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Topic: The Great Misconception (Read 2809 times)

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Capitalism is the crisis.
June 09, 2013, 04:34:04 AM
#27
People always seem to think that BTC is overvalued and that we are currently in the great bubble of 2013 with only one possible outcome... Down.

But allow me to warp your mind around:
There is no bubble, we are actually in a great depression, the depression of FIAT!
BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.

BTC has decreasing inflation, FIAT has increasing inflation!


in the 2012 i bought the last iphone for 700 dll, and this year i can buy the new iphone for the same usd amount.. so the bubble is on bitcoin, not in the fiat..



With same amount of bitcoins you can now buy $110/$5 -> 20 iphones
Techno Mr. Bojangles with that many iPhones.
Bitcoin is nextlevel better. We're shockingly lucky any amount of fiat can still part a bitcoin from its owner.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
June 08, 2013, 03:39:27 PM
#26
People always seem to think that BTC is overvalued and that we are currently in the great bubble of 2013 with only one possible outcome... Down.

But allow me to warp your mind around:
There is no bubble, we are actually in a great depression, the depression of FIAT!
BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.

BTC has decreasing inflation, FIAT has increasing inflation!


in the 2012 i bought the last iphone for 700 dll, and this year i can buy the new iphone for the same usd amount.. so the bubble is on bitcoin, not in the fiat..



With same amount of bitcoins you can now buy $110/$5 -> 20 iphones
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
June 08, 2013, 03:32:50 PM
#25
People always seem to think that BTC is overvalued and that we are currently in the great bubble of 2013 with only one possible outcome... Down.

But allow me to warp your mind around:
There is no bubble, we are actually in a great depression, the depression of FIAT!
BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.

BTC has decreasing inflation, FIAT has increasing inflation!


in the 2012 i bought the last iphone for 700 dll, and this year i can buy the new iphone for the same usd amount.. so the bubble is on bitcoin, not in the fiat..

legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
June 08, 2013, 03:17:18 PM
#24
Since the federal reserve was established 100 years ago, the US dollar has devalued by 98%


They call it 2% inflation. (1.02 ^ 100 = 7,25 => 86%/100 year )
expected: During 100 years $1 had to inflate into $0.14 (2% inflation)
reality: $1 inflated to $0.02-$0.04  (inflation is 3.5-7 times higher )
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
June 07, 2013, 06:39:55 AM
#23
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

Stocks, mortgages, and bonds.

Exactly, these are mostly bank's holdings. Print money to support the price of my own assets, is there any business better than that?

I agree.  And don't forget: If we make a really bad bet, we just have to make sure everybody goes down with us and then the government will bail us out.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
June 07, 2013, 06:32:49 AM
#22
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

Stocks, mortgages, and bonds.

Exactly, these are mostly bank's holdings. Print money to support the price of my own assets, is there any business better than that?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
June 07, 2013, 06:31:33 AM
#21
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

Stocks, mortgages, and bonds.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
June 07, 2013, 06:28:12 AM
#20
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
June 07, 2013, 06:20:46 AM
#19
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
June 07, 2013, 06:18:06 AM
#18
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
June 07, 2013, 06:15:04 AM
#17
That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot



when was dollar detached from backup by gold standard?


Nixon declared our default in 1971.  Prior to that, the peg was moved several times.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
June 07, 2013, 05:48:07 AM
#16
Funny thing is, I'm a European myself! I just in the habit of when talking about Bitcoin valuation I always use dollars :-).
ask
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1004
June 07, 2013, 12:36:38 AM
#15
I am reading those posts an can't believe that people are talking only about US $. There are also other currencies:

http://worldtop10.net/top-10-currencies-in-the-world/

Smiley
hero member
Activity: 886
Merit: 1013
June 06, 2013, 11:33:05 PM
#14
I don't care much about dollars, but experiencing massive inflation on my own currency is not very nice. :S

hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 501
June 06, 2013, 09:57:39 PM
#13
That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot



when was dollar detached from backup by gold standard?
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
June 06, 2013, 09:40:49 PM
#12
That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot

sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
June 06, 2013, 09:36:42 PM
#11
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1003
June 06, 2013, 09:31:44 PM
#10
That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
June 06, 2013, 01:35:44 PM
#9
Since the federal reserve was established 100 years ago, the US dollar has devalued by 98%
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
June 05, 2013, 09:59:10 AM
#8
...and BTC buys ~1700% more? Does not compute

It buys you 1700% more, but is it overvalued? Let's do a little math:

How much would BTC be worth if there were as many in existence as there are dollars?

Total USD around: 829000000000
Total BTC around: 11247000

829000000000 / 11247000 = 73709

BTC Price in USD: 120

Real BTC Price in USD: 120 / 73709 = 0.0016

Still overvalued? As long as that number is below 1, it's undervalued!

TL;DR: It's not a bubble, It's limited edition!

PS: How do you like my reality distortion field?
$908.6 billion in the M0 (only cache, there is 307,212,123 Americans alive. If you took all the cash and divided it up equally, each person should have about $3,000 in cash)

M1 represents all of the currency in the M0 money supply, plus all of the money held in checking accounts and other checkable accounts, as well as all of the money in travelers' checks. In July 2009, the M1 money supply for U.S. dollars equaled about $1,655.6 billion

All told, anyone looking for all of the U.S. dollars in the world in July 2009 could expect to find around $8.3 trillion in existence.

$8T / 21M = $380k/btc :-)
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