Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 17756. (Read 26608317 times)

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1031
So I'm quite staggered at the lack of panic selling. Ok, we had a $100 drop, which wasn't great, but why isn't it more?
It suggests that there are plenty of Chinese speculators who are 1) Happy to pick up BTC and LTC and let them sit on an exchange for a MONTH before they pull them out, or 2) Who are hoping for a short-term bounce before they cash out, or 3) Who are terrified of withdrawing as fiat due to AML regs.
2) Doesn't ring true for me as I wouldn't expect enough people to support price here, and it's a very risky game.
Anyone have any insights?
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Bear with me
Bottom should be 950$ and 900€ approximately.

No disaster indeed. Bottom is holding. Screw the manipulators and bankers.
legendary
Activity: 3431
Merit: 1233
It's 8:00am in Beijing, lets see what happens.

It's $989 on stamp and $988 on finex. The Chinese had a chance to dump before they went to bed. After a night's sleep they might start buying back now they can see it hasn't crashed as far as expected.
It has got to go up to $1000 by 10am their time.
If it doesn't you know something is up and there is dumps to be had through out the day at a feverish rate.
By the time the West wakes up it will be a disaster.
Do not sleep tonight and watch the disaster happen live. Cool

What disaster? PBOC influence on bitcoin is diminishing every day now. PBOC measures imposed on Chinese bitcoin exchanges are more drastic but price is less impressed with every intervention. PBOC are rapidly depleting their anti-bitcoin ammo. They must be veeeeeeeery careful in regard to bitcoin or they'll be the first central bank bankrupted by bitcoin!
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread
China is awake for hours, but where's the tragic dump?



legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1280
May Bitcoin be touched by his Noodly Appendage
China is awake for hours, but where's the tragic dump?

hero member
Activity: 564
Merit: 508
It's about time for another healthy dive imho.
First target in the high 800s.


EDIT: 970->950$ already, watch out for breakdown of critical 930-935$ area.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
At time of writing is 7.18 am in the UK, 2.18 am in New York and 3.18 in Bejiing and I see no explosions. Lawyers and co. must be having a nap or this is just another small dump that will eventually be eaten by the Masterplan  Wink
hero member
Activity: 609
Merit: 500
The "China Syndrome" doesn't seem to have the same effect anymore. At least lately. There is steady demand for it BTC and the supply was cut in half.

And the Alt coin markets have faired well through the recent rise and now this fall.... green candles on most of the major Alts  Grin For me, Alts are a reflection of where BTC is.

I think BTC price is stable and will rise as are the Alts. I know typically Alts will rise when BTC falls and visa versa.... but no real changes in the Alt markets other than steady and up  Smiley

Yeah, first PBOC's ban happened in 2013, and the price crashed from 8000 CNY to 900 CNY. The second ban happened one month ago, the price crashed from 8888 CNY to 4900 CNY. The third ban is this time, from 7500 CNY to 6300 CNY. We are almost immune to China ban. We will overcome it eventually, in the future, the price won't crash a lot if the 4th ban again.  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
I dont think the market really cares about china...speculators use the china news as a good excuse to dump and try and buy back lower. but at the end of the day, once the news is over price floats back up.

I sold a few when i heard that PBOC was making bitcoin leveraged trading illegal, i thought this would have a profound impact on BTC demand and price would drop, and then price just kept rising...  then volume in china went down by like 80% as they added fees, still price kept going up! probably because, the "chain bans bitcoin" news had already served it purpose, the fact that BTC demand went down in china had no impact cuz no one actually cares about that, all they care about is making sure price is low while the scary headlines are flying around.

so, i think market is (rightfully so) saying price is low and will go higher, REGARDLESS if china bans bitcoin or not, but it would be a shame not to grab cheap coins while there is scary FUD.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
Next step would obv be to close a small exchange. Then, after several smaller ones, proceed with the bigger ones.

Then go after the miners. Then go after every retailer that accepts BTC.

It seems to me that the PBOC isn't going after Bitcoin. They're simply trying to prevent the outflow of capital from their country.

If you are serious about preventing it, you don't allow citizens to export 50k usd per year... especially in a country with >1bn citizens Cool Or you don't allow the buying of gold with unlimited quantities of CNY (which is like converting your local currency into an international asset and leaving the central bank of china to deal with gold imports and usd outflows)

I think the currency issue is exaggerated by sites like zerohedge. Meaning that even if CNY goes down, then chinese stuff become cheaper, exports increase (a lot) and there is a growing volume of USD inflows due to increased exports which then reinforces the balance of CNY/USD. There's a natural equilibrium in situations involving flows of capital, currency values and trade balances - and as long as you are a serious net exporter (China is), it's unlikely that many things can affect you.

The only argument I've seen about how China's reserves of 2-3 trillion usd are somehow "inadequate" is that they are only a small fraction of the local currency. Lol? Supposedly this is somehow "scary" if all Chinese wanted to convert their CNYs into USDs and the USDs run out.

