Not sure how many people noticed but the cost of sending BitCoin has dropped significantly of late. One of the biggest complaints about BitCoin vs altcoins is the speed in the cost. Lightning is supposed to solve the speed issue and it appears that the cost issue isn't so much of a problem these days.
The average cost was about $26 but now it's down to about $3.
Who the hell is still paying $3? For median-sized transactions (~226 bytes), I'm spending closer to $0.02!
In terms of BTC-denominated fees, this is the lowest fees have ever been outside the context of priority transactions. Here's a transaction, just confirmed,
that paid 0.71 sat/byte! BTC micropayments are back with a vengeance.
My question is what effect do you think this will have on altcoins? In my view, this makes BitCoin more attractive. And secondly, does anyone believe this is a long-term change (the drop in price) or is this merely temporary?
I think the drop in congestion is a combination of multiple factors: 1) the market dying down lead to less deposit/withdrawal activity on exchanges, 2) wallets are improving their fee estimation algorithms, 3) exchanges are batching transactions and implementing Segwit, 4) it's probable that a significant spam attack has ended.
The low fees (and down the road, a successful Lightning Network) should definitely take some luster away from altcoins that are focused on fast, cheap payments. I expect on-chain fees to rise again, so it's a good idea to consolidate ouputs now while fees are low.