Good Morning Bitcoiners,
The price reached new highs yesterday and it's possible that the market will try to keep the momentum around the $500,00 area.
The first visit to a major resistance can be just the first message from the buyers to the sellers and if the price keeps the positive messages with the buyers then the up trend can push towards $548,00 and if that happen we can confirm a lower high failure on the weekly chart. That hypothesis will be good enough to forecast a new up trend to benefit the monthly chart hypothesis.
The 12 hours chart is keeping the over extended trend active and it's possible that the seller will try push the price down towards $459,24 or a potential correction towards the SMA's in the 240 minutes chart could be most optimistic hypothesis in case that the 12 hours chart decides to build a new higher low to confirm the up trend and to visit the SMA 200 ($530,303) and the $548,00.
There is a small problem (Sarcasm). The congestion on the left hand side is the main obstacle right now in between the $548,00 area and the actual price which can delay the up trend because the price needs to build new consolidations so the new buying patterns can appear intraday and at the same time those buying patterns can help to deny the Lower high on the weekly chart eventually.
Also, it's a new Higher Low in the 240 minutes chart that it manage to penetrate the SMA 200 so the confirmation of a new trend in this particular time frame is possible now that the price is close to the major resistance and the previous Higher Low's in the two major time frames are the ones initiating the new movement. (Higher Low in 12 Hours and in the Daily Chart).
There is two Higher Low's already in the 240 minutes chart and a third one could come at any time but the price is over extended now and the SMA's 10,20 show a divergence and that can be use by the sellers to deny parts of the previous up trend or creating some volatility during the day.
The 60 minutes chart show the beginning of the new consolidation and don't be surprise if the price goes down towards $480,98 or $464,91 because the price is dealing with one of the most challenging major resistance we have so far and the buyers will take some time to absorb every single seller before a new rally comes in.
This is the Pre Market Analysis.
http://youtu.be/OswZC3S6CxA