For those who don't like Bitcoin, don't get excited about this situation just yet. I just want to say that the world is not doing well.\
The world is always not in a good condition. The economic situation will be worse if the recession really happens.
People who don't like Bitcoin, don't know the potential of Bitcoin to deal with the worse scenario of the world economic crisis.
Several institutions also warned about the impending recession such as Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan who predicted the US would fall into a recession in the next 6-9 months or in 2023. The spike in inflation is also due to the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war as well as the trend of rising interest rates which will trigger inflation on a large scale. Of course, this will have a serious impact on global economic stability.
According to economic theory, this recession or crisis occurs because global conditions are devastated by epidemics and great wars and these conditions cannot be avoided, then the condition will get worse if there is stagflation.
Recession and inflation will lead to
stagflation, namely recession conditions that occur simultaneously with high inflation rates. This high inflation means the amount of money in circulation is getting higher.
So the impact on crypto, if there is a recession and stagflation then high selling pressure will occur, because investors will move their funds to Fiat in order to accommodate the possibility of worsening purchasing power.
In this condition, in general, the fiat value will also move up, especially the US Dollar which became the main medium of exchange in the world after the second world war.
Seeing the negative correlation or relationship between the US Dollar and crypto, it becomes natural when the crypto crisis moves down.
It is worth mentioning that a crypto correction will occur as governments and central banks begin to respond to the crisis. But if it's just heading or there is a crisis, then crypto will move up.
This condition is clearly seen in 2022 and 2020 where in 2022 the government and central bank begin to try to restore the economy but in 2020 a new crisis occurs due to a pandemic.
and the conclusion is that when it comes to a recession the crypto market will start to rise but when the recession recovery efforts start to occur, then crypto will move down.
Source:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_recessionhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation