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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 12127. (Read 26610289 times)

legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Is JayJuanGee or Micgoossens considered dumbest money in the thread?  There was also that one guy who thought he was "buying the dip" at $15k, but I don't remember his name and don't feel like scrolling back.


Well, there is this one guy named roach, who sold his whole stash of BTC in the sub $600 price arena, and he bought gold and silver.  Thereafter, he has been lecturing how bitcoin is and was not a good investment.

Lot's off opportunity costs have been lost upon this roach fella, and even worse case scenario, at today's prices, he would still be up more than 5x if he had just hung onto his bitcoin.

Probably roach would be considered pretty close to the dumbest money who is actively participating in this particular thread.

I cannot really speak for Micteam because I am not sure if his back patting story really plays out because in some sense he is suggesting that he gets his BTC through gambling, which seems way too good to be true.

However, my own story is that I started buying at $1,200 in late 2013 and bought down to about $200 in late 2014 and throughout 2015, and had an average of about $500 per BTC before my phone got force ported and some other hacks that caused losses in my BTC in early 2017 and raised my BTC price average to around $750-ish.  I am not sure exactly my BTC average at the moment, but it is likely in around the $750-ish arena.

Surely I have made a few mistakes along the way in my BTC investment, strategies and practices (and even though I know that you are a trolling bafoon on this particular naming names point), yet I am not sure why I would be considered within any kind of close approximation of "dumb money" when I have an incrementalism system of selling BTC on the way up and buying BTC on the way down that seems to be quite profitable - even if only in a kind of insurance creation sense - even at today's prices and even with some mistakes that I have made along the way that have increased some of my costs. 

By the way, even though I type a lot, I don't reveal all of my finances and all of my strategies, even though I give broad general ideas about what I do as a kind of brainstorming exercise rather than any kind of attempt to induce anyone to emulate my practices.  Ultimately, I welcome guys and gal, here to engage with me about my various disclosures of strategies, and sometimes, I can be critical about the stated strategies of others, but to get back to the initial point, Roach, your purported strategy to sell BTC in the sub $600 range, not to buy back BTC, to invest in PMs and to participate in this thread that is about BTC price dynamics with your frequently off-topic nonsense seems quite high in level of dumbness of person and dumness of money.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
How ironic would it be to withdraw a million plus dollars from bitcoin and to then still end up as a wage slave?

Yeah... unh... I dunno. 'Round these parts, $1M in savings is kinda wage slave money. What with the widest accepted annual drawdown on the order of 4%, that be like $40K annual before taxes.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Hairy - looks like you'll get that no confidence vote you were schooling me on, but
BBC Political Editor Laura Kuenssberg said that while the motion - if successful - could not directly cause the collapse of the government, "it would be another embarrassment for the PM if Labour ends up winning the day".
i've nfa

Nah that’s not a no confidence motion it’s a name calling motion.  Chickenshit. Labour doesn’t have the numbers yet.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
If we compare it with a Smartphone it was invented in 1992, the first good Smartphone came on the market in 2005, with a number of users of 2%, 7 years later 54%, 11 years later 81%, today no one doubts that a Smartphone be a very useful gadget, Bitcoin will not take so long.

They didn't require you to take a financial risk after having a deep ponder over the nature of money itself.

That's a stretch for most of the world's population.

Correct. Luckily though 'most' of the world's population doesn't have any money, relatively speaking. In fact, less than 0.1% of humanity controls the vast majority of the wealth. For these people, pondering the nature of money and taking financial risks is what they are best at ...

bitcoin adoption has never been about numbers of souls converted but numbers of dollars, euros, yen, francs, pounds converted.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
Hairy - looks like you'll get that no confidence vote you were schooling me on, but
BBC Political Editor Laura Kuenssberg said that while the motion - if successful - could not directly cause the collapse of the government, "it would be another embarrassment for the PM if Labour ends up winning the day".
i've nfa

Labour can fuck off. Corbyn is the biggest cuckold the world has ever seen. I’d consider emigrating if he ever takes charge of the country. We’d be open to any kind of non working, non tax paying immigrants, we’d be helping the pooe & all sorts Wink

legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
So how many hours or days until it go down again ?

Well the current mid term trend *IS* down.  I don't really think it's stopped yet.  When will it.  That is the question.


And the current long term trend has only ever been up.

Unless we go under $150... That would mark a lower low and the uptrend would be definitely broken.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
So how many hours or days until it go down again ?

