Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 14530. (Read 26607490 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Bitstamp is the obvious choice for a high volume exchange that is not in the US. I have always found it rock solid.  After that the water gets murky real fast. Get in, do what you have to do, and get out.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
I'm starting to have fiat problems myself. Those of you that regularly cash out, where do you store your fiat? Anyone into offshore IBC's and banking? If so which banks(s) and countries have you chosen?

Edit:
Further to the above; which exchange is your favourite for wire transfers offshore? especially when an intermediary is required

I can't be bothered with IBC given the ridiculously low capital gains tax in the US.
grn
sr. member
Activity: 357
Merit: 252
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2021
$320k Aug 2021
$640k Feb 2022
$1.28MM Aug 2022

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.



You lot that like to sell your BTC in increments to buy back, take note that you don’t run out.  

I won't run out....  Tongue    Tongue     Tongue  Even though my chart only goes up about 8x from current price, but I suppose I can add a few more lines onto my projections to account for these real probable situations.

... I anticipate that even if BTC prices were to shoot straight up to $1.28million faster than the timeline, my formula for selling does not allow me to run out, and probably I wouldn't even go below 50%, if BTC prices were to shoot straight the fuck up.....

I already have too much fiat, now, so the problem of too much fiat seems likely to exacerbate based on these totally "reasonable" BTC price projections... really gonna be problems of the 1%... OMG    Shocked Shocked

I'm starting to have fiat problems myself. Those of you that regularly cash out, where do you store your fiat? Anyone into offshore IBC's and banking? If so which banks(s) and countries have you chosen?

Edit:
Further to the above; which exchange is your favourite for wire transfers offshore? especially when an intermediary is required
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2021
$320k Aug 2021
$640k Feb 2022
$1.28MM Aug 2022

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.



You lot that like to sell your BTC in increments to buy back, take note that you don’t run out.  

I won't run out....  Tongue    Tongue     Tongue  Even though my chart only goes up about 8x from current price, but I suppose I can add a few more lines onto my projections to account for these real probable situations.

... I anticipate that even if BTC prices were to shoot straight up to $1.28million faster than the timeline, my formula for selling does not allow me to run out, and probably I wouldn't even go below 50%, if BTC prices were to shoot straight the fuck up.....

I already have too much fiat, now, so the problem of too much fiat seems likely to exacerbate based on these totally "reasonable" BTC price projections... really gonna be problems of the 1%... OMG    Shocked Shocked


Edit:  I just went back to my charts, and I added a few more rows to project that if I go out 12x with the projection, that is about $126k per BTC, and if the price went shooting up to that price, sure it adds up to a lot of Fiat getting added to my accounts, but that fiat can be used to buy back BTC, I suppose...

My problem does not seem to be NOT having enough BTC in the event that the price goes shooting up, but instead, I am going to need to start spending more money in the very near future - since we cannot take this money with us... fuck..   This is an emergency, no? 

Seems that I have too many BTC..   Anyone want some BTC?  

Bob.. you are going to have the same problem, no?  Better start spending money soon.. .. upgrade your porsche to a lambo.. right away.. buy a rocket to send one porsche up into space and get another upgraded one.  Start living higher on the hog... RIGHT NOW.  Seems that we be going UP and going to cause a lot of problems of RICHIE.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

As a HODLer, I prefer charting floors vs all-time highs. ATHs are too transient and susceptible to FUD, making them more suitable for rektees traders.  Grin


So, when are we going to hit establish $1,000,000 as a floor?

Based on mfort312's BTC floor specialism, I FTFY.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
I just sent a wire.  I can smell a slight sweet scent of FOMO on the air. 

no FOMO man
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
I just sent a wire. Drifting from somewhere down the street, I can smell a slight sweet scent of FOMO on the air.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2021
$320k Aug 2021
$640k Feb 2022
$1.28MM Aug 2022

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.






You lot that like to sell your BTC in increments to buy back, take note that you don’t run out.  
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 551
I am a banana.
So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

Let's project.  Smiley

If we assume the average doubling floor time of 6 months over the last 5 years (including the 2014-2015 bear market):

$20k Aug 2018
$40k Feb 2019
$80k Aug 2019
$160k Feb 2020
$320k Aug 2020
$640k Feb 2021
$1.28MM Aug 2021

Three and a half more years.

