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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 16945. (Read 26715118 times)

hero member
Activity: 750
Merit: 601
The only major miner not signalling BIP91 is Bitcoin.com, and thats only 2.1%, with a favourable wind, 39 blocks looks like 6.5 hours to go.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
becomes the majority fork? what does that mean?

Means that a majority of users and miners gravitate to BitcoinCash.

I realize that this is speculative, but I consider it a not-unlikely possibility. What with the massive difference in transaction capacity -- and thereby in utility -- between the chains.
legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1610
Self made HODLER ✓
Quoted for posterity. I really hope your are really, really wrong.

Well obviously I'm hoping I'm wrong too. My net worth increases significantly if Bitcoin goes to the moon.

But I'm skeptical. History has a way of repeating. Over and over again.

Yeah. but if we think history will repeat why not having another big bubble from september to december as in 2013? And then dump to 3 or 4 thousand?

Not that I am betting on it, but I think this Segwit on Bitcoin is way more important than it appears on first instance. Of course we will have dumps on the road but.. from which height? I dont know.
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 2334
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
Now we can be almost sure BIP91 will hit Wink

Right now F2Pool joined and mined first block with BIP91 - yeah !!!!

60 blocks before current lock-in period ends. Still 44 blocks needed for a lock-in.
There are 81.5% BIP91 blocks mined in the current period.
More importantly is the support it would have to drop by in order to still pass. At this point I think my math is 40/56 blocks=.71428. So if 72% of the remaining blocks mine true it will pass (luck willing of course, smuckpool could somehow mine all the remaining blocks no)
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
What do you say about BU? There will be no BU.

There already is BU. But BU is just a client.

There will be BitcoinCash. A larger, stronger, more capable derivative of Bitcoin, generated via hard fork. The primary client for BitcoinCash is BitcoinABC. Or BU - take your pick. Or Classic, XT, ...

...

ooh another altcoin

While strictly true (assuming minority support, which seems likely), I think this will be the first altcoin launched where every Bitcoin holder will on day zero have an equal number of the altcoins.

If in the future BitcoinCash becomes the majority fork (a not unlikely prospect, given the massive transaction capacity advantage), then positions will flip, BitcoinCash will become simply Bitcoin, and cripplecoin will become the alt.

Any way you look at it now, we are all likely to learn something from this.

maybe huntercoin? can't remember

becomes the majority fork? what does that mean? lots of Chinese coffee purchases make it more valuable than bitcoin?

yay to learning, true that.
hero member
Activity: 1035
Merit: 558
Ok, you got nearly 20 % price increase today [insane with such market cap], ...and now, lets move to the dump part  Grin

My date for new ATH is still Dec 23rd, (i won't blink Smiley )
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
Just remember kids, never in Bitcoin's history has there been a double top where the second top went higher than the first.

Because if it went higher, it wouldn't be a double top?  Undecided Huh

So what, you think that after 5 weeks of constant down and this dip to 1830 was the "first selloff" of a much larger, protracted bull run? And that $100B is just sitting on the sidelines waiting for SegWit2X approval so they can come pouring in and run this thing up to $5000+ by EOY?

Really? That would be a nice dream. That's exactly what people thought in 2013 too, after the first crash and bounce back up to ~$980.

I don't really care... I'm hedged with a huge future stash, as well as a good amount of fiat to buy more at the very bottom, so I win either way it goes.

But I'll go on record right now saying that I think $2980 was this year's top. And that by Feb. 2018, I think we'll see around the ~$1600 mark.

No, 2980 having been the top is definitively a scenario that I am taking into account.  

I just thought the terminology was phrased weirdly.  It just seems to me that a double top where the second top goes higher than the first is a contradiction in itself (I can be pedantic at times  Smiley ).
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
What do you say about BU? There will be no BU.

There already is BU. But BU is just a client.

There will be BitcoinCash. A larger, stronger, more capable derivative of Bitcoin, generated via hard fork. The primary client for BitcoinCash is BitcoinABC. Or BU - take your pick. Or Classic, XT, ...

...

ooh another altcoin

While strictly true (assuming minority support, which seems likely), I think this will be the first altcoin launched where every Bitcoin holder will on day zero have an equal number of the altcoins.

If in the future BitcoinCash becomes the majority fork (a not unlikely prospect, given the massive transaction capacity advantage), then positions will flip, BitcoinCash will become simply Bitcoin, and cripplecoin will become the alt.

Any way you look at it now, we are all likely to learn something from this.
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
Quoted for posterity. I really hope your are really, really wrong.

Well obviously I'm hoping I'm wrong too. My net worth increases significantly if Bitcoin goes to the moon.

But I'm skeptical. History has a way of repeating. Over and over again.
legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1610
Self made HODLER ✓
Miners wanted to make it look as if Segwit may not get locked in this period as to accumulate some remaining cheap coins then come back last minute and save the day. This way they are able to obtain cheap coins as well as garner the trust of the community when we face further impasses such as the 2mb HF.

Well done.

