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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 14429. (Read 26723255 times)

sr. member
Activity: 854
Merit: 262
The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....
Big trouble lil china
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 251
The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....
member
Activity: 368
Merit: 31
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
Yes, it was Lyme's, she has been very open about that.

TERA, you will be sorely missed here, your sober and considered contrarian posts bring genuine value to the discussion.  We will all be poorer without them.

I have several friends that struggle with the plague from Plum Island.  I know what a frustrating ailment it can be.

Take care of yourself.  Do what you have to do.

Be safe.
copper member
Activity: 72
Merit: 12
Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA

Exchange risk was always rightly a huge factor in evaluating the return on trading the during the 11 and 13 cycles. How much risk are you assigning to Gemini, Coinbase, Kraken type of exchanges now?

A crash to 5k seems like the most certain trade you are advocating right now. Since you will have money tied up on exchanges anyway why not short on Kraken?

Your bitphysics model predicts the price will mimic 2014, like a bouncing ball? It so this next bounce would be like the current glade, with a high volume spike somewhere around <5k showing the reversal, a failed climb back to 10k, and then final bleed out to 3k (ideally)?

Do you expect your trading strategy (buying volume breakouts from dips) to continue working if another cycle appears in 202x?

What % of traders have the ability to derive alpha from first principles in crypto? How does this compare to stocks?

Is your ideal play for the next 3 years to find promising blocktree (radix?) projects and load in during strong overall crypto cynicism?

What signals will give clues about whether another BTC cycle in line with the past is starting vs BTC being finished and any pumps being limited?
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1828
My remains will probably only be deemed fit for pet food.
Fish cat food. Yummy!
I liked your fishy avatars better. Much better.

OK, I'll change it back.  Wink
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 254
are we near the bottom?

I hope so. Tera2 deserves to retire in peace.
full member
Activity: 384
Merit: 117
are we near the bottom?
member
Activity: 258
Merit: 14
Hoping it's a class action suit for 400+ million on the exchange that front ran those Mt. Gox coins. 
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Really strange.. Looks like the big whale dumper bots broke or something.   Sell order books on bitfinex and coinbase are so light.
Hour of the wolf? Dumpy man sleep sleep?

Everything will go green in another 6 hours and the mood will swing again.

Not so sure. Early morning Monday maybe (Tokyo Time)?
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 254
Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA
Is this humour?
if yes - haha
if no - why leave?
Its 10 time less profitable to trade in these kinds of conditions so its an optimal time to reduce the risk of holding funds on exchanges and take a break from the immense stress, risk, and sleep disruption of trading. Also I am now financially set for 2 decades and have chronic illness. If I decide to go after money again and may be via a business or software project like making a new coin or an exchange and possibly not via trading.
Thanks for clarifying. Very best of luck.
(A server hosting company/ISP that one could actually trust would make a lot of money.)
You said AMA, but this is sheer nosiness: what chronic illness?

I seem to remember lyme disease.

Not to get personal or anything..
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Everything will go green in another 6 hours and the mood will swing again. A bit like a grandfather clock. 
member
Activity: 258
Merit: 14
Really strange.. Looks like the big whale dumper bots broke or something.   Sell order books on bitfinex and coinbase are so light.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
Those bought bitcoin and forgot about it became rich. While those who bought bitcoin, stuck their eyes to the value daily, didn't win anything at all (that unfortunately includes me as well).

Even your 1 in 30 seems more optimistic to me. It should be somewhat like 1 in 50.

Not everyone who is active is shortsighted - some can see the forest for the trees.

Then it turns out to be only a glade...
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
And I recall it's flipped on occasion and we got nothing but weekend pumps for weeks on end in the past as well.
Yes. It was the rule during the 10k-18+k phase.
legendary
Activity: 2842
Merit: 1511
Those bought bitcoin and forgot about it became rich. While those who bought bitcoin, stuck their eyes to the value daily, didn't win anything at all (that unfortunately includes me as well).

Even your 1 in 30 seems more optimistic to me. It should be somewhat like 1 in 50.

Not everyone who is active is shortsighted - some can see the forest for the trees.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA
Is this humour?
if yes - haha
if no - why leave?
Its 10 time less profitable to trade in these kinds of conditions so its an optimal time to reduce the risk of holding funds on exchanges and take a break from the immense stress, risk, and sleep disruption of trading. Also I am now financially set for 2 decades and have chronic illness. If I decide to go after money again and may be via a business or software project like making a new coin or an exchange and possibly not via trading.

10 times less profitable than what?

Bad to hear about your health. Take good care. Being financially set might help in getting the best there is.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA
Is this humour?
if yes - haha
if no - why leave?
Its 10 time less profitable to trade in these kinds of conditions so its an optimal time to reduce the risk of holding funds on exchanges and take a break from the immense stress, risk, and sleep disruption of trading. Also I am now financially set for 2 decades and have chronic illness. If I decide to go after money again and may be via a business or software project like making a new coin or an exchange and possibly not via trading.
Thanks for clarifying. Very best of luck.
(A server hosting company/ISP that one could actually trust would make a lot of money.)
You said AMA, but this is sheer nosiness: what chronic illness?

Not tarding means more time for trolling   Grin
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