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Topic: Turkey’s economic crisis can trigger the next crypto bull run - page 4. (Read 810 times)

legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1293
There is trouble abrewing
what i think is that for the past couple of years we have had multiple cases of economical crisis in different countries, small and medium size countries. and each time i have heard at least a couple speculations like this saying it will lead to a bull run because people are going to buy bitcoin!
well to those people i have to say you have never experienced an economical crisis like that! during times like that people aren't looking for a high risk, high volatility asset. they look for a lower risk and lower volatility like gold. not to mention most of them don't even know bitcoin.

however these cases always leads people towards bitcoin as they see the performance and security of it as a currency and store of value. but it is not enough to create a bull run.
also it is worth mentioning that speculation is a different beast! for instance i believe it was Cyprus that had some problems and enough people believed it will lead to a bitcoin rise that they started buying themselves and made the price go up. it wasn't a big deal but it was something.
newbie
Activity: 26
Merit: 0
It's either boost the bitcoin price or drop it again,and you are right dude turkey is a develop and good economic country but they are not enough to take big effect on crypto industry..if maybe if China or japan since this this giant countries has a large effect on the crypto community and crypto market if having economic crisis

The article is using the fact that some banks aren't letting people buy foreign currencies as a basis for Bitcoin's growth but the far more likely scenario is the rise of a foreign currency black market like Venezuela's.

Or maybe stablecoins?
hero member
Activity: 1834
Merit: 759
It's either boost the bitcoin price or drop it again,and you are right dude turkey is a develop and good economic country but they are not enough to take big effect on crypto industry..if maybe if China or japan since this this giant countries has a large effect on the crypto community and crypto market if having economic crisis

I'd say they're big enough for their presence in the market to be felt, their citizens simply don't show enough interest. It's true that their trading volumes have been spiking but they've been small to begin with so the resulting numbers would still be small.

The article is using the fact that some banks aren't letting people buy foreign currencies as a basis for Bitcoin's growth but the far more likely scenario is the rise of a foreign currency black market like Venezuela's.

Edit: words
hero member
Activity: 2744
Merit: 541
Campaign Management?"Hhampuz" is the Man
So far there is no clear example of Bitcoin growing as the result of some economic disaster. People expect that Bitcoin will be used as a hedge, but they forget that Bitcoin is highly volatile and immature, so those who want to preserve their money are more likely to use safer options like gold or foreign currency. Turkey's economy is also too small to have significant effect on Bitcoin, if we had a crisis in EU or the US, that would be more likely to boost Bitcoin's price, but I doubt it would be enough to trigger a true bull run.

It's either boost the bitcoin price or drop it again,and you are right dude turkey is a develop and good economic country but they are not enough to take big effect on crypto industry..if maybe if China or japan since this this giant countries has a large effect on the crypto community and crypto market if having economic crisis
newbie
Activity: 42
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I don't totally agree with this. How can economic crisis in Turkey spike the Bitcoin price? It is not realistic enough.
drm
legendary
Activity: 1176
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So far there is no clear example of Bitcoin growing as the result of some economic disaster.

i was about to say..... this OP reminds me of the hype around the 2013 cyprus financial crisis. people kept hyping it for months even though there was no evidence that it was increasing demand for BTC.


In some cases all you need is hype to move the price, having said that I don't think Turkey's economy will cause a bull run.
sr. member
Activity: 616
Merit: 279
I'm not sure the bull run is likely to happen.

The previous price hikes were mainly determined by larger economies like Japan & South Korea where the purchasing power is way higher than what it is in Turkey.

On the other hand, I remember visiting the Bazar and seeing a shop where you could buy crypto currencies so, the Turkish people may be more familiar with crypto currencies than some would expect.

full member
Activity: 434
Merit: 108
Judging by the experience of Venezuela, it is possible the demand for bitcoin will increase, but again it was in Venezuela, and how will it be in Turkey?Huh This is a question, but I can assume the demand and price can grow for bitcoin
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
So far there is no clear example of Bitcoin growing as the result of some economic disaster.

i was about to say..... this OP reminds me of the hype around the 2013 cyprus financial crisis. people kept hyping it for months even though there was no evidence that it was increasing demand for BTC.

if we had a crisis in EU or the US, that would be more likely to boost Bitcoin's price, but I doubt it would be enough to trigger a true bull run.

some people believe that a major/global economic crisis would somehow be good for BTC (perhaps because it would expose the weaknesses of other assets). but IMO, it really depends how risky BTC is perceived to be---as you pointed out, it definitely hasn't achieved "safe haven" status. in times of crisis, i would expect money to flow into historically stable and hard assets.

As being Turkish citizen I am not buying more crypto assets. Especially I prefer to keep my fiat in € and $ currencies instead of crypto money for risk diversification.

that illustrates the point nicely. Cheesy
newbie
Activity: 5
Merit: 0
Time will tell but I generally agree with the sentiments above. I doubt the Turks are going to use another volatile asset to run from a volatile asset. With that said economic crises in less developed economies doesn't represent how the market would react to a crisis coming from a more developed nation. Statistically the United States should face a healthy recession at some point in the next 1-4 years, if it doesn't that would be very weird. Assuming that happens we'll get our first real take on how crypto responds to economic crisis since the last crisis happened before bitcoin existed.
hero member
Activity: 1330
Merit: 569

The article rightly made some reasonable arguments to tend towards the keep of wealth in crypto currency but its not a cast and stone event that because Lira is witnessing some challenges the people in Turkey would by default switch into crypto currency. This is by no small means far from reality based on the following

1. The article made mention of retirees keeping their money in gold or USD anytime there is an economic crisis in Turkey but the main reasons why they do that is because they are sure of stability and value which we all know is lacking in crypto at the moment and reason why they didn't keep it in AUD, Cedis, Naira, Franc and other foreign currencies.