Well the current mid term trend *IS* down.  I don't really think it's stopped yet.  When will it.  That is the question.


And the current long term trend has only ever been up.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
Hairy - looks like you'll get that no confidence vote you were schooling me on, but
BBC Political Editor Laura Kuenssberg said that while the motion - if successful - could not directly cause the collapse of the government, "it would be another embarrassment for the PM if Labour ends up winning the day".
i've nfa
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
On an extremely volatile asset, assuming the price returns to the price at which you bought it, there is a trading strategy that makes a profit, as opposed to buying and holding (which would not profit in our example).
Here's a simple explanation https://blog.enigma.co/is-there-a-free-lunch-in-the-crypto-markets-c4aa331443f1

Imagine you start with $1,000, $500 in stock and $500 in cash. Suppose the stock halves in price the first day. This gives you a $750 portfolio with $250 in stock and $500 in cash. This is now lopsided in favor of cash. You rebalance by withdrawing $125 from the cash account to buy stock. This leaves you with a newly balanced mix of $375 in stock and $375 in cash.
Now repeat. The next day, let’s say the stock doubles in price. The $375 in stock jumps to $750. With the $375 in the cash account, you have $1,125…
… After a dramatic plunge, the stock’s price is back to where it began. A buy-and-hold investor would have no profit at all. Shannon’s investor has made $125.


If you do a little math, you'll find that transaction fees will kill this trading strategy.   If you pay transaction fees on the order of 0.2% (like crypto exchange fees), then balancing small moves like 5 or 10 percent will actually lose you money.  The asset has to be very volatile, and it's only worth rebalancing after big moves such as in the example.
Also, you're going to lose money in a bear market, unless you have the resources to hang on for years until the asset's price returns to where you bought it (if it ever does).

1) There are exchanges that charge zero for makers.
2) Bitcoin _is_ very volatile.
3) On a long enough time scale, there has never been a Bitcoin bear market. We'll hit one some day. Unlikely we have as of yet.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 13505
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
BTW

F*** = BTC still this cheap??

@r0ach, you have all the time of the world, anytime you sell silver for BTC = a good trade like always!!
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 13505
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Ok, from the poll it seems that most people thinks we have not yet reached the bottom. So... maybe we have?

I would say all the weak hands are already gone. I would be more worried about weak whales now.

Talking about whales... it has been some time since Bitcoin doesn't have any new whale, has it?

I mean, people like Tim Draper during the past bear market, etc....

Any new one this year?


I thought that we have been saying that all the weak hands had been shook since about $10k, but for some reason, it seems that there are more weak hands that are shakeable.

I think the real weak hands are already left the market....
hero member
Activity: 539
Merit: 500
So how many hours or days until it go down again ?

we'll see
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 13505
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
So how many hours or days until it go down again ?

Nowbody care’s and coiners don’t give a f***
#honeybadgerHODL
member
Activity: 371
Merit: 57
Had a great laugh when i saw this head-line in Dutch media  Cheesy

''Bitcoin is good as dead''.




That headline makes it sound like there will somehow be less bitcoins if large miners quid.
I think it's good to have more smaller independent miners.
member
Activity: 136
Merit: 17
So how many hours or days until it go down again ?
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Ok, from the poll it seems that most people thinks we have not yet reached the bottom. So... maybe we have?

I would say all the weak hands are already gone. I would be more worried about weak whales now.

Talking about whales... it has been some time since Bitcoin doesn't have any new whale, has it?

I mean, people like Tim Draper during the past bear market, etc....

Any new one this year?


I thought that we have been saying that all the weak hands had been shook since about $10k, but for some reason, it seems that there are more weak hands that are shakeable.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I never touch alts because I don’t believe in them. And I can make bad decisions if I don’t believe in what I am trading.

I’ve got a stash of XRP, nowhere near as much as my bitcoin HODLINGS but would be nice to see it moon in the future.

I don't see any considerable ecosystem benefits of various shitcoins pumpening, even if my personal holdings might go up because of such pumpenings.

I understand that it is likely inevitable that several shitcoins are going to pump in the coming years, and that is why we cannot have nice things, and at minimum it will take 20 years for a decent portion of the population to recognize the differentiating value in bitcoin, and more realistically it will take longer than 20 years, perhaps approaching 50 years (I will either be dead or close to dead by then, so if I am posting in this thread, then there is some kind of AI going on or my account has been hacked).   
I don't get why you see the differentiating value and the potential value proposition of altcoins as mutually exclusive.

