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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 13070. (Read 26724492 times)

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 113
Do you guys like Deribit? I only just got into it but the interface is so confusing. I can't set the leverage? Is it always on 100x? Someone explain cross margin and sub accounts to me.

I do and I love it actually, no downtime or slippage during important moves.
Once you get used to cross leverage you'll have no problems


bitmex sucks
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


I think that we should boticize you hairbeary.  Perhaps rename as you chartbotcized, a variation of chartbuddy. 

You just reminded me of terabear. What happened to him/her and all of our beartrolls?

Terabera was a she, but in the latest months of her activity, she was trying to act as if she was a he, for some strange reason.  Some peeps here had suggested that her account got bought out, but I don't buy that theory because it seems that her personality and posting style was otherwise the same, except that she began to act as if she were a he instead of a she.

Regarding her disappearance I have two speculations, and I will list them in order of which one I believe to be more compelling.

1) Terabera had a very similar disappearance during the 2015 bear market, and perhaps in that sense, her pay period was done, if you believe that she was a kind of paid shill, or she concluded that she could not be as profitable as a trader when the market devolved into a certain low level of volatility, if you actually believe that she was a trader.

2) in the latest months of her activity, she disclosed that she was experiencing health issues, something like lime disease, so perhaps her health is continuing to suffer and participating in the forum exacerbates her condition.  I don't really believe this second possible explanation is very convincing because any kind of sickness would allow for more internet participation because it would force sedateness, but if a person is forced to earn an income too, then a sickness might cause a person to have to focus more on money earning activities and to remove forum participation based on its distractive nature.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Brace yourselves.  We are edging another dump.  



4 hour chart for context

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
You just reminded me of terabear. What happened to him/her and all of our beartrolls?

Terabear posted some retirement pics.  Let's hope he / she is happy.  

I like this quote from Tera in 2013.

Bitcoin's monumental success will be impeded only by a catastrophic failure, such as protocol failure, cipher breakage (likely), complete government criminalization/firewalling, or a highly superior competetion. Therefore, it will either be $0 or $20,000+, and nothing inbetween. Happy trading gentlemen. Wink
full member
Activity: 1179
Merit: 210
only hodl what you understand and love!
legendary
Activity: 2660
Merit: 2868
Shitcoin Minimalist


I think that we should boticize you hairbeary.  Perhaps rename as you chartbotcized, a variation of chartbuddy.  

You just reminded me of terabear. What happened to him/her and all of our beartrolls?


Guys, I'm scared. It's still under $10k.

 Cry

We are closer to 5k than to 10k


Which one will hit first?  What are the odds of $5k hitting first or $10k hitting first?  50%?  Greater?  Less?

Probably the odds are a bit in favor of $10k hitting first, even though that price point is further away than $5k, no?

Actually, Doug Polk already lost a bet on this point, but he was using $6k as the reference, yet the price had already breached $6k a couple of times at the time of Polks bet that $6k would not be breached again.  But he lost (barely, but still an unambiguous loss).

What if we were to choose a price point that is closer to our current price, such as $8,500, which is still further from us than $5k, yet seems that the odds of $8,500 hitting first are a bit greater than hitting $5k first?  Yes, no?  Anyone?  

Should we attempt to assign more specific probabilities, rather than just saying greater or lesser than 50% odds? I am sure that some folks are more confident than me to make an assertion and to assign a higher probability, and maybe even betting on a scenario that I currently am thinking is a bit less than 50% odds.

Even though I've been a bull cheerleader, I think we'd be more likely to hit $5K than $8,500 in the short term (1-3 weeks). There's more resistance on the way up to $8,500 than there is support to $5,000.
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 2334
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
Swiss brand Hublot ($10K+ entry-models) announced it's Bitcoin Big Bang Model which you can buy only with Bitcoin. Not a huge news, but another name placed on their timepieces is Ferrari, for example.
1) 10k entry is pretty cheap overall. I'd prefer a Patek Phillipe myself or a Breuget over a Hublot.
2) They want a picture of my passport to pre-register? That's got to be the fucking ballsiest thing I have seen all week.

Fuck this. Go to Vegas, cash out 50-80k and buy a really nice Patek repeater. Do not go to the Cartier store in Wynn unless you're looking to pick up a 1.3m platinum watch....


legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Detail of new trend lines.  Break downwards under $6,440 and break upwards over $6,850.

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Downward trendline seems to be losing its relevance.  $6850 now the number to beat in short term.  More pain if we break under $6500.



Old trend line from above shown in yellow (now broken).  New trend line shown in blue.  

legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Guys, I'm scared. It's still under $10k.

 Cry

We are closer to 5k than to 10k


Which one will hit first?  What are the odds of $5k hitting first or $10k hitting first?  50%?  Greater?  Less?

Probably the odds are a bit in favor of $10k hitting first, even though that price point is further away than $5k, no?

Actually, Doug Polk already lost a bet on this point, but he was using $6k as the reference, yet the price had already breached $6k a couple of times at the time of Polks bet that $6k would not be breached again.  But he lost (barely, but still an unambiguous loss).

What if we were to choose a price point that is closer to our current price, such as $8,500, which is still further from us than $5k, yet seems that the odds of $8,500 hitting first are a bit greater than hitting $5k first?  Yes, no?  Anyone?   

Should we attempt to assign more specific probabilities, rather than just saying greater or lesser than 50% odds? I am sure that some folks are more confident than me to make an assertion and to assign a higher probability, and maybe even betting on a scenario that I currently am thinking is a bit less than 50% odds.
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 6089
bitcoindata.science
Guys, I'm scared. It's still under $10k.

 Cry

We are closer to 5k than to 10k
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
member
Activity: 368
Merit: 31
member
Activity: 368
Merit: 31
If we go below 10k again, i am not sure we'll see 5 digits again for a very long time if ever.
member
Activity: 368
Merit: 31
Guys, I'm scared. It's still under $10k.

 Cry

6 months now and counting
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
Guys, I'm scared. It's still under $10k.

 Cry
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I think that we should boticize you hairbeary.  Perhaps rename as you chartbotcized, a variation of chartbuddy.  

I'll take that as a compliment.   Grin

Since you seem agreeable, somehow we have to get infofront to zap you with his magic wand to make it so.  

Like this:

member
Activity: 158
Merit: 10
Swiss brand Hublot ($10K+ entry-models) announced it's Bitcoin Big Bang Model which you can buy only with Bitcoin. Not a huge news, but another name placed on their timepieces is Ferrari, for example.

This new watch is a 210-piece limited edition watch that can only be purchased with bitcoin, and a watch that can be bought directly from the watchmaker with bitcoins.

Blockchain is a revolution in the financial system and the future of e-commerce, and it has been broadly used as a digitised and decentralised public ledger of all digital currency transactions since its creation. By allowing digital information to be distributed, Blockchain technology creates the backbone of a new type of Internet. Well-recognised for its originality, the technology is regarded as one of the most powerful and fastest-growing trading tools, not to mention unlimited possibility of usage in different aspects that will revolutionise various industry norms and trade.



Adjusted image



https://www.hublot.com/ru/news/get-ready-for-hublot-s-big-bang-launch-in-the-field-of-blockchain-technology
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
I think that we should boticize you hairbeary.  Perhaps rename as you chartbotcized, a variation of chartbuddy. 

I'll take that as a compliment.   Grin
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