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Topic: USD price 2014 predictions (Read 6871 times)

sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 11:57:07 AM
#33
IMO, considering the current ratio of BTC to fiat on MtGox, 80s for final capitulation is credible.
Just like 67$ was at the beginning of July. Capitulation is not defined by a particular value, but by price evolution.
If it's going to be at 100$ instead of 80$, will still be capitulation. You may call it partial capitulation if you want to.


You clearly do not understand the bubble cycle and meaning of capitulation in this cycle.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1094
October 02, 2013, 11:53:03 AM
#32
IMO, considering the current ratio of BTC to fiat on MtGox, 80s for final capitulation is credible.
Just like 67$ was at the beginning of July. Capitulation is not defined by a particular value, but by price evolution.
If it's going to be at 100$ instead of 80$, will still be capitulation. You may call it partial capitulation if you want to.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 11:33:09 AM
#30
If the current bubble period deflates completely (no new bubble starts after capitulation), then the average price for 2014 could be about 100$,
with a slow rise eventually leading to a new ATH (when will it happen, I don't have a clue).
If the current bubble period reaches final capitulation around 80$, but a new bubble period forms immediately, with some more fiat injected into
exchanges, the average price for 2014 could reach about 200$ (I find this the most probable scenario).
The uber-bullish scenarios imply huge amounts of fiat hitting the exchanges, and IMO this won't happen. On the contrary, the big investors may
try to suppress (manipulate downwards) the price on the exchanges.

how would 80 be capitulation? Capitulation would mean going below 55, testing old ATH of 33 and going lower if it failed. I don't see it happening. Drop to 80 would not be capitulation.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1094
October 02, 2013, 11:26:31 AM
#29
If the current bubble period deflates completely (no new bubble starts after capitulation), then the average price for 2014 could be about 100$,
with a slow rise eventually leading to a new ATH (when will it happen, I don't have a clue).
If the current bubble period reaches final capitulation around 80$, but a new bubble period forms immediately, with some more fiat injected into
exchanges, the average price for 2014 could reach about 200$ (I find this the most probable scenario).
The uber-bullish scenarios imply huge amounts of fiat hitting the exchanges, and IMO this won't happen. On the contrary, the big investors may
try to suppress (manipulate downwards) the price on the exchanges.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
★☆★777Coin★☆★
October 02, 2013, 10:58:21 AM
#28
it will reach 1000,- € within 2014



then this community must be full of million airs and have good fun and enjoyment

it will a funny forum Cool

& keep in mind:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.3055867

but I don't want to go on moon as bitcoin hit 1000 I want to enjoy here on this earth I always afraid to be on top of floor
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
October 02, 2013, 10:47:28 AM
#27
it will reach 1000,- € within 2014



then this community must be full of million airs and have good fun and enjoyment

it will a funny forum Cool

& keep in mind:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.3055867
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
★☆★777Coin★☆★
October 02, 2013, 10:33:28 AM
#26
it will reach 1000,- € within 2014



then this community must be full of million airs and have good fun and enjoyment
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
September 30, 2013, 07:49:51 PM
#25
it will reach 1000,- € within 2014

legendary
Activity: 1168
Merit: 1000
September 30, 2013, 07:43:45 PM
#24
In the year 2014, bitcoin will explode in value on a grand scale.  By November, expect 1 bitcoin to be accepted payment for a G5.

By spring of 2016, expect that same 1 bitcoin to buy the manufacturer.



You heard it here first kids.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
September 30, 2013, 05:15:58 PM
#23
2014 -     $300
2015 -   $1,500
2016 -   $7,500
2017 - $37,500

this means that $60 in 2013 is fine.  (because we started at $12)
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
September 30, 2013, 04:15:00 PM
#22
So what is everyones prediction for the average USD price of Bitcoin in 2014?  

volume-weighted or daily average or what?

$2800 vwap across exchanges
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1022
September 30, 2013, 03:36:46 PM
#21
Did you draw up that graph when you were drunk?  lol ...

The prediction scale is awesome.

Everything around it is a convoluted mess.  Its a great concept though.  You should put it on an actual graph with actual X and Y axis with proper labels at the various increments.



5000 hrs on ms paint!

 
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
September 30, 2013, 01:12:58 AM
#20
Did you draw up that graph when you were drunk?  lol ...

The prediction scale is awesome.

Everything around it is a convoluted mess.  Its a great concept though.  You should put it on an actual graph with actual X and Y axis with proper labels at the various increments.

full member
Activity: 181
Merit: 100
September 29, 2013, 09:42:12 PM
#19
2014 Monthly :

Jan: 150
Feb: 150
March:200
April:250
May:200
June:200
July:180
Aug:210
Sep:240
Oct:210
Nov:300
Dec:280
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
September 28, 2013, 10:02:08 PM
#18
Middle of next year, my estimation is at least about $350-$400, and would be disappointedly surprised were it much below that.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Varanida : Fair & Transparent Digital Ecosystem
September 28, 2013, 09:51:06 PM
#17
¥2000 Grin
sr. member
Activity: 281
Merit: 250
September 28, 2013, 07:16:33 PM
#16
Average about 150, many scenarios possible, the most intreresting is rise to about 250 and fall to under 1 in 3rd or 4th quarter of 2014. Life is bitch if it really happens
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
September 28, 2013, 06:53:26 PM
#15
I predict a new years/spring rally in 2014 from anything between 500-2000 USD.
rpg
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
September 28, 2013, 06:28:56 PM
#14
bitcoin has been following the price of gold. With the government shutdown next week it should spike to around $200. The longer the shutdown the higher it will go. Notice how the trading volume has increase several fold on mtgox. BTC has become a store of value since the Cyprus crisis

Agreed but there wont be a US shutdown next week.  there will be a last minute, saved by the bell deal where all sides will claim political credit for saving the world economy while just kicking the can a few months further down the road.

However, if the world economy tanks (which it is due to) then BTC may well spike again!

I hope it doesn't because is better for everyone and in particular the families that are dependent on their federal salary. Depending on your age, you may remember the shutdown during the clinton years. As a side note DHS has been moving their civil unrest resources to region 3 (DC,Virgina,Marylan) and troops have their leave canceled after oct 1st. The administration  maybe preparing for a long fight (youtubers claim is because of ISON of course lol), so we'll see on Tuesday.
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