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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 19054. (Read 26609709 times)

legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
JayJuanGee you're a small blocker?  Shocked

That alone should settle the matter.

LOL

There is no such thing as spam if a transaction fee is paid -  just transactions you don't like. I thought bitcoin was about censorship resistance?


Yeah, but currently everything is getting on the blockchain whether there is a fee or not.  The ones without fees are just taking longer to confirm.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
The main argument among those who reject a block-size increase is that Bitcoin would centralize even faster because the costs are rising of running a full node. This would make Bitcoin insecure.

This is wrong! Adding 1000 nodes randomly around the world would not increase Bitcoin’s security.


https://medium.com/@yanislav/decentralize-bitcoin-again-bigger-blocks-and-a-new-dynamic-pow-199a68dbf34a#.2id1xrch3

Lol?

The problem is that this is not an "argument by those who reject a block-size increase". It's simply the reality of the matter, whether it's BTC or ...Ethereum.

Quote
https://github.com/ethereum/wiki/wiki/White-Paper

Scalability

One common concern about Ethereum is the issue of scalability. Like Bitcoin, Ethereum suffers from the flaw that every transaction needs to be processed by every node in the network. With Bitcoin, the size of the current blockchain rests at about 15 GB, growing by about 1 MB per hour. If the Bitcoin network were to process Visa's 2000 transactions per second, it would grow by 1 MB per three seconds (1 GB per hour, 8 TB per year). Ethereum is likely to suffer a similar growth pattern, worsened by the fact that there will be many applications on top of the Ethereum blockchain instead of just a currency as is the case with Bitcoin, but ameliorated by the fact that Ethereum full nodes need to store just the state instead of the entire blockchain history.

The problem with such a large blockchain size is centralization risk. If the blockchain size increases to, say, 100 TB, then the likely scenario would be that only a very small number of large businesses would run full nodes, with all regular users using light SPV nodes. In such a situation, there arises the potential concern that the full nodes could band together and all agree to cheat in some profitable fashion (eg. change the block reward, give themselves BTC). Light nodes would have no way of detecting this immediately. Of course, at least one honest full node would likely exist, and after a few hours information about the fraud would trickle out through channels like Reddit, but at that point it would be too late: it would be up to the ordinary users to organize an effort to blacklist the given blocks, a massive and likely infeasible coordination problem on a similar scale as that of pulling off a successful 51% attack.

Again, this is from ...Ethereum, not BTC. So if Ethereum seriously considers centralization as a problem, and most if not all altcoins do too, then how is this relevant only for "btc smallblockers"?

We're at 15GB. I think I heard the Ethereum blockchain is at 10GB already. And nobody actually uses it for anything yet. I say good luck to 'em.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
JayJuanGee you're a small blocker?  Shocked


I'm o.k. with the current plan to implement seg wit first and to reassess the blocksize limit situation after seg wit is in play for a while.

I doubt anyone is suggesting small blocks forever, but at the moment there doesn't seem to be sufficient evidence of an emergency need to take some kind of drastic measures to increase the blocksize limit on an emergency basis..  and in that regard, the impression and/or creation of an emergency seems to be largely fabricated with a bunch of loud and whiny voices.

Seems like we are going to see how seg wit plays out and then be able to reassess the blocksize limit situation at that time.


Further I believe that there is no meaningful proposal on the table to merely increase the blocksize limit without also attempting to affect bitcoin governance, which demonstrates to me that proposals that have recently been on the table to immediately increase the blocksize limit appear to be largely disingenuous.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1014
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
Again, this is from ...Ethereum, not BTC. So if Ethereum seriously considers centralization as a problem, and most if not all altcoins do too, then how is this relevant only for "btc smallblockers"?

To quote Egon Olsen : "There's a difference between shaving and cutting your head off."
member
Activity: 117
Merit: 10
AlexGR, do you allow for the possibility that maybe small blocks isn't a good idea?

Timing is crucial.

Even 1TB per year blocks (20mb/block) will have its time when 20mb/block will be "alright".

Upgrade too soon, you'll have 10gb txs and 990gb spam.

Upgrade on time, you'll get 800-950gb txs and 50-200gb spam.

You really think miners are complete idiots, then. Chomping at the bit to bloat blocks to infinity with free spam...

~Come with me, reader, into the mind of the economic central planner... where "capitalism" is one broken production quota away from abject devastation and horror.~
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
JayJuanGee you're a small blocker?  Shocked

That alone should settle the matter.

