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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 19103. (Read 26608322 times)

sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.

You might be missing the point.
It's not that the fees are high, but that they'd have to be ~$6.00 per tx, at current exchange rate and current block size limit, for Bitcoin to stop relying on subsidies (block reward). $6 per transaction, with BTC exchange rate @ $400, is too damn high.

To replace subsidy you'd need 100MB blocks, assuming that there is 100x demand, and that the quality of this demand is on par with our current top-tier urgent txs that are paying 0.06$ per tx.

The problem is that 100MB blocks don't work. And it's not "Core's fault". And it's not like Gavin Andersen or Classic can make them work either. This type of size will eventually work as software and hardware technology evolves.

You might have accidentally missed the emboldened bit, so I'll repost:
... And if Core is so eager for the fees market to develop, WTF are they working on Segwit (which will, purportedly, increase the number of tx per solved block)?
Will miners start excluding "spam" transactions once segwit is implemented? If so, why?


>To replace subsidy you'd need 100MB blocks
And Core is addressing this ...how?

>The problem is that 100MB blocks don't work.
They wouldn't work today. By the time Bitcoin's block rewards have ended, it should be trivial. No?
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.

You might be missing the point.
It's not that the fees are high, but that they'd have to be ~$6.00 per tx, at current exchange rate and current block size limit, for Bitcoin to stop relying on subsidies (block reward). $6 per transaction, with BTC exchange rate @ $400, is too damn high.

To replace subsidy you'd need 100MB blocks, assuming that there is 100x demand, and that the quality of this demand is on par with our current top-tier urgent txs that are paying 0.06$ per tx.

The problem is that 100MB blocks don't work. And it's not "Core's fault". And it's not like Gavin Andersen or Classic can make them work either. This type of size will eventually work as software and hardware technology evolves.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Look, the whole complaint about the spam thing is retarded. The moment we start deciding what is considered a "legit" transaction and enforcing it we no longer have a decentralized network. Any transaction that the miners are willing to spend electricity on is as good as any other, or the whole experiment is a failure.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
Anyone buying bitcoins at 400$+ is irresponsibile and deserves to lose their money.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.

You might be missing the point.
It's not that the fees are high, but that they'd have to be ~$6.00 per tx, at current exchange rate and current block size limit, for Bitcoin to stop relying on subsidies (block reward). $6 per transaction, with BTC exchange rate @ $400, is too damn high.

And if Core is so eager for the fees market to develop, WTF are they working on Segwit (which will, purportedly, increase the number of tx per solved block)?
Will miners start excluding "spam" transactions once segwit is implemented? If so, why?
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.


3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little

It's all relative depending the actual use.
If they are too little, how come the demand for these 3tx/s be so low as to pay only 1-2 cents and/or have issues like wasting these transactions in spamming, moving dust, having gambling micro-txs etc....

Actual demand is lower than these 3tx/s, and the rest (up to the limit) is filled with near-zero-paying crap. That's why there is no serious impact on the fee market. That's why dust continues to move. That's why spammers continue to spam and move coins from here to there to here to there, in a loop, just because they can spam the network and do so at a near zero cost.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
Cconvert2G36, disregard. When I'm wrong I'm wrong.





The mods are counting words. Fewer than X words = spam. If you wish for your post to be considered !spam, add moar words.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.


3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little, 3tx/s are too little
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3431
Merit: 1233
In a worst case, let’s say that 50% of hashing power turns off at the block halving because it is no longer profitable for those miners. This would mean that we start getting blocks mined every 20 minutes on average instead of 10 minutes. But blocks are already 70% full today. If the average confirmation time goes to 20 minutes, it means that we will be at 140% of capacity on every block, and start accumulating a backlog."
This is why tx fees should go up. It is so simple. This crackhead doesn't understand what he is talking about.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.

Criticism varies.

"Ohhh my tx didn't go in with 1c", "bitcoin is unreliable because fees fluctuate", "I don't want a fee market because it excludes the poor", "3tx/s are too little", "fuck the 1mb central planners" etc etc.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
...
I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" ...

Not sure where you're getting this. Most are fine with having a "fee market." It's creating demand by imposing production quotas (1MB cap) that most don't want.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
The truth hurts.

Not really fatal tho, unless you rush into the arms of your captors, repeatedly. Bitcoin crippled, Monero UP!

Monero has an adaptive blocksize, so now you know.  Wink

The adaptive blocksize in itself is a security weakness without substantial fees. A spammer can easily make the system "adapt" to his ever increasing demands to spam it for near-zero cost and destroy it. Plus network propagation and block validation has a certain time required, you cannot go to infinity just because someone is spamming it.

So, when the time came for such a spam scenario, "central intervention" by the devs happened and they raised the fees quite higher to make every tx much more expensive.

