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Topic: Trading Oil for BTC? - page 2. (Read 1840 times)

sr. member
Activity: 751
Merit: 251
January 09, 2015, 10:07:12 AM
#9
You all are right this does not prove anything.  correlation between these two prior to Feb 2014 was non existant.  now for 12 months they look tied to each other.  the chances of that happening randomly "seems" low. 

If the same correlation holds true to btc/gold, btc/steel  btc/copper  btc/OJ  btc/pork bellies then I would say there is nothing to the correlation.  Anyone want to do that research?
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
The blockchain is the future
January 09, 2015, 09:23:34 AM
#8
No its just that both of them are falling at the same pace since they are both the same volatility as commodities. This means that they are falling the same % against USD therefore being stable with each other price % ratio wise.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 09:20:59 AM
#7
i never knew you could buy oil with bitcoin hehe
sr. member
Activity: 312
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 08:01:32 AM
#6
I'm in the "there's no evidence for this" camp. And logically, I just don't see a basis for it in reality. What is bitcoin's market cap again? Like $5 billion? LOL.... Grin
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 07:37:44 AM
#5
the only relationship is they both are making me lose money lol  Cry

There is a website called dubious correlations, I think this belongs there.
I don't see global oil production or usage bring linked to the bitcoin price at all!

This forum is full of irrelevant correlations. 
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1003
January 09, 2015, 04:52:05 AM
#4
There is a website called dubious correlations, I think this belongs there.
I don't see global oil production or usage bring linked to the bitcoin price at all!
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1004
January 09, 2015, 02:14:51 AM
#3
It is really fresh idea about the correlation between oil and bitcoin. It needs more wide time span to verify your theory.
sr. member
Activity: 751
Merit: 251
January 08, 2015, 10:56:08 PM
#2
Or maybe I am over analyzing it.  Oil is a value of energy, it takes energy to generate bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 751
Merit: 251
January 08, 2015, 10:49:51 PM
#1
I had an observation I wanted to share.  notice the drop of USD/BTC and the drop USD/Barrel of Oil.

I did a very crude analysis using monthly average prices  USD/ Barrel; USD/BTC then calculated the BTC/Barrel.  Recently It looks like oil is backing the value of BTC.  Even though the $$/Barrel is dropping, the buying power of BTC is constant when purchasing oil.  It sure seems like a coincidence but someone told me things never happen by coincidence. That is almost 12 months the value BTC/Barrel has remained fairly constant.  Looks like it started around February 2013  (before then BTC/Barrel is OFF the chart)

Maybe China is buying Oil from Iran with BTC??  Or maybe someone in the USA is doing that and importing the oil from a different port??  


[edit: the dates on the chart were originally messed up]

Here is the data, some of the last months usd/btc average price was a quick estimate,

Date   USD/Barrel   USD/BTC   BTC/Barrel
August 2013   108.16   105.80   1.02
Sept. 30, 2013    108.76   124.33   0.87
October 2013   105.43   156.50   0.67
November 2013   102.63   517.00   0.20
December 2013   105.48   799.00   0.13
January 2014   102.10   818.00   0.12
February 2014   104.83   659.00   0.16
March 2014   104.04   594.00   0.18
April 2014   104.87   461.00   0.23
May 2014   105.71   486.00   0.22
June 2014   108.37   615.00   0.18
July 2014   105.23   615.00   0.17
August 2014   100.05   535.00   0.19
Sept. 30, 2014    95.85   375.00   0.26
October 2014   86.08   345.00   0.25
November 2014   76.99   375.00   0.21
December 2014   60.70   290.00   0.21
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