Yet, this can only happen through some kind of international media campaign to undermine the CNY through FUD. And there is such an ongoing campaign both in mainstream and alternative western media. Even bitcoin-related news use false narratives (like "people are using BTC to bypass capital controls) regarding the CNY weaknesses etc etc, to artificially create runs to foreign currencies. Of course, if these gain traction, they become self-fulfilling prophecies. It's like bank runs. When people hear the X bank is unsafe, even if it isn't, they might move their money. And then when sufficient momentum accumulates by people moving their money, the bank actually becomes problematic and then the news stories are "vindicated" for reporting it early.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
When the price reaches the old ATH again POBC will regulate the other exchanges and the price starts tanking again..

Small steps until they regulated all exchanges, then i hope the west takes over.
I've said it before in here, that I really am suspicious of everything we read and hear regarding the PBOC. China and its people are excellent manipulators of currency, and I don't believe Bitcoin will be any exception. There almost seems to be a pattern with their little episodes regarding the exchanges and the banks..... and these out of the blue announcements..... hmmmm  Huh

But BTC is to resilient nowadays  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3512
Merit: 4557
When the price reaches the old ATH again POBC will regulate the other exchanges and the price starts tanking again..

Small steps until they regulated all exchanges, then i hope the west takes over.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
The "China Syndrome" doesn't seem to have the same effect anymore. At least lately. There is steady demand for it BTC and the supply was cut in half.

And the Alt coin markets have faired well through the recent rise and now this fall.... green candles on most of the major Alts  Grin For me, Alts are a reflection of where BTC is.

I think BTC price is stable and will rise as are the Alts. I know typically Alts will rise when BTC falls and visa versa.... but no real changes in the Alt markets other than steady and up  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
The drop to 970 was the first I noticed.... Despite feeling deflated, I decided to NOT read this thread as part of me thought we'd drop to the 700s and didn't want to exacerbate my pain with Doooooomsayers!!!. I woke up to see we're still there. I haven't sold any I have no plans to. I'm a bit gutted I didn't buy a holiday with Bitcoin yesterday (which is still a plan... but now the holiday is more expensive).

Bitcoin exists to prevent the very problem that we are experiencing now: Someone else telling you what you can and can't do with your money! In reality this should be driving th price up. Not down!

True. We should be above 1030 within 5 days.

There was serious demand building and chinese aint the only ones buying.

Market seems to be on hold to see how serious the news really was
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 146
The drop to 970 was the first I noticed.... Despite feeling deflated, I decided to NOT read this thread as part of me thought we'd drop to the 700s and didn't want to exacerbate my pain with Doooooomsayers!!!. I woke up to see we're still there. I haven't sold any I have no plans to. I'm a bit gutted I didn't buy a holiday with Bitcoin yesterday (which is still a plan... but now the holiday is more expensive).

Bitcoin exists to prevent the very problem that we are experiencing now: Someone else telling you what you can and can't do with your money! In reality this should be driving th price up. Not down!
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
What is a "reasonable" price for an ATM in your neck of the woods?   I know that you posted about this before, but would you consider less than 5% as "reasonable" or some other threshold?

Anything at 5% or less is quite reasonable, especially if is totally anonymous. Even 7% is acceptable for me if it's close and anonymous.

By "ridiculously overpriced" I'm talking about double digits. One 24-hour place wants 13% to buy and 15% to sell. Ridiculous.

Cheap is the 1% offered by Deloitte, but they have a $100 daily limit and require ID. They're also a little off my beaten path. Travel time and expense are a consideration.


Thanks for that.  It is nice to hear about actual experiences of folks in regards to ATMs, especially since I don't actually use those ATM services.

Regarding the "Deloitte" ATM, yes that seems to be quite a low daily limit and then to require an ID.. so yeah if it is a bit out of your way, it might not be worth the time, and I imagine that if they require some kind of ID, then you have to input that ID, every time that you use their machine - since they are not likely issuing you some kind of membership or a frequent flyers card or anything like that.
legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1247
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
It is officially 10:00 am in China so has the bitcoin price exploded yet?

$970.45 showing on blockchain.info -2.95%
Bitstamp
CurrencyUSD – United States dollar
Coinbase   —   —   —
Bitfinex   970.02      -2.38%
Bitstamp   970.46      -2.95%
BTC-e   950.00      -4.46%
LocalBitcoins   1246.91      -0.72%
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
EtherSphere - Social Games
It's 8:00am in Beijing, lets see what happens.

It's $989 on stamp and $988 on finex. The Chinese had a chance to dump before they went to bed. After a night's sleep they might start buying back now they can see it hasn't crashed as far as expected.
It has got to go up to $1000 by 10am their time.
If it doesn't you know something is up and there is dumps to be had through out the day at a feverish rate.
By the time the West wakes up it will be a disaster.
Do not sleep tonight and watch the disaster happen live. Cool
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 552
Dead cat bouncers were invented for those who got caught up in the hype Grin No excuses to not bail out now.
Obviously "TeeBone" just dropped his stake...  Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 502
Merit: 251
Dead cat bouncers were invented for those who got caught up in the hype Grin No excuses to not bail out now.
Jump to: