we have witnessed the movement of BTC from $24,000 to bout $36,000 which can be attributed to the Bitcoin ETF narrative.
I think we could ve completely wrong if all we could do is to assume every attempts on bitcoin bull market to be associated with bitcoin ETF, am not saying that it can't happen or be the cause, but not on every occassions that we have a pump in market has to be associated with the spot bitcoi ETF, the news as at that time took the price from $24,0000 to $34,000 and what more could be said on how we arrived at $37,000.
And maybe it's how the market works, last year, lowest low of $15,500 and then we have bounce back from this year. And so as pre-halving price, we might see close to $50k or even higher. And then we have this noise behind that could also be one of the factor why we are in the bull market market already.
Just imagine what it can really bring if the timely approval is right or before the actual halving, going to be a huge influx of institutional money and we could witness a big bull run in 2024-2025 and it could lead the price to a new all time high of 6 digits at least.
It's possible that the institution money is already in. It's also possible that we are not just going "straight up".
Everyone is very optimistic at the moment...when everyone is past "oh wow, it's growing, should I buy?" and at the stage of "yes it should keep going up" then I get skeptical.
I fully believe in the post-halving effects, and I believe that once the excess holders (US holding silkroad, Mtgox repayments) are also removed from the public market (if OTC haven't already removed them), then we will see growth. Between now and then, I feel something will be coming to haunt leveraged traders and also those who are inexperienced, too optimistic, and who can be easily shaken out.
I would doubt if the Institutional money is in Bitcoin yet, it will only start if and when the Spot ETF's
are approved, which means the SEC approves the relevant institutions to offer a Bitcoin Spot ETF,
which in turn means that when their clients decide they want to buy into the ETF the institution has
to actually but Bitcoin to cover the clients request. None of this has happened yet [officially]
By officially I mean that "maybe" some of the institutions are buying already
?
Generally everyone is optimistic ATM if not only for the halving but also for an ETF approval and if both
land together in the same year [2024] it will indeed be a bombshell.