Crucial support has been broken around 3800 USD. The 'back to normal' phase is drawing to an end.
The large move down is about to begin, the one that will confirm the bear market in the coming days and weeks.
We will go down slowly to $1500.
This bear market will last for five months.
Beartrolls hoping to shake some more BTC from weak hands?
I wish it was that easy of an explanation
. Also, I left BTC years ago already.
No, I have been fascinated with Bitcoin for years, and consider the attitude on this forum - especially the permabullism and the constant and ever encompassing rage against criticism - as an interesting social experiment. I have little doubt people will read the history of these boards in years to come, to see how group think can lead to catastrophic results.
Especially the tribalism here (strong hands vs weak hands, bulls vs bears) is so ridiculously narrow minded that it actually gets intriguing at some point.
Out of interest before you were interested in Bitcoin and Bitcoin trading, have you had much prior exposure to trading in any other markets? or visited any other trading/investment forums? PMs? Forex? etc
None: I did pick up some things in the meanwhile. I did some research on trading and everything associated with it, got some books on the shelf here, but in the end it is pseudo-science at best in my view. Sometimes charts might give an important clue, which I think is the case now, but in the long run there is no point in trusting on TA and the like.
While in BTC in the past I started doing some research on credible alternatives in the cryptosphere, with possible real world application, and ended up investing getting out of BTC and investing in XRP back in 2014 (at least around that time). I hindsight that was no poor decision (
) , but those that stayed in Bitcoin in 2014 through 2016 made no poor decision as well. Then again, Bitcoin's problems in my view are nearly exclusively the same ones as in late 2013/early 2014: no real world usecase, very few people using it, high volatility and the entire link with China. I see no realistic scenario of it succeeding in the long run, including my view that Bitcoin as it is cannot function as a store of value. Let alone the extremely important regulatory aspects involved.
The relationship with China will come back to bite Bitcoin, even though lots of people here assumed 'China' was no longer a problem in this game. If the Chinese government indeed starts cracking down on mining farms, the panic here will be
unreal, and the dumps will be even more severe. But even without that, I think Bitcoin has entered a bear market already - with the bubble being ready to pop right now.