newest chart... nothing much has changed. I expect us to roll over and eventually correct to a level of $1500 on BTC or lower. I included a chart of the nasdaq in the image for comparison. I have liquidated holdings and moved them to Gemini for now, since Gemini has generous deposit/withdraw limits in case I want to move funds back to poloniex. Sold everything except in Xtrabytes, PascalCoin, Ark, and some NEM. The bubble burst at the point where the green arrow is. What we have now is the dead cat bounce. It will take some months to shake out the weak hands, bleed out the excesses, and establish a nice base before we move again. It could take a couple of years..... the quicker we fall back down the faster we can get rid of the consolidation phase and establish a base, and the more profit that can be made for swing traders if we overshoot and dive down to say $750-1000 BTC.
It's worth noting the nasdaq pop back in 2000 was partly fueled by margin traders getting margin calls and being forced to sell. I'm not sure how much margin interest is in this current market... only the exchanges would know that. The market depth on most coins on poloniex is quite bearish looking.. there's huge amounts of coin for sale with relatively little buyers. Eventually panic selling will occur where people trip over each other to try to find buyers... it's a game of musical chairs you know. It doesn't mean the tech is bad.. crypto is GREAT.. I LOVE IT! The possibilities with blockchain tech are endless.
I want this plunge to occur.. but of course I would say that being 85% cash right now. If we base for a couple of years like we did after the 2013 bubble, it means being able to pick up cheap coin.. and the next bubble if it occurs in say 2018 or 2019, the market cap will make it up to $250 Billion to $500 billion. The potential for people to become super rich is there if we let the free market do what the free market will. Enjoy the ride! In the meantime we can use the next couple of years to further enhance the blockchain technology and work on scalability, not just for the blockchain but for the exchanges now that we are dealing with serious money in a serious market... expect more integration between crypto and fiat such as coinbase is planning with fidelity. I'm looking forward to Pascalcoin and Xtrabytes in particular. Also HEAT has potential if they keep working at it. Lots of good projects out there now. I don't expect us to base much below about $40 Billion.. that's the number I'm shooting for.. if we go lower I'll buy hand over fist. If Pascal drops to $5M or less I'm going to invest pretty heavily. Well onto the chart.....