Today is 365 days since the last ATH - page 3.

Kemarit

legendary

Activity: 3080

Merit: 1353

Quote from: BTCGOLD on December 17, 2018, 11:15:39 AM

Is a year of time enough for the bear market? Or, will the price drops by the next couple of months?
Personally, I think that this is not the end of the bear market, and we will have to wait until 2020 for the bull run.

The last bear season lasted for 2 years, so we really can't tell if we're on the tail end of it or if the bear is still not exhausted at this time. But remember a bull run needs a catalyst, we haven't seen or heard anything that will make the investors pour their money on the market again. But its better to see the market going into another accumulation period just like the $6000-$6500 pattern past months ago and when the needed catalyst comes along and pushed the market again then we can say that bear season is over.

Sacrib

newbie

Activity: 42

Merit: 0

Quote from: kelz1 on December 17, 2018, 03:04:48 PM

It was a long way down but i'm actually glad it happened. Missed a lot of boats and now i can jump in while it has bottomed out. I'm certain it will rise again so gonna stock up on all the good ones and avoid the shitcoins i ended up with last time!

I think lot of us are in the same situation but yes if we'll be patient this could be a good start

kelz1

copper member

Activity: 140

Merit: 3

It was a long way down but i'm actually glad it happened. Missed a lot of boats and now i can jump in while it has bottomed out. I'm certain it will rise again so gonna stock up on all the good ones and avoid the shitcoins i ended up with last time!

exstasie

legendary

Activity: 1806

Merit: 1521

Quote from: hugeblack on December 17, 2018, 12:28:38 PM

What is the fair price that you think means returning to normal levels "end of the bear market & start the bull run"?

There are a couple paths that come to mind. The main characteristic of both is a break above the $6,000 resistance area followed later by a retest (and holding) of the $6,000 area as support.

That's the "safe" buy....waiting for long term resistance to become support.

gentlemand

legendary

Activity: 2590

Merit: 3015

Welt Am Draht

Quote from: BTCGOLD on December 17, 2018, 12:49:11 PM

I am talking about determining more or less the moment in which the given stage changes.

It's never clear until it's firmly in the rear view mirror which is why so many people miss it and finish up bitter and broken.

All anyone can say is that 80% down is a better deal than 50% down if you believe it'll go back up again.

2-3 months isn't enough time to be certain about anything. The $6-6500 range stuck around long enough for people to get comfortable and then it absolutely shat straight through it.

BTCGOLD

sr. member

Activity: 958

Merit: 256

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Quote from: hugeblack on December 17, 2018, 12:28:38 PM

What is the fair price that you think means returning to normal levels "end of the bear market & start the bull run"?
I believe that what happened after November 15 until today is manipulation and panic, it can not last long and the price will return to $ 6,000 again.
The Oud trip will not take much time "less than 3 months" after which the price may stabilize, as the levels of $ 7000 and $ 8000 need a lot of momentum *missing from the market.*

Evening glow, the future is still promising "price rose $ 200 a few hours ago Tongue

"

I did not mean specific prices. I am talking about determining more or less the moment in which the given stage changes. So that the bear market may end soon, but to find out we need 2-3 months. The next stage is stagnation and then in a few months the next bull run.

hugeblack

legendary

Activity: 2702

Merit: 4002

What is the fair price that you think means returning to normal levels "end of the bear market & start the bull run"?
I believe that what happened after November 15 until today is manipulation and panic, it can not last long and the price will return to $ 6,000 again.
The Oud trip will not take much time "less than 3 months" after which the price may stabilize, as the levels of $ 7000 and $ 8000 need a lot of momentum *missing from the market.*

Evening glow, the future is still promising "price rose $ 200 a few hours ago Tongue

"

BTCGOLD

sr. member

Activity: 958

Merit: 256

Betking.io - Best Bitcoin Casino

Quote from: gentlemand on December 17, 2018, 11:26:21 AM

People always seem to forget the bit between the end of the bear market and the start of any bullishness. That may well be the longest most dispiriting period. And that's when most people give up or businesses go bust as interest dwindles massively.

The downward slope is always filled with delusion and hope. We've had a million bottoms called which means people were still paying close attention. Once they drift away it'll mean the cycle is complete and then it's no man's land until it picks up again

I think that to be able to say that this is the end of the cycle, is needed a month or two. Then will start period of "no man's land" that can last until 2020. This is just my opinion, and I write it here to remind myself of it after another 365 days. Wink

Febo

legendary

Activity: 2730

Merit: 1288

Quote from: BTCGOLD on December 17, 2018, 11:15:39 AM

Is a year of time enough for the bear market? Or, will the price drops by the next couple of months?
Personally, I think that this is not the end of the bear market, and we will have to wait until 2020 for the bull run.

Bull market dont start as soon as bear market ends. We are close to the end of bear market. But as you already found out we are still far from the bull market. It could happen only in 2020 or in second half of 2019. Impossible for it to happen before that. No matter when and what will happen, the 2019 will be a year of stability.

gentlemand

legendary

Activity: 2590

Merit: 3015

Welt Am Draht

People always seem to forget the bit between the end of the bear market and the start of any bullishness. That may well be the longest most dispiriting period. And that's when most people give up or businesses go bust as interest dwindles massively.

The downward slope is always filled with delusion and hope. We've had a million bottoms called which means people were still paying close attention. Once they drift away it'll mean the cycle is complete and then it's no man's land until it picks up again

BTCGOLD

sr. member

Activity: 958

Merit: 256

Betking.io - Best Bitcoin Casino

Is a year of time enough for the bear market? Or, will the price drops by the next couple of months?
Personally, I think that this is not the end of the bear market, and we will have to wait until 2020 for the bull run.

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