LOL

There is no such thing as spam if a transaction fee is paid -  just transactions you don't like. I thought bitcoin was about censorship resistance?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
AlexGR, do you allow for the possibility that maybe small blocks isn't a good idea?

Timing is crucial.

Even 1TB per year blocks (20mb/block) will have its time when 20mb/block will be "alright".

Upgrade too soon, you'll have 10gb txs and 990gb spam.

Upgrade on time, you'll get 800-950gb txs and 50-200gb spam.

you place way too much weight on spam. think of spam as a placeholder for legit TX, we welcome the placeholder because it pays some miner fees
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
The main argument among those who reject a block-size increase is that Bitcoin would centralize even faster because the costs are rising of running a full node. This would make Bitcoin insecure.

This is wrong! Adding 1000 nodes randomly around the world would not increase Bitcoin’s security.


https://medium.com/@yanislav/decentralize-bitcoin-again-bigger-blocks-and-a-new-dynamic-pow-199a68dbf34a#.2id1xrch3

Lol?

The problem is that this is not an "argument by those who reject a block-size increase". It's simply the reality of the matter, whether it's BTC or ...Ethereum.

Quote
https://github.com/ethereum/wiki/wiki/White-Paper

Scalability

One common concern about Ethereum is the issue of scalability. Like Bitcoin, Ethereum suffers from the flaw that every transaction needs to be processed by every node in the network. With Bitcoin, the size of the current blockchain rests at about 15 GB, growing by about 1 MB per hour. If the Bitcoin network were to process Visa's 2000 transactions per second, it would grow by 1 MB per three seconds (1 GB per hour, 8 TB per year). Ethereum is likely to suffer a similar growth pattern, worsened by the fact that there will be many applications on top of the Ethereum blockchain instead of just a currency as is the case with Bitcoin, but ameliorated by the fact that Ethereum full nodes need to store just the state instead of the entire blockchain history.

The problem with such a large blockchain size is centralization risk. If the blockchain size increases to, say, 100 TB, then the likely scenario would be that only a very small number of large businesses would run full nodes, with all regular users using light SPV nodes. In such a situation, there arises the potential concern that the full nodes could band together and all agree to cheat in some profitable fashion (eg. change the block reward, give themselves BTC). Light nodes would have no way of detecting this immediately. Of course, at least one honest full node would likely exist, and after a few hours information about the fraud would trickle out through channels like Reddit, but at that point it would be too late: it would be up to the ordinary users to organize an effort to blacklist the given blocks, a massive and likely infeasible coordination problem on a similar scale as that of pulling off a successful 51% attack.

Again, this is from ...Ethereum, not BTC. So if Ethereum seriously considers centralization as a problem, and most if not all altcoins do too, then how is this relevant only for "btc smallblockers"?

define "centralization"
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1014
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
JayJuanGee you're a small blocker?  Shocked

That alone should settle the matter.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
AlexGR, do you allow for the possibility that maybe small blocks isn't a good idea?

Timing is crucial.

Even 1TB per year blocks (20mb/block) will have its time when 20mb/block will be "alright".

Upgrade too soon, you'll have 10gb txs and 990gb spam.

Upgrade on time, you'll get 800-950gb txs and 50-200gb spam.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
The main argument among those who reject a block-size increase is that Bitcoin would centralize even faster because the costs are rising of running a full node. This would make Bitcoin insecure.

This is wrong! Adding 1000 nodes randomly around the world would not increase Bitcoin’s security.


https://medium.com/@yanislav/decentralize-bitcoin-again-bigger-blocks-and-a-new-dynamic-pow-199a68dbf34a#.2id1xrch3

Lol?

The problem is that this is not an "argument by those who reject a block-size increase". It's simply the reality of the matter, whether it's BTC or ...Ethereum.

Quote
https://github.com/ethereum/wiki/wiki/White-Paper

Scalability

One common concern about Ethereum is the issue of scalability. Like Bitcoin, Ethereum suffers from the flaw that every transaction needs to be processed by every node in the network. With Bitcoin, the size of the current blockchain rests at about 15 GB, growing by about 1 MB per hour. If the Bitcoin network were to process Visa's 2000 transactions per second, it would grow by 1 MB per three seconds (1 GB per hour, 8 TB per year). Ethereum is likely to suffer a similar growth pattern, worsened by the fact that there will be many applications on top of the Ethereum blockchain instead of just a currency as is the case with Bitcoin, but ameliorated by the fact that Ethereum full nodes need to store just the state instead of the entire blockchain history.

