With no other primary candidates to oppose him and the Republican Party rapidly falling into line, Donald Trump is soaring in national polls, while Hillary Clinton's double-digit lead has evaporated in the space of a month. On Sunday, the presumptive G.O.P. nominee passed Clinton for the first time in a
weekly average of head-to-head polls, edging the former secretary of state by 0.2 points—a virtual dead heat that is the result of an undeniable and dramatic shift in recent days. Of the last five polls released since Wednesday, three show Trump in the lead: Fox News has the billionaire winning by 45-42; Rasmussen shows him up 42-37; and the latest ABC News/Washington Post survey leans toward Trump by a 46-44 margin.
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"Trump Bump" among Republicans is not surprising. Despite pockets of resistance among many conservative intellectuals, ashen-faced party leaders are predictably swallowing their pride and embracing the front-runner—even if, like Lindsey Graham, they are
too embarrassed to endorse Trump in public. House Speaker Paul Ryan may still be sputtering, but the rank-and-file are already looking ahead to the general election.
Clinton, meanwhile, is growing more unpopular by the minute as she faces an unexpected eleventh-hour rally by Sanders. Last month, in the wake of a Super Tuesday shellacking, the Vermont senator
indicated he would be dialing back his attacks on the Democratic front-runner to run an "issue-oriented" campaign. But the cease-fire came to an abrupt end last weekend, when Sanders's supporters revolted at the Nevada state convention, reportedly
throwing chairs and hurling insults at Democratic officials they accused of tilting the scales for Hillary. Sanders barely apologized, inveighing against the D.N.C. and terrifying party leaders with his newly belligerent tone. Despite the fact that it is practically impossible for the Vermont senator to catch up Clinton, Democrats are now grappling with the prospect of an ugly, drawn-out fight that could roil their own convention in July.
Fighting a two front war, with Sanders to her left and Trump to her right, Clinton's unfavorables have
risen steadily, reaching a new high in the last week. According to Gallup polling, Clinton is now as disliked by Democrats (29 percent unfavorable) and Trump is unpopular with Republicans (30 percent unfavorable). "If you look at the favorability ratings of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, both of them have very, very high unfavorables," Sanders said in
an interview Sunday, characterizing the choice as Americans being forced to pick between the lesser of two evils. "If you look at virtually all of the polls done in the last six, seven weeks, in every one of them, nationally polls and statewide polls, we defeat Trump by larger margins—in some cases, significantly larger margins—than does Secretary Clinton," he continued.