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Topic: The correction is going to be epic, 2025 ~ 1M and other predictions. - page 2. (Read 1024 times)

legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 5637
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Btc often falls much faster than it rises, though it obviously rises orders of magnitude over time, but the correction....20% ~ 30 % in 20 mins then a dead cat bounce.....

feels like earlier years where a 20% rise was normal in btc crypto land.

4~5 years .... 100K.

7~9 years .... $1M.

though $1M in 7~9 years will only have $500K buying power in today's $$$

I also wonder....how many BTC are going to be left for sale. I mean each time the market moves up, and drops....it must shake out a large proportion of people who are going to sell.

Then as it moves up to a new high it educates the remainder to not sell out if it drops.

Just Hold.

This is perhaps like a doubly or triple reinforcing process that is going to select perhaps geometrically for actors that do not sell, or less much lesser proportions of their holdings. This would indicate supply is going to really go down over time, further pushing up cost.


Some things are repeating constantly and those who know how it works benefits from that every time.In some point whales will dump coins on market and price will go down,many will follow and panic sell will start.After that like always whales will buy again at lower price.

I agree that with time many coins will cross in hands of some holders who will be very careful and will not sell in panic.So less coins on market for sale,smaller production every four years caused by halving and fact that most of BTC will be mined in next 10 years with increase demand-it can only mean that the price goes to the moon.

member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
"corrections" are never big or epic or anything, they are always logical and properly sized.

Mt. Gox.

Will it happen again?

Mt. Gox had 75% of trading volume I think.

So if it happens again it can’t be an exchange. Has to be something else which is centralized. The other idea would be the failure of USDT, but I think perhaps dependence on it has waned since earlier in the year? The other idea would be a massive crackdown on ICOs, but I doubt this will come all at once.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1087
was anyone else expecting the movements to reduce in magnitude as the price got higher? i know things are going slower in general, but it can still add or lose 10-20% in a day which is surprising to me.

and yep. the amount of sellers must be dwindling every time.
legendary
Activity: 2632
Merit: 1023
"corrections" are never big or epic or anything, they are always logical and properly sized.
what you see is usually a dump and a lot of FUD and you can't really generalize all of the dumps the say way. each of them are different and happen under very different circumstances.

for example this last one started as a simple correction. price went down from $49xx to $4400-$4500 which was less than a 10% correction and everything was perfectly fine, then the China crap started and price went down to $3800-$4000 and they kept attacking bitcoin. and the JP Morgan "bitcoin is fraud" was the last straw.

none of this 30%+ drop ever happened in 20 minutes though you are confusing bitcoin with a pump and dump altcoin. it took a lot of FUD and a couple of weeks to reach that big a dip!

https://www.coindesk.com/price-bitcoin-drops-400-btc-e-flash-crash/

though I admit it was a flash crash
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1293
There is trouble abrewing
"corrections" are never big or epic or anything, they are always logical and properly sized.
what you see is usually a dump and a lot of FUD and you can't really generalize all of the dumps the say way. each of them are different and happen under very different circumstances.

for example this last one started as a simple correction. price went down from $49xx to $4400-$4500 which was less than a 10% correction and everything was perfectly fine, then the China crap started and price went down to $3800-$4000 and they kept attacking bitcoin. and the JP Morgan "bitcoin is fraud" was the last straw.

none of this 30%+ drop ever happened in 20 minutes though you are confusing bitcoin with a pump and dump altcoin. it took a lot of FUD and a couple of weeks to reach that big a dip!
legendary
Activity: 2632
Merit: 1023
Btc often falls much faster than it rises, though it obviously rises orders of magnitude over time, but the correction....20% ~ 30 % in 20 mins then a dead cat bounce.....

feels like earlier years where a 20% rise was normal in btc crypto land.

4~5 years .... 100K.

7~9 years .... $1M.

though $1M in 7~9 years will only have $500K buying power in today's $$$

I also wonder....how many BTC are going to be left for sale. I mean each time the market moves up, and drops....it must shake out a large proportion of people who are going to sell.

Then as it moves up to a new high it educates the remainder to not sell out if it drops.

Just Hold.

This is perhaps like a doubly or triple reinforcing process that is going to select perhaps geometrically for actors that do not sell, or less much lesser proportions of their holdings. This would indicate supply is going to really go down over time, further pushing up cost.
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