2. The people who keep fund in other sources they are sure of value are the old people. Now what argument would make a huge portion of them leave the source that have given them results over the periods they witnessed economic crisis to a new source that they are not sure of. Youths are the ones who would likely invest in crypto but for them, they live everyday as it comes because there is enough years ahead to save.
hero member
Activity: 2646
Merit: 686
Hi;

As being Turkish citizen I am not buying more crypto assets. Especially I prefer to keep my fiat in € and $ currencies instead of crypto money for risk diversification. I don't think this current situation going to be trig another bull run but this crisis going to be deeper for sure.

Kind regards

I do not think personally that this situation shall fire up a bull run, my reasoning is based on the fact that the Turks won't jump into a volatile instrument while trying to escape one. I don't think there's been any upward movement since the news broke out. This type of crisis is common and often happens where there is over printing of the currency, also it's pertinent to note the Turks are buying their fiat more or migrating to usd, there's no unusual demand seen from the Turkish nation, so it's fair to say we won't see a bull run based on this crisis.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 541
Hi;

As being Turkish citizen I am not buying more crypto assets. Especially I prefer to keep my fiat in € and $ currencies instead of crypto money for risk diversification. I don't think this current situation going to be trig another bull run but this crisis going to be deeper for sure.

Kind regards
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 2148
People expect that Bitcoin will be used as a hedge, but they forget that Bitcoin is highly volatile and immature, so those who want to preserve their money are more likely to use safer options like gold or foreign currency.
Turkish Lira at the moment, appears to be more volatile than Bitcoin, which is ridiculous. But agreed, gold and foreign currencies are better ways to store wealth.

Different people have different needs, and all wealth-storing methods have their pros and cons.

If we compare the long term value, gold and foreign currencies are likely to be stable or change their price by only a few percents in a year. Bitcoin can and most likely will go up and down by a lot, so it's more of an investment than store of value. Some people simply can't afford to risk or wait for a bear market to pass.

However, Bitcoin can be more secure to store if done properly, because the government can seize your gold/cash/bank account easily.
legendary
Activity: 3458
Merit: 6948
Top Crypto Casino
People expect that Bitcoin will be used as a hedge, but they forget that Bitcoin is highly volatile and immature, so those who want to preserve their money are more likely to use safer options like gold or foreign currency.
People who think bitcoin is some sort of hedge against either inflation or volatility are insane.  You might as well just wipe your ass with $100 bills and flush them down the commode if you think that.

At this point I don't even think metals are all that good for hedging, since there are plenty of people who bought gold & silver in the past few years who are still underwater with their investment.  On the other hand, metals have been less volatile than crypto and would protect you against a hyperinflation-type situation.  Then again, I think if hyperinflation ever came around my local economy, anything I owned other than cash would look like a great hedge in comparison.

Turkey's economic crisis, like venezuela's, might be traced back to overprinting of fiat currency.
That's what worries me about the situation in the US.  There hasn't been a lot of inflation in the past few years, but I suspect it's coming.  The Treasury's printing presses must be smoking hot with all the new money they've been printing (and yes, I realize that money hasn't mostly been in the form of FRNs).  It feels very much like waiting for the shoe to drop.
newbie
Activity: 26
Merit: 0
People expect that Bitcoin will be used as a hedge, but they forget that Bitcoin is highly volatile and immature, so those who want to preserve their money are more likely to use safer options like gold or foreign currency.
Turkish Lira at the moment, appears to be more volatile than Bitcoin, which is ridiculous. But agreed, gold and foreign currencies are better ways to store wealth.
jr. member
Activity: 658
Merit: 1
You are wrong because the next world financial crisis cannot depend on so small economics like Turkish one. I know that mass media and some analysts have the similar ideas but this submission is wrong because Turkish economics is very small to have an effect on the world economy. I think that real reasons of the future crisis are laid much deeper. The world economy is overheated. Money is very cheap for loans and the stock markets are on the peaks (DOW, NASDAQ). Everything is ready for the strong correction or even the crash. The ideas of the future crisis are spreading now among various layers of people faster and faster therefore I think that the world financial crisis will happen soon but it will be initiated by either US or China but not Turkey
newbie
Activity: 182
Merit: 0
I do not think this can happen not only in Turkey but also in many other countries. Economic turmoil is our unpredictable problem, Turkey will have a speedy resolution of this and I think it will not affect the cryptographic market. Hopefully their economy will be more stable and towards a stronger cryptographic market in the future.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1179
But I agree that probably over 99% of Turkish citizens don't buy crypto, and that is because over 99% of citizens of any country don't invest in cryptocurrencies. So, no, Turkey’s economic crisis will not trigger the next crypto bull run, neither any other country's economic crisis can do that.
I know quite some Turkish people and they have shown very little interest in crypto, despite the fact that it has gained a significant amount of media hype in the last couple of weeks.

From what they told me, they hold the majority of their wealth in EUR and use it to buy up the Liras from their family in Turkey, all to reduce the pressure on them with how the Lira keeps losing value due to the bad situation.

Converting Lira to whatever currency or asset as Turkish citizen within Turkey is heavily frowned upon. The only way for them to do so without being called an enemy of the state, is to have their family buy up their Liras.

Pretty sad situation.
jr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 1
In this year, 2018, they speculated with many news that relate to the economy of some countries. Perhaps the crisis in Turkey, someone will be able to use and release news that can provoke a small leap.
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