If the doubling time persists at 3 months (the approx. average of the last three doublings), then just under two years. Mid 2020.

Wow.

edit: skipped a year
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259


So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000 for the last time?
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1828

So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?

BTC will be $1,000,000 at about the same time that a loaf of Wonder Bread costs $50.00. Which may be sooner than we all think..
legendary
Activity: 2660
Merit: 2868
Shitcoin Minimalist

Let's assume (for the third or fourth time, I know) that this is the last time we see quad-digits. Dangerous, I know, but I get impatient.

Since my last update, this means Da Bears only managed to erode into a single doubling floor, extending the $5k to $10k floor by 21 more days, for a total of 121 days since we last saw $5k.

For reference, the Mt Gox correction eroded three presumed doubling floors ($640, $320, $160), taking over three years to reestablish these support levels.

Projecting from trend, I'm thinking another 90 days until we establish $20k as a new floor, maybe around mid-May.

$10k marks the 12th Bitcoin doubling floor since $2.50 in 2012.
The shortest doubling floor was 39 days from $20 to $40.
The longest doubling floor was 546 days from $80 to $160 post-Mt Gox.

As a HODLer, I prefer charting floors vs all-time highs. ATHs are too transient and susceptible to FUD, making them more suitable for rektees traders.  Grin

Go Bitcoin Go!



https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.29061043

So, when are we going to hit $1,000,000?
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 551
I am a banana.

Let's assume (for the third or fourth time, I know) that this is the last time we see quad-digits. Dangerous, I know, but I get impatient.

Since my last update, this means Da Bears only managed to erode into a single doubling floor, extending the $5k to $10k floor by 21 more days, for a total of 121 days since we last saw $5k.

For reference, the Mt Gox correction eroded three presumed doubling floors ($640, $320, $160), taking over three years to reestablish these support levels.

Projecting from trend, I'm thinking another 90 days until we establish $20k as a new floor, maybe around mid-May.

$10k marks the 12th Bitcoin doubling floor since $2.50 in 2012.
The shortest doubling floor was 39 days from $20 to $40.
The longest doubling floor was 546 days from $80 to $160 post-Mt Gox.

As a HODLer, I prefer charting floors vs all-time highs. ATHs are too transient and susceptible to FUD, making them more suitable for rektees traders.  Grin

Go Bitcoin Go!



https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.29061043
sr. member
Activity: 292
Merit: 265
Don’t worry. Main Street isn’t buying yet.  We have a long way to run.  

Wall Street sniffing around bitcoin should pump it to $100k, and when Main Street starts buying it should pump it to a million.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
Do you believe that said portfolio will be worth 2/5 of fuck all 10 years from now

Yes.

Why do I believe this ? Because my portfolios from 10 years ago are worth way more than 2/5ths of fuck all.

Past performance, etc does have some merit.  And I expect they will be worth considerably more again, before the bottom falls out, for one reason or another.  Just thinking the longer term prognosis of the legacy system is sketchy, at best.  My own 'retirement' funds are fucking locked up until near death by government legislation, so I wrote them off as lost years ago. 
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
Who has said higher highs and higher lows?

Maya Angelou?
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
Who has said higher highs and higher lows?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
2/5ths of fuck all is a good number. But I can think of better...

See, nothing to contribute. Fuck all. Fuck it. Go Bitcoin Go.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
If you had more than 1000 Bitcoins and you were only another 100BTC sell away for retiring for good no matter if it is at 10K, 12K or whatever.... wouldn't you pull the trigger already? I know I would.

Already funded my retirement portfolio in early January before BTC dropped below $11.5k. I now have the luxury of waiting for the next month for things to go higher before I sell to cover tax liabilities.

The next batch for Q1 tax will likely be the last batch I sell before 2020... when I plan to buy Ireland.

Serious question:
Do you believe that said portfolio will be worth 2/5 of fuck all 10 years from now, or is it just an interim til -Ireland?
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