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Topic: twitch.tv/stayeduptolate talking sports / sports betting Picks +12.12 BTC - page 246. (Read 313107 times)

newbie
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What exactly are you betting on? Over 3 @ 2.46?
hero member
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thisisgil: What do you think about this one for tomorrow?



That looks like a good bet, taking the form into account.

Mariehamn's last 5 matches have averaged 3 goals every game
Helsinki's last 5 matches have averaged 3.2 goals every game

This would seem to indicate to me that you're going to get more than 2 goals each over the 90 minutes (which is realistically the only way you can really lose here - you'd push on the under bet, and lose the over). Both teams are capable of scoring but also have weak defences which makes the over 3 a pretty likely result. Either way, I'd be surprised if the scoreline ended up totalling 2. I'm going to throw something on it now before the odds reduce Smiley

ya that looks real solid!
full member
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thisisgil: What do you think about this one for tomorrow?



That looks like a good bet, taking the form into account.

Mariehamn's last 5 matches have averaged 3 goals every game
Helsinki's last 5 matches have averaged 3.2 goals every game

This would seem to indicate to me that you're going to get more than 2 goals each over the 90 minutes (which is realistically the only way you can really lose here - you'd push on the under bet, and lose the over). Both teams are capable of scoring but also have weak defences which makes the over 3 a pretty likely result. Either way, I'd be surprised if the scoreline ended up totalling 2. I'm going to throw something on it now before the odds reduce Smiley
member
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thisisgil: What do you think about this one for tomorrow?

full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 100
Interesting tennis bet for tomorrow. I appreciate that Murray is now one of, if not the favourite for Wimbledon but so far this has been a fairly extraordinary tournament. I also feel that in a competition with only two outcomes, the odds on the Robredo ML make this an attractive, if unlikely prospect.

full member
Activity: 173
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Here's some more. Not quite arbs, but pretty close IMHO.



Swansea vs Man Utd looks a particularly good one to me Smiley
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that looks like an arb bet Smiley its a win win!

You'd potentially loose a little bit on 2 goals, because you'd have your stake from the under returned, but lose your over stake so you'd be down one unit overall.

So it's not entirely risk-free but it's pretty darn close.

I've found a couple more that are similar, and I'm going to post them up in a moment. Good luck all, and if you find these useful and want to throw down a little tip to 1C69ZZ3anoFXuYKDtPV4Z8hdHzvwusp3pv it would go a long way to covering my washout day of tennis losses Smiley
member
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Same thing with a couple others on the site as well...TPS Turku vs KuPS and IFK Mariehamm vs HJK Helsinki
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
I think I've just found a potentially interesting bet over at bitbook.



Bet an equal amount on both of those outcomes:

Under 2 goals, you get an effective return of 1.82
Over 3 goals, you get an effective return of 1.60
2 goals, you get a push and minimise your unit loss.

that looks like an arb bet Smiley its a win win!
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 100
I think I've just found a potentially interesting bet over at bitbook.



Bet an equal amount on both of those outcomes:

Under 2 goals, you get an effective return of 1.82
Over 3 goals, you get an effective return of 1.60
2 goals, you get a push and minimise your unit loss.
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
2 picks for 6/26/2013

Baseball    New York Yankees
Texas Rangers    Texas Rangers ML    2 hours from now    2.16 / +116    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0116

Baseball    Chicago White Sox
New York Mets    Chicago White Sox ML    3 hours from now    1.76 / -131.6    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0076

I hope you are right about the Rangers, but the Yankees sure do seem to have their number lately.  Apparently we pissed them Yankees off in that ALCS a few years back...

ya no kidding lol!
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
2 picks for 6/26/2013

Baseball    New York Yankees
Texas Rangers    Texas Rangers ML    2 hours from now    2.16 / +116    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0116

Baseball    Chicago White Sox
New York Mets    Chicago White Sox ML    3 hours from now    1.76 / -131.6    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0076

I hope you are right about the Rangers, but the Yankees sure do seem to have their number lately.  Apparently we pissed them Yankees off in that ALCS a few years back...
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
2 picks for 6/26/2013

Baseball    New York Yankees
Texas Rangers    Texas Rangers ML    2 hours from now    2.16 / +116    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0116

Baseball    Chicago White Sox
New York Mets    Chicago White Sox ML    3 hours from now    1.76 / -131.6    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0076
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
I ended up adding SF

Baseball    Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants    San Francisco Giants ML    2 hours from now    2.13 / +113    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0113
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
also add phoenix mercury WNBA -2!!!

Is WNBA even on bitbook?

no but if you play places that has it take it !!!
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 100
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
also add phoenix mercury WNBA -2!!!
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
plays so far for today 6/25/2013

Baseball    New York Yankees
Texas Rangers    Texas Rangers ML    5 hours from now    1.80 / -125    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.008

Baseball    Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians    Baltimore Orioles ML    5 hours from now    1.80 / -125    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.008

I also really like the giants but not sure If I am going to take it or not yet?
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 502
yesterday 1-1

Baseball    
San Diego Padres 4
Philadelphia Phillies 3
   San Diego Padres ML    14 hours ago    1.97 / -103.1    ฿ 0.01    win ฿ 0.0097

Baseball    
Baltimore Orioles 2
Cleveland Indians 5
   Baltimore Orioles ML    17 hours ago    1.74 / -135.2    ฿ 0.01    loss ฿ -0.01
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 100
I had an awful day yesterday, bringing my current record to 12-10-4.

I've chosen these for today:

Tennis    T.Haas ML  1.10/-1000
Tennis    S. Williams -8  1.31/-322.6
Tennis    N. Djokovic ML  1.01/-9091
Tennis    L. Robson +4  1.59/-169.5

Also, this is slightly riskier but I like the odds:

Soccer    England U20 ML  3.08/+208

...Chile U20 are missing their best player and England U20 will be looking to get back into the tournament after a late draw with Iraq. I think England U20 have been really undervalued with those odds.
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