So now you're applauding that bitcoin is completely centralized under a mining cartel who rigs the market for their own pump and dump profits?  Anyone who doesn't support changing the PoW after watching them do the exact same segwit BIP manipulation in LTC AND Bitcoin is a complete fool.  Without commodity hardware mining via something like a GPU, there is no reason for bitcoin to exist.

r0ach, if you are so confussed about centralised maniputated markets... what are you still doing in gold/silver one?

It doesn't seem coherent to me.
legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1610
Self made HODLER ✓
Just remember kids, never in Bitcoin's history has there been a double top where the second top went higher than the first.

Because if it went higher, it wouldn't be a double top?  Undecided Huh

So what, you think that after 5 weeks of constant down and this dip to 1830 was the "first selloff" of a much larger, protracted bull run? And that $100B is just sitting on the sidelines waiting for SegWit2X approval so they can come pouring in and run this thing up to $5000+ by EOY?

Really? That would be a nice dream. That's exactly what people thought in 2013 too, after the first crash and bounce back up to ~$980.

I don't really care... I'm hedged with a huge future stash, as well as a good amount of fiat to buy more at the very bottom, so I win either way it goes.

But I'll go on record right now saying that I think $2980 was this year's top. And that by Feb. 2018, I think we'll see around the ~$1600 mark.

Quoted for posterity. I really hope you are really, really wrong. I guess you too.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
I don't expect the price to recover so quickly, but those are the breaks.

Not when the financial news section about bitcoin currently reads:

This grotesque bubble is blowing apart right now

Once R0ach started to up his troll game I knew I was probably going to be wrong. But ye gods, I still don't get it. Impending chain-split shouldn't equal moontrain according to any maths I ever heard of.
Well you were right about the maths, but you were wrong about expecting investors to be right about the maths

I be all like

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
Miners wanted to make it look as if Segwit may not get locked in this period as to accumulate some remaining cheap coins then come back last minute and save the day. This way they are able to obtain cheap coins as well as garner the trust of the community when we face further impasses such as the 2mb HF.

Well done.

So now you're applauding that bitcoin is completely centralized under a mining cartel who rigs the market for their own pump and dump profits?  Anyone who doesn't support changing the PoW after watching them do the exact same segwit BIP manipulation in LTC AND Bitcoin is a complete fool.  Without commodity hardware mining via something like a GPU, there is no reason for bitcoin to exist.
hero member
Activity: 656
Merit: 501
XBY - New Tech Coin (POSIGN) xtrabytes.global
I bet we will go over 3000 before 1st august.... after 1st august we can about 4000$
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
Just remember kids, never in Bitcoin's history has there been a double top where the second top went higher than the first.

Because if it went higher, it wouldn't be a double top?  Undecided Huh

So what, you think that after 5 weeks of constant down and this dip to 1830 was the "first selloff" of a much larger, protracted bull run? And that $100B is just sitting on the sidelines waiting for SegWit2X approval so they can come pouring in and run this thing up to $5000+ by EOY?

Really? That would be a nice dream. That's exactly what people thought in 2013 too, after the first crash and bounce back up to ~$980.

I don't really care... I'm hedged with a huge future stash, as well as a good amount of fiat to buy more at the very bottom, so I win either way it goes.

But I'll go on record right now saying that I think $2980 was this year's top. And that by Feb. 2018, I think we'll see around the ~$1600 mark.
hero member
Activity: 656
Merit: 501
XBY - New Tech Coin (POSIGN) xtrabytes.global
Now we can be almost sure BIP91 will hit Wink

Right now F2Pool joined and mined first block with BIP91 - yeah !!!!

60 blocks before current lock-in period ends. Still 44 blocks needed for a lock-in.
There are 81.5% BIP91 blocks mined in the current period.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10

Litecoin went down in value after segwit passed and has never gone up in price relative to btc since. They are passing the rise in bitcoin value off as a rise in litecoin value whereas in reality it hit .02 and got punched in the nose.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
What do you say about BU? There will be no BU.

There already is BU. But BU is just a client.

There will be BitcoinCash. A larger, stronger, more capable derivative of Bitcoin, generated via hard fork. The primary client for BitcoinCash is BitcoinABC. Or BU - take your pick. Or Classic, XT, ...

...

ooh another altcoin

let's hope they have a forum for the likes of you
member
Activity: 151
Merit: 10
I don't expect the price to recover so quickly, but those are the breaks.

Not when the financial news section about bitcoin currently reads:

This grotesque bubble is blowing apart right now

Once R0ach started to up his troll game I knew I was probably going to be wrong. But ye gods, I still don't get it. Impending chain-split shouldn't equal moontrain according to any maths I ever heard of.
Well you were right about the maths, but you were wrong about expecting investors to be right about the maths
jr. member
Activity: 38
Merit: 1
only 15 to 25 have made there  guess on when we brake another ATH             ATH  ATH   ATH   GAME   !!!!

and get paid by me for the one guesses most closly ( 0.25BTC ) as another ( 0.25 BTC) for giving the best explanation why the raise at that time

anybody more wants to take a guess feel free to take a date

( for the ones that don't trust me to pay still just waiting for a trusty member to react on this and be confirmt by 2 other trusted members and i deposit the amount with them ......)

ONLY GOOD INTENTIONS

 Wink Wink Wink Wink

I predict ATH on Aug 28th
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