Typically I stay out of the speculative nature on price. I will make point's normally from a pretty safe position, observe and report, scientific method style with BitsBeTrippin. Things like this piece of hardware, with these settings, here is the power, output in hash, and rate of return given X difficulty and spot price at the time. Just facts, people can independently verify. So stepping out of that and taking in the range of speculative price targets that the mass media, market watch, 'analyst' and insert_random_dude_calling_BTC price call, i cant help but to make a observation and come out of the shell a little to make a statement.
All of the fud, price targets and bs around Bitcoin right now is a
collective attempt to have the folks that missed out to get your coins at a cheaper price. People that's jobs are to find the next deal, make money with other people's money and understand wealth growth are not wanting to pay 19k, 15k, even 10k for your btc. They want to buy in as cheap as possible and are going to produce a news cycle manipulating every analyst they can to keep that price suppressed. It's what I would call financial physics .... apply enough pressure on the price spring and you compress any tension that is driving the spring back up.
Bitcoin has the Name, Branding, History, Utility (regardless of cost of transaction), Finality and right level of Finiteness (rarity) that will ultimately push it toward a true global store of value. No matter what any one individual, government, alt coin (features) say. Period. There are more than enough people in this world that hold Bitcoin as the proverbial Holy Grail and it continues the defacto standard through it all.
I would propose that in the coming weeks a few key points are going to occur:
- Additional regulation will be disclosed by both US and Europe, mainly centric around KYC requirements (will embolden the entire sector, onboarding additional capital, waiting for this event)
- Extensive price pressure on proverbial price spring will succumb and when it starts its climb up, its going to be rapid, bursting through ATH
- The fruit of the efforts over past 6 months (project progress over 3rd/4th quarter released at end of 1st qtr this year), which will show additional innovation in the space, driving more confidence
- Other big cash-liquid players will enter in the space officially, given a global competitor to Coinbase, You don't make that kind of money and not get competition. By 2nd Qtr Announce, 3rd Qtr operational
Bottom line, if you have BTC, if your selling, your giving someone nearly a 50% discount on your coins vs ATH. flip side, any fiat you put in now, your looking at a min. of a 50% gain vs. ATH.
**I am not a financial adviser / I am not an accredited trader ; That being said, I read the same analysis as all of you and have been in the space since 2011, mining, educating and attending the various industry events. Welcome counter points .. diverse perspectives are good.