So the solution for Monero, wasn't the adaptive blocksize (it was broken unto itself, if you expected the "market" or the "miners" to determine the fees) => but the centrally imposed fees.

Likewise Bitcoin could have 4mb blocks tomorrow morning, if, say, every tx was bumped to something like 10 cents minimum. This, by itself, would probably have us at <500kb block use right away by eliminating dust & spam, with an 8x expansion space up to 4mb.

Don't worry, I'm not buyin' castle fun bux. Just filthy foldin' money for me these last few months.

I'm not worried. Just pointing out the obvious pattern:

"Oh I can't tolerate BTC that has a fee market, it's unacceptable if fees go up, the solution to spam can't be to make txs more expensive" => "let's buy some altcoin which does exactly that and claim we are diversifying from the 'dangers' of BTC"... lol?

Why is it unacceptable for BTC to have high fees and for altcoins to have high fees to combat spam?
Why is it more acceptable if altcoins do that by "central planning" while bitcoin's fees are actually determined by the market itself - depending the load on any given moment?
How can "adaptive blocksize" be considered a better solution when it can't work without central planning on fees? It failed monero, so why is it touted as a better solution?

We can be throwing shit all day to BTC, but to change the negatives and spin them to positives and vice versa is just propaganda.
legendary
Activity: 981
Merit: 1005
No maps for these territories
Im looking exactly at 3 unmentionable coins that are goin to receive the 10% of my stash. What are you thinking rite now?

Which ones?

Maid, monero and eth. I transfered 10% of my holdings to polo, but finally I decided to wait for retracements. Wrong, today all them are between +10 and +24%

I keep some moneros from 2014, thought
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"



Yeah....my powers on such only work with Women. ..... I speak ....they retreat..... Every single time. Sad

(then again the lack of a life is why I got into BTC..so hey.....if BTC ever gets back to $1000 usd a coin...I'm pretty sure for some

'unexplained' reason...I'd get a LOT more attractive. Go figure? Huh?


I think so, too.    Guys will certainly become much more attractive and interesting to the chiquitas with bitcoins at $1,000; however, I am thinking that the next bitcoin bubble, once we get there, is going to shoot into the $3k to $5k territory.... It's just a matter of when, and if we will all still be alive by then and still able to provide peanut services to each of the chiquitas who become more interested in us (for our various "qualities").
tyz
legendary
Activity: 3360
Merit: 1533
Thanks, really interesting insights. What me makes a little bit worried are these stages of his blog post.

"The next block reward halving is coming up in July. Let’s say that miners on average are able to mine a coin for $250 (I don’t know the exact number, so this is a guess). After the halving in July their cost to mine a coin will double to $500. If the bitcoin price stays around $425, it will be unprofitable for a number of miners to continue mining.
The implication of this is that we could see a reduction of hashing power on the network at the July halving date. Perhaps in the range of 10–50% (I don’t have a good way to estimate this, if anyone does please post it).
In a worst case, let’s say that 50% of hashing power turns off at the block halving because it is no longer profitable for those miners. This would mean that we start getting blocks mined every 20 minutes on average instead of 10 minutes. But blocks are already 70% full today. If the average confirmation time goes to 20 minutes, it means that we will be at 140% of capacity on every block, and start accumulating a backlog."


legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
The truth hurts.

Not really fatal tho, unless you rush into the arms of your captors, repeatedly. Bitcoin crippled, Monero UP!

Monero has an adaptive blocksize, so now you know.  Wink

The adaptive blocksize in itself is a security weakness without substantial fees. A spammer can easily make the system "adapt" to his ever increasing demands to spam it for near-zero cost and destroy it. Plus network propagation and block validation has a certain time required, you cannot go to infinity just because someone is spamming it.

So, when the time came for such a spam scenario, "central intervention" by the devs happened and they raised the fees quite higher to make every tx much more expensive.

So the solution for Monero, wasn't the adaptive blocksize (it was broken unto itself, if you expected the "market" or the "miners" to determine the fees) => but the centrally imposed fees.

Likewise Bitcoin could have 4mb blocks tomorrow morning, if, say, every tx was bumped to something like 10 cents minimum. This, by itself, would probably have us at <500kb block use right away by eliminating dust & spam, with an 8x expansion space up to 4mb.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Good thing about the blocksize debate is that node count is increasing.
At 7000 nodes now, compared to about 5000 nodes a month ago.

*6000 nodes, if you don't count multiple nodes on single IP. Node count will drop again when/if debate is over.
Good morning Smiley
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Going down, going down now,
Going down, going down now
    Cryin' won't help you, prayin' won't do you no good
Going down, going down now,
    Now, cryin' won't help you, prayin' won't do you no good
Going down, going down now,
    When the levee breaks, mama, you got to move
Going down, going down now,
Going down, going down now,
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