Narrowed down to four options:
(1) Chinese Miners, attempting to get the fee/zero limits rasied.
(2) Chinese LTC Pumpers, attempting to get Bitcoin users to transfer to LTC.
(3) OKCoin Exchange, attempting manipulation to prevent their bankruptcy.
(4) All the above working together in some form or another.
Anyone thinking this is a bank or billionaires doing this for shits is on the wrong path.
This was purposefully done, to facilitate some sort of manipulated realized gain.
I think 1 is unlikely because miners already can decide what transactions they want to include. They can even create empty blocks or accept only transactions with a minimum fee of 0.1 Bitcoin, when they want. And since china has the biggest miners, they likely could sit together and work out a plan. Then only accept high fee transactions. All other transactions would wait considerably longer then. At the end the fees most probably would rise.
If miners all raise their fees, without outside influence on the network (the spam attack), then it would be seen as corrupt/bad by the community.
The spam attack gives the miners a reason to raise fee much earlier in advance of block rewards lowering.
Miners fees went up 2000% at minimum during backlog.
What you outlined above is exactly what happened. So why do you think it is unlikely?
In another thread i read that the attack already cost $50k now. The additional fee coming from raising the fees would need a long time to reach that. Especially since only a couple or only a single minercorporation might be behind it.
It would be simpler to simply raise the minimum fee. Since china has the majority of the hashpower it would delay transactions and it would consequently lead to higher fees, without costs. It would look natural.
I dont see that, litecoin price dropped, shortly later bitcoin too. Doesnt look correlated to me.
Your observation should be viewed earlier in the timeline. The recent attack started July 7, 2015. LTC pump started from there.
Due to network problems, some users decided to "invest" into LTC to diversify their holdings, before the price dropped.
One of the reasons LTC rose was because BTC users did so and did so since old LTC Dev (now at coinbase) stated that LTC has spam protections and faster confirms.
People trading altcoins know what I'm talking about.
If thats true then i will keep an eye on the next spam attack.
Might be able to make some bucks on litecoin then.
3? OKCoin is bankrupt? Guess i missed some news. And i dont see how spamming could help. Exchanges surely use high enough Transaction fees.
They are on verge potentially. Fractional reserve trading has cost them greatly.
They also trade LTC, just FYI.
Yes, they had a problem some time ago but the fractional reserve was a solution they suggested. When this reserve isnt enough then they would simply screw traders again.
Though you might be right... exchanges might have really other ways to "make" money.