But a wildcard that I'm expecting is the implosion of Finex.
What the fuck is this? A complete conspiracy? Do you have any evidence at all that this is likely beyond pure speculation that Bitfinex is getting BIG again?
By the way, Bitfinex has to have a bit of confidence in their solvency and even their attempt to run a legitimate business since they had the balls to kick out all of the USA customers, including yours truely. Maybe you are going to assert that I am naive, but if Bitfinex truely wanted to exit scam us, wouldn't they have already done it? They weren't ready to exit scam us, so now they are building up business in order to exit scam us on their own convenient time line?
Come on!!!
[insert jim carey "come on meme" here, with the water spitting part]
"Solvency" sounds funny when their banking relations are top secret (if they still have any), and they rely on that tether thing with funny clauses sounding as the opposite of solvency.
I recommend a couple of articles on medium by @bitfinexed. For me, they actually scammed me when they "got hacked" and monetized the theft (!) after falsely assuring their clients that their wallets were in cold storage (!), so I am out of there since then, but since apparently it's full of people looking to be goxxed twice or more by the same entity they're going on. And given such questionable reputation the fact that they are now the biggest exchange smells to me like some kind of fakery.
BTW it takes no balls at all to kick out US customers. Quite the contrary.