The crash comes in 1 week? | Bitcointalksearch.org

MPOE-PR

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Quote from: proudhon on April 09, 2013, 02:09:07 PM

I expect a pretty devastating crash to materialize ahead of this. Then, once a robust and trustable shorting market is up and running, the price will continue even lower. Eventually the price "stabilize", though much, much lower than it is now, and upward and downward movements will be smaller as a result of margin trading.

Weren't you expecting the same around 7.x?

NikolaTesla

newbie

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Quote from: Chalkbot on April 09, 2013, 12:53:13 PM

We're obviously heading toward a permanently high plateau.

Yup. Anyone who's studied diff eq's and rate-of-adoption models knows this.

justusranvier

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Leaveraged shorting of bitcoins has been done before. It's a good way to get Zhou Tonged.

600watt

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Quote from: proudhon on April 09, 2013, 02:09:07 PM

I expect a pretty devastating crash to materialize ahead of this. Then, once a robust and trustable shorting market is up and running, the price will continue even lower. Eventually the price "stabilize", though much, much lower than it is now, and upward and downward movements will be smaller as a result of margin trading.

more than 3000 posts, and the opposite happened every time. no wait, in june 2011 you hit it. keep on going ! Grin

MPOE-PR

hero member

Activity: 756

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Quote from: proudhon on April 09, 2013, 02:09:07 PM

I expect a pretty devastating crash to materialize ahead of this. Then, once a robust and trustable shorting market is up and running, the price will continue even lower. Eventually the price "stabilize", though much, much lower than it is now, and upward and downward movements will be smaller as a result of margin trading.

The shorting market exists, and is more reputable and trustworthy than anything else in Bitcoin. As proven by last month. 500k BTC notional exposure is about half of MtGox volume, or more than all the exchanges combined. That says something.

PS. Ignoring reality doesn't make reality go away.

proudhon

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I expect a pretty devastating crash to materialize ahead of this. Then, once a robust and trustable shorting market is up and running, the price will continue even lower. Eventually the price "stabilize", though much, much lower than it is now, and upward and downward movements will be smaller as a result of margin trading.

MPOE-PR

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Activity: 756

Merit: 522

Quote from: Chalkbot on April 09, 2013, 12:53:13 PM

We're obviously heading toward a permanently high plateau.

Which will be elevated.

Chalkbot

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We're obviously heading toward a permanently high plateau.

ManBearPig

sr. member

Activity: 350

Merit: 250

"Don't go in the trollbox, trollbox, trollbox"

A doubling every 8 days is 9% daily growth. We are currently at 10%+ for April, MUCH more for the last 24 hours clearly.

BUT you asked so...

Viceroy

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Activity: 924

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Quote from: Rygon on April 09, 2013, 10:39:49 AM

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 10:26:27 AM

Maybe I should have said "since all the exchanges in bitcoin are only competent handling so much money...."

+1. Waiting for MtGox to say, "We can't process moar than $XXX Millions in flows each day. Please take a number and wait."

hehe... read this....

Sorry! Withdraws are momentarily disabled because payouts are taking an abnormal amount of time to confirm. I am working on a new payout system, but in the mean time withdraws will be on for a few hours each day while I test code. Idle in #mtred on freenode and you will be notified when they are online.

Can't withdraw your earnings, what is the the tax man cometh!!!!

nwbitcoin

sr. member

Activity: 294

Merit: 250

You are a geek if you are too early to the party!

SO are well all saying that the clever money will slowly move their money into something else while the crash is happening, ready to get back in one everything has calmed down a little?

Or is the expectation that the price should be far higher, that people are buying hand over fist - because its so cheap?

Cheap is a relative term! I still think the $30 my second bitcoin cost was expensive!

I guess, if the pattern goes to plan, bitcoin will rest for a while and litecoin and PPC will go nuts for a few days trying to catch up?

Pruden

hero member

Activity: 496

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Spanish Bitcoin trader

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 09:56:02 AM

Start rate   End rate   # of days   Dates
$3.12 $6.25   194   2011-12-01 to 2012-06-15
$6.25   $12.5   163   2012-06-15 to 2012-11-25
$12.5   $25   79   2012-11-25 to 2013-02-12
$25   $50   30   2013-02-12 to 2013-03-18
$50   $100   14   2013-03-18 to 2013-04-01
$100   $200   8   2013-04-01 to 2013-04-09

So, since the money on the planet is finite.......

This is the best indicator that the price is going to stop rising soon. It's impossible for the price to double in a matter of hours, and supposedly this will happen next week if the trend continues. Absurd. And remember: there is no such thing as a gentle cool-off.

BitcoinTate

full member

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DigiByte Founder

I never realized until now how Bitcoin would become spread out among the population. Weak hands will chicken out and dump their coins before the price really even gets going!

chmod755

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Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 09:56:02 AM

So, since the money on the planet is finite.......

Proof?

Rygon

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Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 10:26:27 AM

Maybe I should have said "since all the exchanges in bitcoin are only competent handling so much money...."

+1. Waiting for MtGox to say, "We can't process moar than $XXX Millions in flows each day. Please take a number and wait."

yokosan

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Activity: 700

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Quote from: Viceroy on April 09, 2013, 10:27:28 AM

Quote from: MPOE-PR on April 09, 2013, 10:07:19 AM

Divide the money on the planet by the bitcoin on the planet and see.

this! ;-)

You're not very good with sarcasm are you?

This forum floods with more cretins every day the price continues to rise.

Viceroy

hero member

Activity: 924

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Quote from: MPOE-PR on April 09, 2013, 10:07:19 AM

Divide the money on the planet by the bitcoin on the planet and see.

this! ;-)

crazy_rabbit

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RUM AND CARROTS: A PIRATE LIFE FOR ME

Quote from: MPOE-PR on April 09, 2013, 10:07:19 AM

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 09:56:02 AM

Start rate   End rate   # of days   Dates
$3.12 $6.25   194   2011-12-01 to 2012-06-15
$6.25   $12.5   163   2012-06-15 to 2012-11-25
$12.5   $25   79   2012-11-25 to 2013-02-12
$25   $50   30   2013-02-12 to 2013-03-18
$50   $100   14   2013-03-18 to 2013-04-01
$100   $200   8   2013-04-01 to 2013-04-09

So, since the money on the planet is finite.......

Divide the money on the planet by the bitcoin on the planet and see.

Maybe I should have said "since all the exchanges in bitcoin are only competent handling so much money...."

MPOE-PR

hero member

Activity: 756

Merit: 522

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on April 09, 2013, 09:56:02 AM

Start rate   End rate   # of days   Dates
$3.12 $6.25   194   2011-12-01 to 2012-06-15
$6.25   $12.5   163   2012-06-15 to 2012-11-25
$12.5   $25   79   2012-11-25 to 2013-02-12
$25   $50   30   2013-02-12 to 2013-03-18
$50   $100   14   2013-03-18 to 2013-04-01
$100   $200   8   2013-04-01 to 2013-04-09

So, since the money on the planet is finite.......

Divide the money on the planet by the bitcoin on the planet and see.

ineededausername

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bitcoin hundred-aire

Umm nope that first one only took a month. The second one took until August.

Topic: The crash comes in 1 week? (Read 2749 times)