The problem with such a large blockchain size is centralization risk. If the blockchain size increases to, say, 100 TB, then the likely scenario would be that only a very small number of large businesses would run full nodes, with all regular users using light SPV nodes. In such a situation, there arises the potential concern that the full nodes could band together and all agree to cheat in some profitable fashion (eg. change the block reward, give themselves BTC). Light nodes would have no way of detecting this immediately. Of course, at least one honest full node would likely exist, and after a few hours information about the fraud would trickle out through channels like Reddit, but at that point it would be too late: it would be up to the ordinary users to organize an effort to blacklist the given blocks, a massive and likely infeasible coordination problem on a similar scale as that of pulling off a successful 51% attack.

Again, this is from ...Ethereum, not BTC. So if Ethereum seriously considers centralization as a problem, and most if not all altcoins do too, then how is this relevant only for "btc smallblockers"?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
JayJuanGee you're a small blocker?  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

I will take it on faith that those graphs are factually accurate.


That goes for the graphs of blockchain.info as well. Luckily, all data is public, so everyone can check it if he wants.




A large majority of people already accept that Blockchain.info produces factually accurate information, so it seems to make little to no sense to me that you would be attempting to suggest that blockchain.info may either not be credible or that it is somehow similar in stature to some other random source.  

 I am giving you the benefit of the doubt regarding the source of the information that you provided, yet if you are making a lot of arguments or if you are trying to spin the information, then those kinds of efforts may cause me (or others to question the credibility of the source(s)).  

Accordingly, if you have some question about some of the information provided by blockchain.info or you want to suggest such information representations of blockchain.info is merely just the same as any other random source, then the burden is on you to provide evidence and logic to support such an allegation if that is what you want to do.



Quote
they still don't demonstrate some kind of emergency state, and even though a bit more granular than blockchain.info, they are not really showing anything that should cause panic. 

Suppose a bus company starts running a service in 2010. At first, you'd only see one or two people in the bus. As the bus service becomes more known, more people travel on the bus. Nowadays, busses are often completely occupied. It's common that people are left at the bus stops having to wait for the next one, esp. if they bought the cheapest tickets.

You can see that this happens more and more often. However, anyone who bought the most expensive ticket always manages to get on the next bus. Nevertheless, it happens more and more often that more and more people with the cheap tickets have to skip buses.

Yet, you say there's no reason for panic. You don't expect that the demand for the bus service will keep growing.



Your analogy of a bus seems somewhat forced, and the subsequent post of AlexGR seems to adequately, reasonably and effectively respond to various deficiencies of your bus analogy.  https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14164904



Quote
I do wish that blockchain.info would come out with some more granular charts to maybe break down by hourly or even shorter periods and to be able to zoom in or out in order to better see if there are some rush hour periods..

What's so special about blockchain.info, I wonder.


I could give a shit about the source, except to the extent that it is credible.  Blockchain.info is a credible source, unless you somehow show otherwise.  Furthermore, as I already addressed this earlier, if you are throwing around various random sources to prove your point, then I will likely begin to wonder why you cannot find your arguments within already accepted and credible sources.  




Quote
and maybe even if there are ways to show charts that separate spam and legit transactions 

I can imagine that a flood of tx without fee can be considered spam. But nowadays, only mining pools use zero fee tx to payout their miners. There are hardly any zero fee tx issued otherwise. (800 in the past 24 hours, source: https://bitcoinfees.21.co/ ) But if a tx carries a fee, how to decide if it's spam or not? What is your definition of spam?

I have no fucking clue about various technicalities.... I am of the understanding that there are a lot of transactions that are being sent to the blockchain to make it seem to be more full than it is in order to attempt to whine about some kind of blockchain crisis.  AlexGR addressed some of this in his post, too when he discusses how inexpensive it is to fill up the blocks with nonsense.  


 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14164904


So if the intent of the transactions is to fill up the block rather than to either transmit value or to legitimately record some information, then it is likely spam.... Again, I have no real knowledge regarding analyzing this stuff, so I see that there are other more technical and trusted people describing some of the bullshit that is sent that seems to be for the purpose of merely just attempting to fill up the blocks or to create the appearance of full blocks.




Quote
I get the sense that seg wit filters out spam too, so maybe we are going to witness some better representations of what's going on once seg wit is live?.

How does SW filters spam? How does it decide which tx is spam and which is not?



I don't really know on a technical level, and so I rely on some of the descriptions regarding what it is supposed to do. My understanding is that it separates transaction involving fees from other non-fee information.  Accordingly, we are likely going to see how it plays out, but it seems to incorporate a lot of good solutions that may address some of the spamming matters.







