Did somebody previously post a graph or a chart detailing what happens to the price every January (we usually slump every Jan?).
Any way, curious to know people’s thoughts that if we stay over $3,200 as we enter February - Have we definitely seen the bottom of this cycle?
Thoughts?
Bitcoin is not seasonal.
Remember the proclamation that we go up every November?
That did not work too well in November 2018.
I think that the pressure (lack of support) for down is greater than the pressure (too much resistance) for up.
Does not mean that the price is going down. Does not mean that I hope the price will go up. Does not mean that I am selling any. Does not mean that I am not going to buy more BTC if the price goes down. Does not mean that my stash of BTC is NOT big enough for me to be prepared for UP.
In other words, I have hardly no fucking clue, beyond a coin toss with the use of a coin that is slightly skewed towards down.
Yeah people are too excited to jump on what they see as trends and seasons, people were talking about the November and December pumps since July when the price continued a downtrend.
I am not sure if I would call it "continues a downward trend," even though the price has so far gone downwards during those recent periods, and sure if we zoom out, we see the BTC price has gone down since about December 2017.... Will it continue to go down is the million dollar question that we should not presume to already have happened, when it has not happened, yet.
So, yeah, there was a bit of a problem, when BTC ranged in the flat for a considerable amount of time above $6k until mid November, and yeah the BTC price had visited $6k-ish - at least 4 times prior to breaking through (without breaking through), and then once the BTC price pierced blow that $6k level, then we came down to another so far plateau level.
I would not assume more down, even though the odds for down are greater than the odds for up, especially after we broke below $6k. Furthermore, there is a lot of resistance to get back up. I would NOT grasp at straws to make some kind of "seasonal" call because there is a lot more going on in bitcoin besides what supposedly happens at certain times of the year.
What is currently happening in BTC is that bears, bear whales and manipulators are going to continue to attempt to suck out as much as they can and for as long as they can in order to get the BTC price to go down. Even though the odds are slightly in their favor, they have not succeeded to push the price down below $3,140, so I am not going to assume that they are going to continue to be successful to push the price down further, even if the odds are slightly in their favor.