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Topic: The Deflationary Spiral Argument - page 2. (Read 180 times)

hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 560
March 24, 2022, 08:36:12 AM
#2
In modern economies, there's a central authority that decides the currency's inflation. If there's much unemployment (and specifically cyclical unemployment), the government can lower the interest rates to strengthen private businesses financially. The opposite happens respectively. These tasks are done to make the symptoms of cyclic fluctuations less painful.

Government have agencies whose roles are tied to bringing solution to inflation in the economy system but they lack the implementation policy, such a way that we only know those offices saddled with the responsibility to exist without any significant impact felt on the economy.

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The deflationary spiral argument goes as following: Let's imagine an economy that only uses Bitcoin, solely, as currency. When the productivity rises, the price of goods and services decrease.

This is perfectly how an economy should be run. because going by this no one will feels hoarding any currency is the next available option, we tend to hoard because of fear of the future outcome. nothing can bring down productivity as long as law of return on labour is effective.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 7340
Farewell, Leo
March 24, 2022, 07:53:47 AM
#1
In modern economies, there's a central authority that decides the currency's inflation. If there's much unemployment (and specifically cyclical unemployment), the government can lower the interest rates to strengthen private businesses financially. The opposite happens respectively. These tasks are done to make the symptoms of cyclic fluctuations less painful.

The deflationary spiral argument goes as following: Let's imagine an economy that only uses Bitcoin, solely, as currency. When the productivity rises, the price of goods and services decreases. But, this has a negative effect: People are more encouraged to hoard their currency, than to let it circulate. This stagnates the economy as consumption drops. And when consumption drops, so does the production, because the profit decreases along with the demand.

There's a nice writeup in our wiki regarding this matter, but I can't understand the following conclusion:
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The key difference is that people don't foresee a fixed cost (unit amount) that they must pay with Bitcoin. If the value of the Bitcoins that they own increases, then any future cost will take a proportionally smaller amount of Bitcoins. There isn't any fixed incentive to holding Bitcoin other than speculation.

If the economy that uses Bitcoin grows, the per-unit value of Bitcoin proportionally increases also.

Everything is the opposite of the popular fractional reserve banking system (because Bitcoin isn't a debt but an asset). Bitcoins only deflate in value when the Bitcoin Economy is growing.

Because the Deflationary spiral is a real problem in the traditional monetary system, doesn't necessarily mean that it will also be a problem in the Bitcoin economy.

Bitcoins deflate in value when the Bitcoin economy is growing, but doesn't deflation often contribute to lower economic growth?
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