Quote
Anyhow, there is work on seg wit at the moment and a plan to begin with that (coming soon) and then to give further consideration to whether an additional physical block size limitation needs to be incorporated as well.. so I really am still having difficulties grappling with some of the panick.   

How many people need to wait for how many next buses until you panic? Or don't you care about others, as long as you can afford your bus ticket?


Why does it matter what I think?  If you think it is a crises, then go on crying about it.  I already said that I think that there are sufficient plans to attempt various remedies that are in the pipeline, including seg wit... and I never said that the blocksize never needs to be increased, as you seem to be attempting to attribute to me.


In other words: how many tx do you think Bitcoin should be able to process today, in 3 months, in 6 months, and in one year's time?


getting repetitive.  I think that there are expansion plans in place... good enough for me for the moment....


Fact: the number if tx per day is close to the limit of 250,000. We recently touched that twice. (sources: https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions?timespan=2year&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address= , http://www.coindesk.com/data/bitcoin-daily-transactions/ )

We crossed the 20,000 tx/day in June 2012
We crossed the 50,000 tx/day in August 2013
We crossed the 100,000 tx/day in March 2015
We crossed the 200,000 tx/day in January 2016

And the hard limit is a little over 250,000...

So, do you think 250,000 tx/day is sufficient for Bitcoin to be successful? Do you think 400,000 tx/day is sufficient by the end of this year, when SW is rolled out and most other software is updated to take advantage of it? Do you think 400,000 tx/day will be enough until LN comes into existence?



Again, it doesn't really matter that much what I think.  

But it seems that AlexGR addressed this matter too.

 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14164904

In essence, there may be some peaks of 250k transactions per day, but likely not even really close to that in regards to legitimate transactions  and there remain adequate expansion plans already in the works and likely many more to come.. so why fret about something that is still in the works and not at an emergency state yet?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
AlexGR, do you allow for the possibility that maybe small blocks isn't a good idea?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
Core's vision make no sense

they want to make bitcoin full nodes be able to run by anyone
but they want the use of bitcoin to be limited to elite central bankers types

i dont get it.

They lack economic vision entirely. They preach about decentralisation, whilst openly trying to convert bitcoin from p2p cash to a settlement layer. Why would people continue to run nodes for an ultra expensive high value settlement network which processes very few transactions? There is no incentive to do so.

Plus economically why are new users going to be attracted to bitcoin with finite transaction capacity and rising transaction fees above alternative chains and payment networks? Bitcoin is amazing because it combines all the best properties of cash with gold. They want it to just be gold and there is a reason that is no longer used by the common man.


Very well said.

What will happen if bitcoin is "just gold"? Well, simple: with high tx fees (friction), it will make sense to use "money surrogates". Enter fractional reserve banking. This is why I think smallblocks is not "developer vision" but "establishment attack".

member
Activity: 117
Merit: 10
So the definition of spam is something that is bought cheap?

The point is that it doesn't matter if it's free or paid, if what you pay is near-zero cost. It definitely cannot be a factor of ruling out spam if the fees are too cheap and aren't an adequate deterrent.

And even "adequate deterrent" is wrong, as a term, because a script kiddie might not afford a good spam attack but a deep-pocketed adversary may not be deterred by the costs, because by attacking in this fashion he is getting side-benefits by harming BTC.

Perhaps, we could run a quantum experiment and determine if human consciousness could limit the number of transactions being processed by the network.

Everyone... now, please, close your eyes and imagine spam transactions going away... imagine strings of 128kB blocks... your rasb pi gently processing all the most important financial settlement contracts in the world... Imagine a world, without competition, where people will pay more and more just to use our holy ledger, investors lining up to buy a piece of a network that has already had its best years of growth. Together, we can do this.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1014
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
They preach about decentralisation, whilst openly trying to convert bitcoin from p2p cash to a settlement layer. Why would people continue to run nodes for an ultra expensive high value settlement network which processes very few transactions? There is no incentive to do so.

Hear, hear
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
Core's vision make no sense

they want to make bitcoin full nodes be able to run by anyone
but they want the use of bitcoin to be limited to elite central bankers types

i dont get it.

They lack economic vision entirely. They preach about decentralisation, whilst openly trying to convert bitcoin from p2p cash to a settlement layer. Why would people continue to run nodes for an ultra expensive high value settlement network which processes very few transactions? There is no incentive to do so.

Plus economically why are new users going to be attracted to bitcoin with finite transaction capacity and rising transaction fees above alternative chains and payment networks? Bitcoin is amazing because it combines all the best properties of cash with gold. They want it to just be gold and there is a reason that is no longer used by the common man.
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