesh, with all the people openly having a target of $1000 it's going to take years to get there and crash magnificently the moment it does.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
October 25, 2013, 02:54:19 PM
#63
The bubble can't pop as long as you can't withdraw real money in significant numbers

Thank MtGox
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
October 25, 2013, 02:52:07 PM
#62
new rally starts in 5 4 3 2 1...
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
October 25, 2013, 02:41:21 PM
#61
I thought the previous high in btc history was 266 on mtgox, but it seems like it was only 240.... anyway...  this new jump and correction is happening exponentially faster...

new trends will definitely be happening exponentially faster.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
October 25, 2013, 01:36:53 PM
#60
Well it was quite a drop, and I wasn't happy to see it.  But it's fairly typical for Bitcoin lately.
Hey it's just like coming down from an acid trip. No ones happy about it.
I suppose that depends how much of your portfolio is in dollars, and whether your bids filled on the way down.  Smiley
full member
Activity: 151
Merit: 100
October 25, 2013, 01:31:37 PM
#59
www.currentbitcoinvalue.org is showing a slow and steady decline in Bitcoin value for all the major exchanges.  How far will it go?  Anyone willing to speculate on what a good price would be to start buying back in?
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Changing avatars is currently not possible.
October 25, 2013, 01:17:36 PM
#58
Well it was quite a drop, and I wasn't happy to see it.  But it's fairly typical for Bitcoin lately.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
October 25, 2013, 12:47:41 PM
#57
I'm representing! Every service based or mom/pop business I go into I am preaching it!
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
October 25, 2013, 11:49:41 AM
#56
We may have had a correction, but the rally isn't over yet!

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