HR, Im curious if you or anyone else sees a 'melt-up' towards the next BTC fork where everyone dumps alts and buys BTC until the deadline then jumps back into alts later.
I'm not betting on it, but that's what I said last time and I missed out.
Judging by what we're seeing right now, it looks like a lot of folks are jumping on that trade though. Again, it looks too obvious, but that's what I said last time. I'm sticking with my strategy, which I think will pay off long term - last thing I want to do is get sucked into getting turned upside down and getting my head handed to me.
Yeah, looks like those active in altcoins are in for a rough ride in the coming weeks. I re-entered the cryptomarket myself a week ago (although on a much, much smaller scale compared to you) and am already down 15% or so. Chances are your next graph is going to show some sort of 'nosedive' ... However, alts are probably going to recover after the hardfork.
Are you planning to buy a portion of BTC after the hardfork? I can imagine it can make your portfolio less prone to fluctuations in the altcoin-market. I'm too chicken myself to dive entirely into alts again tbh.
Not too much of a nosedive since everything's valued in BTC - the rise in BTC cancels out a good part of the decline in Alts, so the end result USD change is not all that negative considering the wholesale selling going on. Here's a special update with what the portfolio looks like in real-time (10 minutes ago).
https://i.imgur.com/XhWhkGr.jpgHere's another way of looking at LTC in USDT terms on Poloniex, for example:
https://poloniex.com/exchange#usdt_ltcThat's a lot different looking than the LTC-BTC chart:
https://poloniex.com/exchange#btc_ltcThe real problem begins when BTC reverses lower. If the main thing powering BTC is Altcoin proceeds right now, and that's not good news for BTC. If Alts continue lower in combination with a decline in BTC, then we'll have to start talking about something a lot more serious. In any event, I will hold.
@hous26, Yes I'm watching ARK too, but, like you, I'm in no hurry, and I'll be looking to rebalance BTS and ADA first.
This is not any fun at all, but it's part of the "game". That's why we only invest what we can afford to lose. Got to be able to ride out the storm.