Next has a decent step long time now, but it's price is been stuck for a while now, and by while I mean years , good for community bad for profit tho
Traders will take advantage of the rise cause by the ones who want to get Ardor which is mostly from the NXT community. Using the NXT price as barometer we can see that not much outside traders got in yet. This will change when the release of Ardor gets closer.
Exactly. The more closer the release of Ardor is, I think that the more the price will rise but all will fall eventually as the hype passes by. Maybe that's the reason NXT is worth nearly $0.03 today (when it used to be worth $0.01 USD and sometimes even less) and I can't imagine how far will it go during the next days.
As for ETH and ETC, it seems that ETH's price is declining while ETC continues to rise. It can probably mean that ETC will take the lead and become the second largest crypto currency on the market.
What is the thinking behind that opinion? I completely disagree. You see there's no advantage to buy NXT in order to get Ardor since you get the AVERAGE of the snapshot period, NOT the amount you have on the final day or days, so actually you will find yourself buying in October and collecting less than 10-15% of what you hold through the snapshot period. The ONLY interest in buying NXT from here on, will be the speculation of the price that would be assigned to the first "child chain", since at least 50% (don't expect more, you'd be disappointed), will be given, as well as the ARDOR to the holders of NXT NOT at the end of the snapshot period, but for their AVERAGE during the entire snapshot period. I hope you get a clear hold of how this is going to work because otherwise you will be severely disappointed.
I don't know how many people is going to dump NXT before October 12. I fully expect at least 50 million NXT to be dumped between now and then, but the figure could be lower since there's still plenty of time to buy and get a nice amount of ARDOR, so many people -less and less every day though, to be expected- is still buying/accumulating... unfortunately, I agree with the opinion that most from inside the NXT community. Outside the community, not many are buying into the merits of this scheme which was obviously very smartly planned to be able to get a lot of money selling a lot of NXT and that worked wonders by tripling or quadrupling the price overnight.
I have posted my opinion that the price could continue going up and I fully expect it to go close to the double digit, but that's just pure (more or less educated) speculation. I am quite impressed by the resources of the NXT community that are an economy system on it own and therefore capable of making a very big success of Ardor while Next 1.0 becomes obsolete, support or no support. I believe also the value of the first "child chain" will be very low and that, eventually, Ardor will get to the mid 2Ks and both Next 1.0 and whatever participation is distributed of the first "child chain", will both be quite insignificant. I also believe a significant dumping will happen between mid September and October 12th... or starting even earlier than that. Just my opinion. What do I know, right?