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Yes.. you are assuming that people are going to sell their MTGOX coins because that is what you have been hearing since 2015/2016, but that remains a pretty BIG assumption, even though a decent quantity of MTGOX coins are not held by individuals.
As of November there appear to be 141,846 BTC that are still outstanding.
https://protos.com/who-owns-mtgox-claims-to-billions-of-dollars-in-bitcoin/How many MTGOX coins are held by individuals? 25% of the total? less than 40k BTC? The other 100k-ish coins are held by various holding companies? Maybe? Maybe those holding companies will sell some or all of their coins.. Maybe? maybe not?
When the Mt. Gox thing happened, BTC was many more times speculative than it is now to many of the big holders. Like, in 2015 or let's even go with 2017 and a BTC price of say $16k, perhaps there would have been some value in trying to game the market because of released Mt. Gox coins that could push the price down if many of those who luckily got their BTC stolen and then returned had decided to dump.
But since then so much happened in the meantime in terms of trading volume, infrastructure, education and spread awareness, governments positioning themselves, institutional money flowing in and many, many others aspects.
First of all, I doubt that the majority of people will decide to dump it all. Perhaps they dump a fraction, which already changes the potential number to be dumped significantly.
Secondly, it is not worth it to game the market because the price could go from $45k to $41k or $39k. This would have been different if price and volume would allow for a huge price drop of something like >50%. That is not going to happen.
Thirdly, as always in life when time passes, there is also a consolidation of emotions and the mental state goes back to normal. When these people got hacked and then BTC went to the moon and they would have gotten their BTC back out of a sudden, I am sure a lot of them would have dumped instantly. It would have made sense rationally, mathematically, and emotionally.
The rational and emotional reasons go hand in hand to some degree as there is something called rationalization in psychology, which can in part be derived from an emotional state of mind. But the mathematical reasons have drastically diminished in significance depending on the individual goals of those BTC holders. They have now a history to look back on, derive their own set if risk factors and opportunity cost and give their own estimate as to the upside potential of BTC.
I imagine that some people will open up some short positions, but they always do. However, some of those gamblers opening short positions have literally been squeezed like lemons in the past and people are aware there are some evil whales in the market, who may not like short positions in a moment unknown to the gambler and it is game over.
If anything, I believe some big players will make sure they are liquid enough to absorb some of those coins. Just think about Microstrategy and how they look at such an event.