Your characterization of my position seems a bit off.

I consider that there is a strong pull in BTC's value proposition in terms of the creation of sound money.  No other coin comes even close to that even though with the passage of time, there could be some coins that come close to that, yet a vast majority of my problem with various other coins is that they attempt to suggest that either there are defects in bitcoin that they resolve or that they are superior than bitcoin in various ways that suggest superior sound money as compared with bitcoin.

Sure, some of the coins talk about technical improvements and other likely less significant mumbo jumbo that could, in the longer term play out to be useful to humanity, and may also be absorbed into bitcoin at the primary layer or  some other layer... Yet, for me, the sound money aspect remains the distinction of bitcoin, not the other various quasi-centralized distractions of other coins.  

So, yeah other coins are likely providing various  values, but other coins is not the topic of this thread, so it is totally appropriate to completely and cursorily dismiss them all as shit coins, even if they may be providing some various alleged kinds of values.  Who gives a shit?  

The topic of the thread is bitcoin, and as I mentioned one of the differentiating values that bitcoin provides is sound money, and frequently, I see that either on purpose or accidentally, people get caught up in various other value narratives, and whether those other value narratives works out or not, again, who gives a shit, except that a vast majority of other coins try to proclaim themselves as superior to bitcoin or replacing some kind of meaningful bitcoin function, when they do not in terms of soundness of money analysis.

Bitcoin will be the future currency, where equity 2.0 will be given in the form of altcoins that are traded against Bitcoin.

Seems likely, yes.

Although I guess the current market makes it extremely hard to see this future, I don't think that altcoins are generally speaking shitcoins. Even if some 99% of them in fact are right now.

Maybe, but again, who cares?

If there are some reasons to buy a little alt coin here and there, then anyone can make those kinds of choices to invest into the various other projects, and there could be some value there, of course.

Companies won't really be able to tie their equity to Bitcoin due to its volatility, but they could very well fix a shitcoin to their annual, or at some point even real-time revenue, operating costs, profits, inventory, etc., which will vastly improve the tools available to value investors who now have to rely on quarterly reports that may or may not be cooked. Just to name one tiny future niche that will be fulfilled by blockchain eventually.

Yes there are more than 7 billion people, so a lot of various use cases that may or may not connect to bitcoin, of course.

The amount of shitcoins right now is no different from the amount of shitsites during the dotcom bubble (probably much less since we're nowhere near peak). Doesn't mean that everything was shit.

I doubt that I am saying that every other coin is shit, and of course, we are stuck with some necessity to discuss the dynamics of various alt coins because there is some connection in terms of money movement in the BTC space, and likely some symbiotic relationship with the back and forth of the alt coin price movements and even pumps, dumbs, and scams.  Yet, I don't see any reason to get into long discussions of the various value propositions of shitcoins.  Take it to some other thread except to the extent that it either relates to BTC or BTC price dynamics, no?

Same story with every bubble, keep an open mind or you'll miss the bigger picture due to the hordes of incompetence, money grabs and outright scams.

Are you suggesting that I am not keeping an open mind, merely because I don't want to clutter my mind with distractions into the investigation of possible value propositions of more than 2,000 other crypto projects, aka shit coins, or maybe I am supposed to focus on the top 10 or top 20 or look at some kind of criteria to assess the extent to which these various shit coins might be offering some kind of value?  

Let's say for example there are 5-10 good alt coin projects that end up either playing a very significant role in the crypto space or supplanting various BTC use cases because of their superiority.  Why does it matter that I start to pay attention now (and study them) or wait 5-10 years when such supplantation becomes more obvious?  Am I missing out on something?  Knowledge?  Investment opportunity?  What am I missing, exactly?  Don't I get enough exposure to learning about them, just through osmosis with my already ongoing involvement in paying attention to bitcoin?
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
As soon as the bankers decide they have shaken the tree for all it's worth we will be seeing a pump with corresponding reports on all the regular news channels about how there is only 21 million ever. That word will get out when they want it dished out to the unwashed masses and then the sheeple will FOMO and if your not in by then then you have missed the last next chance to get multi times profit.

ftfy
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 13505
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Had a great laugh when i saw this head-line in Dutch media  Cheesy

''Bitcoin is good as dead''.




Haha read it as well

And about the Dutch BTC famillie etc
Lot of dumb news
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